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Before/after analysis, the method to which I obliged my success!

  • #41
  • Dec 12, 2016 2:32pm Dec 12, 2016 2:32pm
Hi All!
Forecast USD / CAD in the next few days will be based largely on the construction of the trend channel.
1. Look at the D1 chart. The price is near the bottom of the rising, almost horizontal trend. Also, it is necessary specify that the price near the level 3:1. Therefore, after touching the level of 3:1, and thereby, and the bottom of the main trend, will be a rising. This growth, I assume, will be up to 4:1.

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2. Take a look at the H4. Either the price will be reduced further in accordance with the downward trend, either immediately goes up, before that, perhaps describing a small horizontal correction.

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Surrealist
  • #42
  • Dec 20, 2016 8:20am Dec 20, 2016 8:20am
Candlestick method is mostly put to use by the retail investors. Candlestick works well in both volatile and the not-so-volatile market conditions. However, candlesticks work optimally when used with other tools. They do not reveal past price action details.
  • #43
  • Dec 29, 2016 2:21am Dec 29, 2016 2:21am
The time is coming for the New Year, and so I would like to wish a Happy New Year to all visitors of the forum!
Let in the new year the market will be supportive of earnings.

Again, the forecast USD/CAD.
Recently, this currency pair is to my liking.

1) D1 - price in the level of support 4:1. I count on the fact that this level will be tested and will be possible false break for a short time.

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2) H4 - within the main trend has formed a rising channel. Which was broken. His lower boundary can be tested already in the role of resistance.
3) When 8:1 will be quite weak then, shortly the price breaks 8:1, and the downward movement continues until at least 4:1. Or, it will be test the level of 1.36550

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Surrealist
  • #44
  • Jan 3, 2017 9:49am Jan 3, 2017 9:49am
USD / CAD. My thoughts on this currency pair in the coming days.
1. I find that since the price situation is now in the middle of the main trend (D1), then we can expect both downward movement and upward.
For clarity, we use the Gann fan for D1. We can see that the price ranges between 8:1 and 4:1.
2. I drew further movement as a continuation of the oscillation.
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3. But if you pay attention to the H4 and Gann fan in this timeframe, we will see a similar situation. The price is at 4:1, and therefore will likely grow to 8:1.
4. Note, however, that the level of 4:1 can serve as the beginning of the correction and return to 2:1.

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Surrealist
  • #45
  • Edited 11:07am Jan 5, 2017 9:44am | Edited 11:07am
Standing forecast USD / CAD ready.

1. Construct the Gann fan for D1. The price goes from level 4: 1. The support of an uptrend may affect the movement of the graph. This support is between 3:1 and 4:1.
2. So, if it isn't broken, the price will return to the 4:1 and most likely go higher, according to the trend. And if the trend channel is broken, the price will be at 3:1.

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3. Let's consider a more detailed graph H4. Here, the price is very close to the 1:3 and so it's a signal to buy. But the situation dependent on the strength of the support 1:3. If the price breaks it, then the movement likely will stop on the level of 1:4 and will go up to 1:2.
4. So, we can see that if the trend channel will keep the price, there is a strong predominance of bulls. If not - decline to the psychological level of 1.30000

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Surrealist
  • #46
  • Jan 5, 2017 2:21pm Jan 5, 2017 2:21pm
Today I did an analysis of EUR / USD.
That's what I think in relation to this currency pair.
1. D1 chart can be traced and build the downlink channel. The price is near the bottom. It gives a signal to buy. The only thing that can hinder the growth - is testing the channel's lower border.

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2. Let's build a Gann fan on H4. Price describes a zigzag. The amplitude of motion reaches the level of 2:1 to 4:1. At that, as expected, the price dropped to 2:1 after touching 4:1. And now the price again at around 4: 1. Probably will decrease at least up to 3:1.
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3. Given the high volatility of the EUR/USD in recent days, it is necessary to take into account that after the pulse there is a need to relax. Thus, looking at the H1, we see that there is a zigzag between 4:1 and 2:1 too. Now the price has risen to 8:1. This gives a signal to sell in the short term. If the level of 4:1 is broken, the reduction will last up to 3:1. If this level isn't broken, then I guess that will rise to about 8: 1 or higher to the resistance 1.06513.

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Surrealist
  • #47
  • Jan 6, 2017 8:27am Jan 6, 2017 8:27am
How do we draw the lines correctly?
  • #48
  • Jan 6, 2017 10:04am Jan 6, 2017 10:04am
Quoting Fxlife71
How do we draw the lines correctly?
Welcome Fxlife71
Recently I've load some videos about forecasts. You can watch as I did it.

Inserted Video


Inserted Video


Gann should be built from the beginning of the trend movement to its end (from high to low or low to high) When you pull it, you'll see the support and resistance lines. (From left to right) lines from 8:1 to 1:8 for bullish trend and from 1:8 to 8:1 for bearish trend. To build a Gann fan press "insert" - "Gann" - "Gan fan"
Surrealist
  • #49
  • Jan 8, 2017 6:20pm Jan 8, 2017 6:20pm
I'm faithful to USD/CAD

1. Today, the situation is almost unchanged. The price remained at the level of support (bottom of the rising channel and the level of 1:4 on H4). I believe that the coming week will give us an answer about the future prospects for the pair USD/CAD.
2. Recall that if the price comes to 1:4, it's likely that it will return to 1:2. That's what I predict.
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3. But if you take into account the unlikely but possible breakdown of the trend, and the level 1:4, you'll notice the decrease, as I said earlier, to 1:8.
4. D1 once again shows that the price is going to rise. Most likely to test the support level of the channel bottom again.
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Surrealist
  • #50
  • Edited 6:49pm Jan 9, 2017 5:03pm | Edited 6:49pm
How about EUR \ USD analysis.

1. Weekly: the price will probably reach the level 2:1. Additionally, this movement is due to correction, inside the downtrend channel.
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2. The daily chart: Once again, using the channel theory, I predict the fall under the downtrend because the price point is in a ceiling of the channel. Not excluded that there may be a breach, so we consider the H4 ...
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3. H4: the level of support 3:1 affected the price movement, the price has risen to 4: 1. This fact gives me the opportunity to predict the bearish trend and move in the direction of 2:1
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4. H1: The price almost reached 8:1 and further possible breakdown of resistance. The bulls will prevail at least until the resistance level of 1.06490. If 8: 1 will keep the impact on the price, the graph will go down as a correction, and 'll reach 4:1.
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Surrealist
  • #51
  • Jan 9, 2017 5:14pm Jan 9, 2017 5:14pm
Subscribed
MRMALIK1
  • #52
  • Jan 10, 2017 3:45pm Jan 10, 2017 3:45pm
I have an idea about EUR/USD.

I predicted the movement of up to 8: 1 and rebound from it.
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In this way, the graph forms a the consolidation. The consolidation will likely narrow an amplitude. The maximum amplitude was during a movement from 2:1 to 8:1 (the first peak), the second peak - a movement from 3:1 to 8:1.
So I think that the price will continue the consolidation. If 8:1 will be tested again, it likely the bear will win. If the price returns to 4:1, there will be one more peak or break of consolidation up.
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Surrealist
  • #53
  • Jan 11, 2017 1:43pm Jan 11, 2017 1:43pm
Quoting SalvatoreD
I have an idea about EUR/USD. I predicted the movement of up to 8: 1 and rebound from it. bef.png;2134224 In this way, the graph forms a the consolidation. The consolidation will likely narrow an amplitude. The maximum amplitude was during a movement from 2:1 to 8:1 (the first peak), the second peak - a movement from 3:1 to 8:1. So I think that the price will continue the consolidation. If 8:1 will be tested again, it likely the bear will win. If the price returns to 4:1, there will be one more peak or break of consolidation up. 12212.png;2134226...
Perfect! Prediction is accurately correct. Up and then, to 3:1. Congrats with the profit. Now it's go up. What do you think?
  • #54
  • Edited 5:35pm Jan 11, 2017 5:24pm | Edited 5:35pm
I just analyzed the situation with EUR/USD.

USD/CAD come down a bit to test 1:8, and most likely ready to jump up if the trend channel is strong enough to keep the price. In the meantime, I traded at EUR/USD.
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1. EUR/USD really moved the way I've described, with reasonable accuracy. Better safe than sorry ... I didn't risk and didn't wait until the level 3:1 will be achieved. To be more precise, the trade was closed by trailing stop.
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2. The price has already quite briskly gone up to the level 8:1. There was a false breakdown 8:1 to the resistance 1.09196. I expect that the price will fall, because the 8:1 will resist.
3. The depth of the fall - this is the main issue right now. If this is just a correction, it's likely that the bullish trend will prevail and the price reaches the levels 1.09196 and 1.09491. If an action of 8:1 is strong, then the bears will pull the price down to the level of 4:1, which may involve a further fall.

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Surrealist
  • #55
  • Jan 11, 2017 5:50pm Jan 11, 2017 5:50pm
How do you deal with the Gann fan lines moving as you zoom in/out, for example- I may think that price action is at 8:1 but if i change the zoom the Fan has now changed in relation to price and the fan line could be very far from price action at that zoom level.

I liked your videos!! the music could be better but the content its quality stuff.
Please do more analysis videos followed by your trades.
Dragon Rider
  • #56
  • Jan 11, 2017 6:33pm Jan 11, 2017 6:33pm
"2. The price has already quite briskly gone up to the level 8:1. There was a false breakdown 8:1 to the resistance 1.09196. I expect that the price will fall, because the 8:1 will resist.
3. The depth of the fall - this is the main issue right now. If this is just a correction, it's likely that the bullish trend will prevail and the price reaches the levels 1.09196 and 1.09491. If an action of 8:1 is strong, then the bears will pull the price down to the level of 4:1, which may involve a further fall."

I'm sure you meant 1.0619 and 1.0649
but maybe not?
  • #57
  • Jan 11, 2017 8:22pm Jan 11, 2017 8:22pm
Quoting profitkeeper
"2. The price has already quite briskly gone up to the level 8:1. There was a false breakdown 8:1 to the resistance 1.09196. I expect that the price will fall, because the 8:1 will resist. 3. The depth of the fall - this is the main issue right now. If this is just a correction, it's likely that the bullish trend will prevail and the price reaches the levels 1.09196 and 1.09491. If an action of 8:1 is strong, then the bears will pull the price down to the level of 4:1, which may involve a further fall." I'm sure you meant 1.0619 and 1.0649 but maybe...
Oh. yes, sure! Thanks for your comment. Of course there should be resistance levels 1.0619 and 1.0649.
Surrealist
  • #58
  • Jan 11, 2017 8:30pm Jan 11, 2017 8:30pm
Quoting SalvatoreD
I just analyzed the situation with EUR/USD. USD/CAD come down a bit to test 1:8, and most likely ready to jump up if the trend channel is strong enough to keep the price. In the meantime, I traded at EUR/USD. 3333222.jpg;2136282 1222.png;2136285 1. EUR/USD really moved the way I've described, with reasonable accuracy. Better safe than sorry ... I didn't risk and didn't wait until the level 3:1 will be achieved. To be more precise, the trade was closed by trailing stop. bef.jpg;2136280 2. The price has already quite briskly gone up to the level 8:1....
Thank you for the analytics. And I agree with barloc,your videos are really helpfull. It is intresting to watch how you trade and make analysis. Please make more.
  • #59
  • Jan 11, 2017 9:02pm Jan 11, 2017 9:02pm
I was looking at the daily gold chart and would like your comment on where the high should be located for the Gann fan. Is it where I have illustrated, or at the later spike or further back?
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  • #60
  • Jan 11, 2017 9:03pm Jan 11, 2017 9:03pm
Quoting barloc
How do you deal with the Gann fan lines moving as you zoom in/out, for example- I may think that price action is at 8:1 but if i change the zoom the Fan has now changed in relation to price and the fan line could be very far from price action at that zoom level. I liked your videos!! the music could be better but the content its quality stuff. Please do more analysis videos followed by your trades.
Hello.
You asked a good question. Coz this is the flaw of this method. He is very vulnerable when scrolling graphics. Levels are shifted and harder to identify them. I don't scroll the graph using a fan.
As for the way out of this situation, I suggest to use Gann grid. It will shrink and expand with the schedule. I'll record a video about how to use the Gann grid tomorrow and post it here.
In general, automatic Gann fan, you should set the starting point and turn in the right direction, then set in the settings - Scale = 45 or -45 (depending on the direction).
About the music: as I understand, Youtube doesn't allow videos with soundtracks which the rights are reserved. I'd love to use other music, but have not yet found a way. If you have thoughts about it, I'm happy to listen.
Surrealist
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