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AUD/USD

  • #101,161
  • Apr 4, 2017 3:14am Apr 4, 2017 3:14am
Quoting RazorFish
{quote} I will highlite the hint that the next interest rate hike is coming brother: Quote " Governor Lowe: "With interest rates so low, now is a good time for us to move in this direction. Hopefully, the changes might encourage a few more people to think about the merit of taking out very large interest-only loans when interest rates are near historical lows." Also he mentioned: "It is important, though, that we are all realistic about what these and other prudential measures can achieve. As I said before, the underlying driver in our housing market...
Thanks Bro for highlighting.

Anyway, I am just voicing based on today. Recent Data didn't support the rate hike, these are what they stated in their previous statements.

As for next Interest Rate decision, I am not disagreeing what you say, because we still need to wait for upcoming data to be release for them to act on.
The only winner is the one who survive the longest...
  • #101,162
  • Apr 4, 2017 5:47pm Apr 4, 2017 5:47pm
Tech Support coming in at .7550 200 DMA
Still a sell on rally .. target is around .7290 before possible haemorrhage into the 60's.
  • #101,163
  • Apr 4, 2017 9:27pm Apr 4, 2017 9:27pm
how the market will react to the news of the FOMC?
  • #101,164
  • Apr 4, 2017 11:06pm Apr 4, 2017 11:06pm
Quoting MarkNovell
how the market will react to the news of the FOMC?
only release of the minutes from last meeting so expect minimal impact.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #101,165
  • Apr 5, 2017 2:13am Apr 5, 2017 2:13am
Hello guys!
Here is my today's Daily levels commentary video. I hope you will like it. If you followed my yesterday's video, there were 3 profits and 0 losses. A good trading day
Happy trading!
Inserted Video
  • #101,166
  • Apr 5, 2017 10:17am Apr 5, 2017 10:17am
Quoting lasty
Tech Support coming in at .7550 200 DMA Still a sell on rally .. target is around .7290 before possible haemorrhage into the 60's.
Support has held. I guess for the short term, .7520 will act as a very very strong support level. Will be looking to buy at that region.
  • #101,167
  • Apr 5, 2017 6:25pm Apr 5, 2017 6:25pm
Quoting yousername
{quote} Nice mate. But that is too early. Did you put the order before the ISM got released?
Hi,
yeah too early, a loss one, still learn using PA.
  • #101,168
  • Apr 5, 2017 7:26pm Apr 5, 2017 7:26pm
.7540

200 MDA broken at .7550

Real money sellers.. Finally they are seeing the light that Australia isnt the place to be .

Im sure exporters will be slowing the fall toward .7500 however once they have covered then its down the mine shaft and quick acceleration ..

Be paitent.. Short AUD/USD is costly to hold but the reward should outweigh that .
  • #101,169
  • Edited 8:15pm Apr 5, 2017 7:59pm | Edited 8:15pm
Quoting lasty
.7540 200 MDA broken at .7550 Real money sellers.. Finally they are seeing the light that Australia isnt the place to be . Im sure exporters will be slowing the fall toward .7500 however once they have covered then its down the mine shaft and quick acceleration .. Be paitent.. Short AUD/USD is costly to hold but the reward should outweigh that .
By exporters I'm assuming you mean Aussie exporters? Why would they slow the fall to .75? If A/U were at parity an Aussie exporters product is far more expensive than if it were at 60c. Exporters prefer a lower A/U exchange rate as it makes their product cheaper.
Edit: I'm also assuming exporters are most often paid in AUD. I appreciate some may not.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #101,170
  • Apr 5, 2017 9:29pm Apr 5, 2017 9:29pm
Quoting dab
{quote} By exporters I'm assuming you mean Aussie exporters? Why would they slow the fall to .75? If A/U were at parity an Aussie exporters product is far more expensive than if it were at 60c. Exporters prefer a lower A/U exchange rate as it makes their product cheaper. Edit: I'm also assuming exporters are most often paid in AUD. I appreciate some may not.

Aussie exporters correct ..

Most are paid in US dollars

They need to hedge and to lock in profits ..

Most don't speculate on the exchange rate .
  • #101,171
  • Apr 6, 2017 12:15am Apr 6, 2017 12:15am
Just start at low.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #101,172
  • Apr 6, 2017 2:05am Apr 6, 2017 2:05am
Hello guys,
I made another Daily levels commentary video. I hope you like it. If you followed yesterday's tips from my video there were 2 very nice profits and no loss. A good day
Happy trading to you all!
Inserted Video
  • #101,173
  • Apr 6, 2017 3:19am Apr 6, 2017 3:19am
near 7600 might be an interesting place for a short if we reach today....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH4.png Size: 52 KB
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #101,174
  • Apr 6, 2017 3:41am Apr 6, 2017 3:41am
Quoting PayTheLimit
near 7600 might be an interesting place for a short if we reach today.... {image}
With you on this. I have that area in view too. It's proximal to the 50/61.8 Fib zone.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #101,175
  • Apr 6, 2017 4:43pm Apr 6, 2017 4:43pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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maybe
  • #101,176
  • Apr 6, 2017 5:06pm Apr 6, 2017 5:06pm
Quoting RazorFish
{quote} I will highlite the hint that the next interest rate hike is coming brother: Quote " Governor Lowe: "With interest rates so low, now is a good time for us to move in this direction. Hopefully, the changes might encourage a few more people to think about the merit of taking out very large interest-only loans when interest rates are near historical lows." In my opinion the changes is coming, which means hike in the rate on the radar screen. Also he mentioned: "It is important, though, that we are all realistic about what these and other prudential...
'
Sydney has the bubble and parts of Melbourne. The other cities dont hence that's why they are setting up a committee/dept to deal with this isolated incident.
Unemployment outside of Sydney is high and the economy is weak.
Wages will remain low but on world standards are higher than most countries.
I cant see a rate rise for some time. No inflation fear at all.
Infact if they address the housing bubble with lending restrictions then the possibility of a rate decrease is stronger
  • #101,177
  • Apr 6, 2017 5:31pm Apr 6, 2017 5:31pm
Finally someone has recognized Australia's economic situation and it aint pretty

http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-e...06-gvfloi.html
  • #101,178
  • Apr 7, 2017 1:31am Apr 7, 2017 1:31am
Hello guys! Here is my new Daily levels commentary video for 7.4.2017. Those who followed my trading levels got today 11th winning trade in a row! I think this weekend will be a good time for a little celebration
Enjoy my friends!
Inserted Video
  • #101,179
  • Apr 8, 2017 7:25pm Apr 8, 2017 7:25pm
Quoting sergo
{image}maybe
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  • #101,180
  • Apr 9, 2017 12:38am Apr 9, 2017 12:38am
Major support has been broken decisively + trendlines shows direction, I'm of the view we going down, way down..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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