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AUD/USD

  • #100,221
  • Dec 12, 2016 12:42am Dec 12, 2016 12:42am
Quoting SkyrEk
An update to my previous post, ECB created some noise and AU suffered some weakness. IMHO, bulls are not throwing in the towel yet. This is what i foresee happening for now. Let's see. {image}
For the new week.
Place trades with your own plans, this is just what i foresee will happen
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #100,222
  • Dec 12, 2016 2:57am Dec 12, 2016 2:57am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.png Size: 45 KB


Inserted Video
Money moves the market, not an indicator.
  • #100,223
  • Dec 12, 2016 3:57am Dec 12, 2016 3:57am
Another short added
  • #100,224
  • Dec 12, 2016 5:01am Dec 12, 2016 5:01am
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} For the new week. Place trades with your own plans, this is just what i foresee will happen {image}
Going well as intended
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 65 KB
  • #100,225
  • Dec 12, 2016 5:41am Dec 12, 2016 5:41am
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} Going well as intended {image}
I'm with you on your point A prediction but think the point B will fall to more like 74550
  • #100,226
  • Dec 12, 2016 10:52am Dec 12, 2016 10:52am
seems to be support around the 85 area
You need an ark? I NOAH GUY
  • #100,227
  • Dec 12, 2016 5:07pm Dec 12, 2016 5:07pm
I have seen this movie before...oh have I!!

this is a major rejecting or a break through...I wish I knew which
  • #100,228
  • Dec 12, 2016 8:09pm Dec 12, 2016 8:09pm
If your trading one where you think the graph is heading just take care.

Thursday 6am the USA will review its cash rate, there is a 90% chance that it will go up.

Once that happens - USD currency goes up and AUD will crash.
  • #100,229
  • Dec 12, 2016 8:10pm Dec 12, 2016 8:10pm
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} For the new week. Place trades with your own plans, this is just what i foresee will happen {image}
Are you trading or just wathcing?
  • #100,230
  • Dec 12, 2016 8:25pm Dec 12, 2016 8:25pm
Quoting jpcashflow
If your trading one where you think the graph is heading just take care. Thursday 6am the USA will review its cash rate, there is a 90% chance that it will go up. Once that happens - USD currency goes up and AUD will crash.
It's almost 100% priced in already, as reported. In fact if the fed fails to convince the markets of a steeper hike curve in 2017 in their statement, the USD is going to sell off since much of the recent dollar buying happened post-elections on the hyped up hope of higher US inflation (and therefore potentially more rate hikes).
  • #100,231
  • Dec 12, 2016 8:32pm Dec 12, 2016 8:32pm
Best to wait, not speculate. A clear trend will be established eliminating guess work.
  • #100,232
  • Dec 12, 2016 8:36pm Dec 12, 2016 8:36pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
Best to wait, not speculate. A clear trend will be established eliminating guess work.
Thats why I miss 2014-2015. There was always a clear downtrend! This year it's been a lot of ups and downs without clear market conviction on either side. No trading plan suitable for more than perhaps a week.
  • #100,233
  • Dec 12, 2016 8:45pm Dec 12, 2016 8:45pm
so many opportunities here and there. patience is the key.
  • #100,234
  • Dec 12, 2016 8:48pm Dec 12, 2016 8:48pm
Quality of trade is far more important quantity. The more research, analysis better. I commend those waiting for the better opportunities
  • #100,235
  • Dec 12, 2016 9:47pm Dec 12, 2016 9:47pm
Quoting ell3
{quote} It's almost 100% priced in already, as reported. In fact if the fed fails to convince the markets of a steeper hike curve in 2017 in their statement, the USD is going to sell off since much of the recent dollar buying happened post-elections on the hyped up hope of higher US inflation (and therefore potentially more rate hikes).
I will agree with ell3, priced in already. When FED hikes, USD might sell off esp if it is a dovish hike, see what FED has to say. Buy the rumor, sell the fact.
  • #100,236
  • Dec 12, 2016 9:49pm Dec 12, 2016 9:49pm
Quoting jpcashflow
{quote} Are you trading or just wathcing?
In, with open positions. S/L set with a min of 50pips profits should prices going against me. Otherwise, i will trade my plan which is to see AU going up towards .7550 (or even higher)

My trade positions been in since Post 100,165
  • #100,237
  • Dec 12, 2016 9:58pm Dec 12, 2016 9:58pm
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} In, with open positions. S/L set with a min of 50pips profits should prices going against me. Otherwise, i will trade my plan which is to see AU going up towards .7550 (or even higher) My trade positions been in since Post 100,165
Moved my sell limit to .76000
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #100,238
  • Dec 12, 2016 10:12pm Dec 12, 2016 10:12pm
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} Moved my sell limit to .76000
Good move.
Still, best to see how price action reacts around that level before shorting

Cheers!
  • #100,239
  • Dec 12, 2016 10:21pm Dec 12, 2016 10:21pm
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} Good move. Still, best to see how price action reacts around that level before shorting Cheers!
What the reason that you think the price will go uo to that level ? Esspecialy if the FED rising the rate
  • #100,240
  • Edited Dec 13, 2016 12:42am Dec 12, 2016 11:25pm | Edited Dec 13, 2016 12:42am
Quoting primaprima
{quote} What the reason that you think the price will go uo to that level ? Esspecialy if the FED rising the rate
Dollar been rallying for quite awhile, its time for traders to take profit prior to FOMC meeting. It is expected that FED rate hike and yes initial reaction could be a spike in USD, however after that USD may selloff instead since the rate hike is very much priced in.

I might be wrong though. Afterall, its my personal opinion.
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