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AUD/USD

  • #100,181
  • Dec 8, 2016 6:43am Dec 8, 2016 6:43am
Quoting KeenPips
{quote} Noted with thanks. KP
you can find it free in the 100 pips daily post
  • #100,182
  • Dec 8, 2016 7:01am Dec 8, 2016 7:01am
http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

US 10y yields going up after ECB. Helps with this.
  • #100,183
  • Dec 8, 2016 7:03am Dec 8, 2016 7:03am
Quoting msfu
http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y US 10y yields going up after ECB. Helps with this.
I particularly am not into economics and have no idea what the above statement means or impacts currencies. Anyone?
  • #100,184
  • Dec 8, 2016 7:11am Dec 8, 2016 7:11am
Quoting thewriter30
{quote} I particularly am not into economics and have no idea what the above statement means or impacts currencies. Anyone?
yields go up = anticipation of fed hike = steeper dot plot = better for corporation/wealthy individuals to earn interest with their rainy day cash lying around = more repatriation = demand for USD

bond demand down = yield up. bond up = yield down
  • #100,185
  • Dec 8, 2016 7:24am Dec 8, 2016 7:24am
[quote=Don96;9328732]{quote} Ascending Triangles usually break up...

Ascending triangle usually break up ??
It doesn't make sense. That is just a retracement.

A valid break down is shown on red arrow on H1 Triangle.
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  • #100,186
  • Dec 8, 2016 7:40am Dec 8, 2016 7:40am
Quoting Bicarus
{quote} yields go up = anticipation of fed hike = steeper dot plot = better for corporation/wealthy individuals to earn interest with their rainy day cash lying around = more repatriation = demand for USD bond demand down = yield up. bond up = yield down
I love you man!

One thing though, could you elaborate this:
1) yields go up = anticipation of fed hike? why
2) steeper dot plot ?

cheers owe you a beer
  • #100,187
  • Dec 8, 2016 7:42am Dec 8, 2016 7:42am
If you ask me, which you probably SHOULDNT do , this reminds me the previous 50 pip fall from the other day, kneee jerk reaction as it were....

reaction to USD being......ok


needless to say I had a juice SHORT position at 7478 and took it at a loss couple of hours ago.....oh well
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  • #100,188
  • Dec 8, 2016 7:52am Dec 8, 2016 7:52am
First entry was valid at around 0.7475 (5M), where I was short.
Stay carreful at 0.7410.
You can hold until 0.73 if you wish.
Could be a nice 1 to 8 odd
  • #100,189
  • Dec 8, 2016 8:01am Dec 8, 2016 8:01am
Quoting Onizuka
First entry was valid at around 0.7475 (5M), where I was short. Stay carreful at 0.7410. You can hold until 0.73 if you wish. Could be a nice 1 to 8 odd
I think this is a good buy opportunity....
But those who know ..whoever the fk they are probably have their own agenda...

News which mean sh$t (values as expected) take the pair down like there is no tomorrow....of course this only reminds me how little we know about this game
  • #100,190
  • Dec 8, 2016 8:09am Dec 8, 2016 8:09am
Buyers can still enter as well.
The only way to know is to monitor lower time frame.
I will personaly hold my position to 0.73.
I entered at 0.7472. My stop is moved to 0.7490
So it give me a good odd.
Risking 22 pips to win almost 160.
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  • #100,191
  • Dec 8, 2016 8:15am Dec 8, 2016 8:15am
Whatever happens now that call of mine which i did NOT take as usual would have gave nice 25 pips which is more than I want to live
  • #100,192
  • Dec 8, 2016 9:15am Dec 8, 2016 9:15am
An update to my previous post, ECB created some noise and AU suffered some weakness. IMHO, bulls are not throwing in the towel yet.

This is what i foresee happening for now.

Let's see.
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  • #100,193
  • Dec 8, 2016 9:33am Dec 8, 2016 9:33am
closing trade at 0.7440
+32 pipes
Waiting to see what will happens from now
  • #100,194
  • Dec 8, 2016 10:23am Dec 8, 2016 10:23am
Quoting thewriter30
{quote} I love you man! One thing though, could you elaborate this: 1) yields go up = anticipation of fed hike? why 2) steeper dot plot ? cheers owe you a beer
1) first u need to understand what a bond and what a bond yield is.

- when inflation is expected to rise -> markets will also expect the fed to raise interest rates -> fed fund future increases
-> yield used to calculate the bond's price increase -> making the bond's price drop. opposite is true in a deflationary economy, like japan and what the boj is doing.

2) dot plot are expectations from the fed bank members of where interest rate should be in the foreseeable future. somewhat similar to LIBOR/SIBOR rates which banks set daily amongs themselves. However Fed's dot plots are set at every FOMC meeting.

What i mean by dot plot getting steeper.
find the medial forecast of each point and plot a curve which intersect all/most of the points derived
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  • #100,195
  • Dec 8, 2016 2:33pm Dec 8, 2016 2:33pm
Quoting Onizuka
closing trade at 0.7440 +32 pipes Waiting to see what will happens from now
Good call, but now its at Point 2 on a 4H EW sell off, ready to go again.
  • #100,196
  • Dec 8, 2016 3:35pm Dec 8, 2016 3:35pm
Quoting thewriter30
If you ask me, which you probably SHOULDNT do , this reminds me the previous 50 pip fall from the other day, kneee jerk reaction as it were.... reaction to USD being......ok needless to say I had a juice SHORT position at 7478 and took it at a loss couple of hours ago.....oh well {image}
Never seen this indicator
 
What is it?? Some BB thingy? 
 
Can you share? Thanks. 
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #100,197
  • Dec 8, 2016 3:56pm Dec 8, 2016 3:56pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Never seen this indicator  What is it?? Some BB thingy?  Can you share? Thanks.Â
Hi I don't have it here now but it is shared by GB. Find ghost biker thread 100 pips daily
  • #100,198
  • Dec 8, 2016 10:32pm Dec 8, 2016 10:32pm
Quoting thewriter30
{quote} Hi I don't have it here now but it is shared by GB. Find ghost biker thread 100 pips daily
Â
Thank you.
Â
Seems legit indi.
Renko signal double something v3...
ÂÂ
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=610970
Green pips.
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #100,199
  • Dec 9, 2016 3:14am Dec 9, 2016 3:14am
Guys, keep the trading simple! No offence to anyone but I'm seeing so much analysis based on Guess work or personal expectations. I say again, I've got a neutral bias towards the pair. But as @skyrek has also shown his simple chart...an uptrend is underway. Hourly moving averages have also held multiple times. If you're doing intraday trades, that's a bullish signal. Need to look for a break below that trend line and subsequent confirmation of the break (e.g. Rejection off under side of broken trend line). Until then, the short trade looks set to be the pain trade. Just my two cents! Have a good weekend everyone!
  • #100,200
  • Dec 9, 2016 3:18am Dec 9, 2016 3:18am
Buyers came back as expected.
I am long to test 0.7495
open at 0.7475
TL -10 TP +20
Not risking so much today.

And I am done for the week.
Have a great week end, and don't forget to relax
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