Trading Made Profitable (TMP)

hasib, you have many useful book about forex and technical analysis
i download all of it and read, it make me more profitable trader, thanks

Know what your trading strategy is and master it.

Its always surprising to me how many people don't actually even have a trading strategy but still try risking money in the market. If you do not have a strategy that youre trading with, meaning a trading edge that gives you a better than random chance in the market, you are just gambling and may as well just go to the casino instead.
Having a strategy and mastering it, takes time, effort and discipline, which is also why many traders do not have one; they dont want to put in that time, effort and discipline. If you think you will just wing it and somehow make money in the market, you are wrong. Trading success is not the result of luck or an accident, it takes effort, dedication and passion.
Furthermore, once you have actually mastered an effective trading strategy, you have to stick to it, you cannot waffle and jump between trading strategies as many traders do. Trading involves both losses and wins, and youve got to be able to have the fortitude to keep focused during the losses. If you jump ship, and abandon your trading strategy after a couple losses, you havent given it the proper time to play out and work in your favour, and you will just be on a never-ending, futile quest for a Holy Grail trading method that does not exist. Have a strategy, know it, master it, and stick to it.

Hello everyone,where can I find the MACD set as the screen of first post ? Thank you in advance

"That you can lie to some people all the time, all people some of the time, but not to all people, all the time."
Similarly, theses studies can work in some market conditions all the time, all market conditions some of the time, but not all market conditions all of the time."
Think about what I've just quoted very carefully.

The problem with some people and some professional Technical Analyst today ( being a certified Technical Analyst myself ) is that they use the Technical studies as if, it were the "Holy Grail" of trading & their pathway to the millions.

How far that is from the truth.
Any person with a good brain on their shoulders, will ultimate come to the realisation that these are just tools. Tools that are built on historical and lagging databases. Moreover the rigidity of the parameters used in the studies imposes rigid responses to changing market conditions. Have we forgotten that the market is a live beast that learns and adapts to trader behaviours? Many have forgotten that the market is the sum total of the behaviour of the participants engaged in the market place. These tools are used for measuring the markets health, not so unlike the thermometer to a doctor, or the measuring tape to a carpenter, just a tool.

Then how is it possible that these studies themselves can be considered the "Holy Grail"?
It may be due to ignorance (being new and uniniatiated), lazyness, or just plain stubborness ( a little knowledge is a dangerous thing). Of course it is not nice for me, to tell you about those who have "a little knowledge", trying to scam those who know less than them. That's another story.
Some do so, because of a very new disease discovered recently, the sickness of "the chance".
If you use the Technical studies as your "Holy Grail", I have only one word for you, GAMBLER.

From Technical Analysis Fallacy thread

"The thing that hath been, it is that which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done: and there is no new thing under the sun."
Ecclesiastes 1:9

Gbpusd

please share the system,thanks

After a long wait audusd moved nicely today. UJ moved higher this week very nicely.

eurusd

45 WAYS TO AVOID LOSING MONEY TRADING FOREX by Jimmy Young, CTA Who is Jimmy Young? Retired proven professional Bank FOREX trader with over 20 years of hands-on FOREX trading experience.
1) Knowledge Deficiency Most new FOREX traders dont take the time to learn what drives currency rates (primarily fundamentals).
2) Overtrading - Trading often with tight stops and tiny profit targets will only make the broker rich. The desire to just make a few hundred dollars a day by locking in tiny profits whenever possible is a losing strategy.
3) Over leveraged - Leverage is a two way street. The brokers want you to use high leverage because that means more spread income because your position size determines the amount of spread income; the bigger the position the more spread income the broker earns.
4) Relying on Others Real traders play a lone hand; they make their own decisions and dont rely on others to make their trading decisions for them; there is no halfway; either trade for yourself or have someone else trade for you.
5) Stop Losses Putting tight stop losses with retail brokers is a recipe for disaster. When you put on a trade commit to a reasonable stop loss limit that allows your trade a fair chance to develop.
6) Demo Accounts Broker demo accounts are a shill game of sorts; theyre not as time sensitive as real accounts and therefore give the impression that time sensitive trading systems, such as short-term moving average crossovers can be consistently profitably traded; once you start dealing with real money, reality is quick to set in. 7) Trading During Off Hours Bank FX traders, option traders, and hedge funds have a huge advantage during off hours; they can push the currencies around when no volume is going through and the end game is new traders get fleeced trying to trade signals. There is only one signal during off hours stay out.
8) Trading a Currency, Not a Pair Being right about a currency is half a trade; success or failure depends upon being right about the second currency that makes up the pair.
9) No Trading Plan - 'Make money' is not a trading plan. A trading plan is a blueprint for trading success; it spells out what you see your edge as being; if you dont have an edge, you dont have a plan, and likely youll wind up a statistic (part of the 95% of new traders that lose and quit).
10) Trading Against Prevailing Trend There is a huge difference between buying cheaply on the way down and buying cheaply. What was a low price quickly becomes a high price when youre trading against the trend.
11) Exiting Trades Poorly If you put on a trade and its not working make sure you exit properly; dont compound the damage. If youre in a winning trade, dont talk yourself out of the position because youre bored or want to relieve stress; stress is a natural part of trading; get used to it.
12) Trading Too Short-term If your profit target is less than 20 points dont do the trade; the spread you pay to enter the trade makes the odds way against you when you go for these tiny profits.
13) Picking Tops and Bottoms - Looking for bargains works well at the supermarket but not trading foreign exchange; try to trade in the direction the price is going and your results will improve.
14) Being Too Smart The most successful traders I know are high school graduates. They keep it simple and dont look beyond the obvious; their results are excellent. 15) Not Trading Around News Time Most of the big moves occur around news time. The volume is high and the moves are real; there is no better time to trade fundamentally or technically than when news is released; this is when the real money adjusts their positions and as a result the price changes reflect serious currency flow (compared to quiet times when Bank traders rule the market with their customer order flow).
16) Ignore Technical Condition Determining whether the market is over-extended long or over-extended short is a key determinant of near time price action. Spike moves often occur when the market is all one way.
17) Emotional Trading When you dont pre-plan your trades essentially its a thought and not an idea; thoughts are emotions and a very poor basis for doing trades. Do people generally say intelligent things when they are upset and emotional? I dont think so.
18) Lack of Confidence Confidence only comes from successful trading. If you lose money early in your trading career its very difficult to gain true confidence. The trick is dont go off half-cocked. Learn the business before you trade.
19) Lack of Courage to Take a Loss There is nothing macho or gutsy about riding a loss, just stupidity and cowardice. It takes guts to accept your loss and wait for tomorrow to try again. Getting married to a bad position ruins lots of traders. The thing to remember is the market does crazy things often, so dont get married to any one trade. Its just a trade. One good trade will not make you a trading success; rather its monthly and annual performance that defines a good trader.
20) Not Focusing on the Trade at Hand There is no room for fantasizing in successful trading. Counting up and mentally spending profits you havent made yet is mental masturbation and does you no good. Same with worrying about a loss that hasnt happened yet. Focus on your position and have a reasonable stop loss in place at the time you do the trade. Then be like an astronaut sit back and enjoy the ride. No sense worrying because you have no real control. The market will do what it wants to do.
21) Interpreting FOREX News Incorrectly Fact is the press only has a very superficial understanding of the news they are reporting and tend to focus on one element and miss the point. Learn to read the source documents and understand it for real.
22) Lucky or Good Your account balance changes dont tell you the whole story about your trading. Fact is if you are taking a lot of risk and making money you will eventually crash and burn. Look at the individual trade details. Focus on your big loses and losing streaks. Ask yourself this, "If I had a couple of consecutive losing streaks or a couple of consecutive big losses, how would my account balance look?" Generally, traders making money without big daily losses have the best chance of sustaining positive performance. The others are accidents waiting to happen.
23) Too Many Charity Trades When you make money on a well thought out trade dont give back half on a whim. Invest your profits from good trades on the next good trade.
24) Courage Under Fire When a policeman breaks down the door to a drug dealer's apartment he is scared but he does it anyway. When a fireman climbs onto the roof of a burning building he is scared but does it anyway, and gets the job done. Same with trading. Its ok to be scared but you have to pull the trigger. No trigger no trades no profits no trader.
25) Quality Trading Time I suggest 3 hours a day of quality, focused trading time. Thats about all your brain allows. When you are trading, be 100% focused. Half way is bullshit - it doesnt work. Dont even think that time spent in front of the computer watching the rates has any correlation to profitability - it doesnt. Spend less time but when you're trading, be 100% focused on trading.
26) Rationalizing Killer. Absolute Killer. Put your trade on and let it run. If it hits your reasonable pre-determined stop, you're out. Think of yourself as a prizefighter. You just got knocked out. Moving your stop is like getting up after being crushed with a knockout blow. Its pointless. Things will only get worse. Dont ignore the obvious. You're wrong get out. Come back the next day and try again. A small loss will not hurt you - a catastrophic loss will.
27) Mixing Apples and Oranges Have you ever done this? You see the EURUSD trading higher so you buy GBPUSD because it hasnt moved yet. Thats a mistake. Most of the time the reason the GBPUSD hasnt moved yet is because it's already overbought or some 4:30am UK news was bearish. Dont mix apples and oranges. If EURUSD looks bid, buy EURUSD.
28) Avoiding the Hard Trades Bank FX traders have an axiom "the harder the trade is to do the better the trade". This I learned from experience. When I needed to buy EURUSD and it was hard to get them, thats when its necessary to pay up and get the business done. When its easy to get them, then sit back and wait for better levels. So if you are trying to get into a trade, or more importantly get out of a trade, dont putz around for a few points - get your business done.
29) Too Much Detail If your trading more than 2 indicators then you need to clean house. Having many indicators stifles trading and finds reasons not to trade. A setup and a trigger is all you need.
30) Giving Up Too Easy Your first trade of the day may not be your best but certainly its no reason to quit. I have a preset daily trading limit and I use it. You cant make money by making excuses. Getting trades wrong is natural and should be expected.
31) Jumping the Gun Dont be penny wise and dollar foolish. Wait for your trade signal to be clear. Put on your trade and give it a decent size stop loss so that you dont get knocked out by random noise.
32) Afraid to Take a Loss - trading is not personal, its business. Dont think that a poor trade is a reflection on you. It could be you're just ahead of your time or a commercial order hits the market and temporarily creates a small unexpected move. Again, place your stop beforehand and NEVER increase your pre-determined risk. If its going bad, it will probably get worse. I think thats Newton's body in motion tends to stay in motion
33) Over-Relying on Risk Reward There is zero advantage in risk reward. If you put a 20 point stop and a 60 point profit your chances are probably 3-1 that you will lose. Actually with the spread its more like 4 to 1 (from entry point if it goes down 17 points you lose, or up 63 - you win; 17/63 is close to 4-1).
34) Trading for Wrong Reasons Because the EURUSD is going up is not in itself a reason to buy. Buying EURUSD because it's not moving much is even worse. Youre paying the toll (spread) without even a hint that you will get a directional move. If you are bored, dont trade; the reason you're bored is there is no trade to do in the first place.
35) Rumors Rumors are rumors almost 100% of the time. Think about where in the motion you heard the rumor. If EURUSD is up 50 points in last 15 minutes and the rumor is dollar negative, well - then you missed it. Whenever you in motion with the trade, determine where you are entering.
36) Trading Short-term Moving Average Crossovers This is the money sucker of the century. When the shorter term moving average cross the longer term moving average, it only means that the average price in the short run is equal to the average price in the longer run. For the life of me, I cannot understand why this is bullish or bearish. Easy to set up on software, complete with lights, bells and whistles, and good for the seller getting thousands for the software but in terms of creating profit - its a zero.
37) Stochastic Another money sucker. Personally I think this indicator is used backwards. When it first signals an overdone condition, thats when I think the big spike in the overdone currency pair occurs. To be overbought means strong and oversold means weak. Try buying on the first sign of overbought and selling on the first sign of oversold. Youll be with the trend and likely have identified a move with plenty of juice left.
38) Wrong Broker A lot of FOREX brokers are horrible. Get a good one. Read forums and chats in several different places to get an unbiased opinion.
39) Simulated Results Watch out for black box systems. These are trading systems that dont divulge how the trade signals are generated. Great majority of them are absolute garbage. They show you a track record of extraordinary results but think about it. If you could build a trading system with half a dozen filters using the benefit of hindsight, couldnt you too come up with a great system. Of course going forward is an entirely different story. Highspeed number crunching capabilities allows for building great hindsight trading systems, so BEWARE.
40) Inconsistency Every business (FOREX trading included) requires a business plan (trading plan). Unless you have taken the time to write down a set of rules that you can and will follow, its likely your trading will remain unfocused and directionless. Make a plan, have rules, follow them. Set goals that are realistic and you will achieve them.
41) Master of None Focus on one currency for technical trading. Each currency has a unique way of trading and unless you get intimate with it, you will never truly understand its underlying idiosyncrasies. Dont spread yourself too thin focus, master one currency at a time.
42) Thinking Long Term Dont do it. Stay in the moment. Especially if youre a day trader. It doesnt matter what happens next week or next month. If you are trading with 30 to 50 point stops, restrict your thought process to whats happening right now. That is not to stay the long-term trend is not important. It is to say the long-term trend will not always help you when your trading a significantly shorter time frame.
43) Overconfidence Trading is simple but not easy. Statistics show 95% failure rate of those attempting to become traders. If you're doing well, dont take your success for granted. Always be on the lookout for ways to improve what you are already doing.
44) Getting Pumped Up The trick is to maintain an even keel. When you are in a trade, you want to think exactly as you would if you didnt have a trade on. To do this requires a relaxed disposition. This is not a football game. Dont get psyched up. Relax and try to enjoy it.
45) Staying in the Game I dont recommend demo trading because traders learn bad habits when trading with play money. I also dont think letting it all hang out right away is wise either. Start off doing trades and taking risk that is relatively small but still makes a difference to you if you win or lose. About a quarter to a third of what you expect to reach as your trading matures is reasonable.

Check your self how 60% profitable system can't help you in forex business.

There is 2 picture in First picture you see 10000$ balance can't give profit over 100 trade because of wrong position size.
On the other hand you will see second picture 100$ balance give you nice profit over 100 trade. Because of good position sizing.

Trading is all about management - yourself, your money, your attitude and your position. It is NOT
about predictions, forecasts or OPINIONS. You cannot learn how to drive a car without being behind the wheel - and you can't learn how to trade by just reading a book, attending a class or buying a 'system'.

Money Management Technique

1.No Money Management - This technique is the default method that many traders use.
2.Multiple Units/Contracts - This technique is very similar to the one above, but the difference is traders would take multiple units/contracts. Although similar to the No Money Management technique, this method has some definite peculiarities to be concerned about.
3.Fixed Dollar Value for Risk- In this technique traders define how much money to risk on any given investment/trading signal. For example, a money manger may choose to risk up to, but not more than, $1000 on each trading signal.
4.Fixed Percent of Equity - In this technique, traders define what percent of the account value to risk on any given trading signal. For example, a money manger may choose to risk up to, but not more than, 5% of the account on each trading signal.
5.Adjust Trading on Win or Loss - This technique is often called the pyramiding (up or down) or Martingale (normal or reverse) approach. In this technique, traders determine how much to trade after successive wins or losses. For example, after losing trades, they may decide to double up on the next trading signal, to recoup the losses.
6.Crossing Equity Curves - With this technique, traders define a long and short average (3 and 8 for example) of the trade profit and losses. When the short average is greater than the long average, it means the system is doing better than it did in the past. Based on this information, they would enter the market. If the short average is below the long average, they would trade. The profit or loss from all trading signals, whether taken or not, are calculated in the average.
7.Applying the Optimal f - Many people are familiar with this approach, but it does have some dangers to watch out for.

What Makes a Good Trader

If you want to become profitable trader, I encourage you to learn probability

Perhaps the greatest secret to top trading and investing success is appropriate money management. I call it a “secret” because few people seem to understand it, I including many people who’ve written books on the topic. Some people call it risk control, others call it diversification, and still others call it how to “wisely” invest your money. However, the money management that is the key to top trading and investing simply refers to the algorithm that tells you “how much” with respect to any particular position in the market. There are many psychological biases that keep people from practicing sound money management. In addition, there are also practical considerations, such as not understanding money management or not having sufficient funds to practice sound money management. I’ve written this special report to give you an overall understanding of the topic and show you various models of money management. Enjoy the journey its potentially the most profitable journey you will ever take. The material is quite complex, despite an attempt to make it simple. However, you’ll find it well worth your while to go through all the examples until you have mastered it.
Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.