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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #6,261
  • Nov 15, 2016 3:59am Nov 15, 2016 3:59am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, taking a short trade just right now. SL above 1.2615, targeting 1.230-226 {image}
GBPUSD short trade going well so far.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDusM1511.png Size: 52 KB
  • #6,262
  • Nov 15, 2016 4:02am Nov 15, 2016 4:02am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Good call. AUDCAD weekly chart looks promising.
Price is waiting for something, maybe news this morning.....
  • #6,263
  • Nov 15, 2016 4:03am Nov 15, 2016 4:03am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD short trade going well so far. {image}
That was a great call. Wish I had taken it. lol
  • #6,264
  • Nov 15, 2016 5:16am Nov 15, 2016 5:16am
Quoting calderone
{quote} That was a great call. Wish I had taken it. lol
Thanks! I’ve been waiting to take a short on GBPUSD for some time. I finally got a setting that provided a good RRR.
  • #6,265
  • Nov 15, 2016 5:21am Nov 15, 2016 5:21am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Thanks! Ive been waiting to take a short on GBPUSD for some time. I finally got a setting that provided a good RRR.
I have been wanting to short it also but recently my broker changed margin requirements for it during the US election....for some reason. I'm not sure if it was for that or if something else was going on in the UK.
  • #6,266
  • Nov 16, 2016 5:54am Nov 16, 2016 5:54am
USDCAD, long setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADusH41116.png Size: 48 KB
  • #6,267
  • Nov 17, 2016 6:41pm Nov 17, 2016 6:41pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Yea, I agree. I went short after the election day. The uptrend TL is broken. Next Support is 0.7450. Below that will cause some major SLs to be triggered. {image}
AUDUSD: the short trade update, going according to the plan. 1st target reached, SL moved to lock into some profit for peace of mind.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDusDaily1114.png Size: 77 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDusDaily1117.png Size: 75 KB
  • #6,268
  • Nov 17, 2016 6:52pm Nov 17, 2016 6:52pm
Quoting shahab8b
USDCAD, long setup {image}
USDCAD, long trade update, the long setup worked out pretty good.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADusH41116.png Size: 48 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADusH41716.png Size: 63 KB
  • #6,269
  • Nov 18, 2016 4:24am Nov 18, 2016 4:24am
Yes, your usdcad call was brilliant.
  • #6,270
  • Nov 18, 2016 4:26am Nov 18, 2016 4:26am
NZDUSD daily head and shoulders, neckline is broken....watching a retest of the neckline. I hate to open trades on a Friday....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDDaily.png Size: 36 KB
  • #6,271
  • Nov 18, 2016 5:06am Nov 18, 2016 5:06am
Quoting calderone
Yes, your usdcad call was brilliant.
Thanks! It’s always nice when your analysis works out the way you wanted.
  • #6,272
  • Nov 18, 2016 5:09am Nov 18, 2016 5:09am
Quoting calderone
NZDUSD daily head and shoulders, neckline is broken....watching a retest of the neckline. I hate to open trades on a Friday.... {image}
Nice chart! I might go short on NZDUSD as well.

About Friday, you are absolutely right. After 10 years of trading, I still wonder why I trade on Fridays when I know 90% of the time something will go wrong!
  • #6,273
  • Nov 18, 2016 5:10am Nov 18, 2016 5:10am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Nice chart! I might go short on NZDUSD as well. About Friday, you are absolutely right. After 10 years of trading, I still wonder why I trade on Fridays when I know 90% of the time something will go wrong!
Exactly, Friday and Mondays are usually counter to the main move. I have however seen some decent trades pass by me and it's frustrating. lol
  • #6,274
  • Nov 18, 2016 5:12am Nov 18, 2016 5:12am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, taking a short trade just right now. SL above 1.2615, targeting 1.230-226 {image}
GBPUSD short trade update, getting closer to the 1st target
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDusM15.png Size: 54 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDusM1511.png Size: 52 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDusM151816.png Size: 51 KB
  • #6,275
  • Nov 18, 2016 5:19am Nov 18, 2016 5:19am
Quoting calderone
{quote} Exactly, Friday and Mondays are usually counter to the main move. I have however seen some decent trades pass by me and it's frustrating. lol
I hear you. I have made peace with the fact that you cant catch many of good trades.

Also, I have been thinking about back testing that theory about Mondays and Fridays for some time now. When I have some free time I will download the long term data and run some statistical test to see if that theory holds true.
  • #6,276
  • Nov 18, 2016 5:37am Nov 18, 2016 5:37am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I hear you. I have made peace with the fact that you cant catch many of good trades. Also, I have been thinking about back testing that theory about Mondays and Fridays for some time now. When I have some free time I will download the long term data and run some statistical test to see if that theory holds true.
Awesome, I would love to see the results.
  • #6,277
  • Nov 23, 2016 6:16am Nov 23, 2016 6:16am
Quoting calderone
NZDUSD daily head and shoulders, neckline is broken....watching a retest of the neckline. I hate to open trades on a Friday.... {image}
After you discussed NZDUSD here, I decided to go short on a retest of the broken TL. Looks promising.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDusDaily1123.png Size: 41 KB
  • #6,278
  • Edited 7:58am Nov 23, 2016 7:21am | Edited 7:58am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} After you discussed NZDUSD here, I decided to go short on a retest of the broken TL. Looks promising. {image}
Not ur usual cup of tea, but hey everyone is entitled to try something new, good Luck .
Master Your Setup, Master Your self. (NQoos)
  • #6,279
  • Nov 23, 2016 10:05am Nov 23, 2016 10:05am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} After you discussed NZDUSD here, I decided to go short on a retest of the broken TL. Looks promising. {image}
We just have to be patient now.
  • #6,280
  • Dec 7, 2016 5:44am Dec 7, 2016 5:44am
Quoting calderone
{quote} We just have to be patient now.
Regarding the hs on nzdusd, the neckline should have been sloped the other way. I am really unsure about this pair. Margin was increased by my broker on this one.
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