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The Really Useless Thread

  • #145,441
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:04am Nov 18, 2016 10:04am
I see people going long here, trying to pick the bottom i guess.. This gives me more confidence in shorting even at this level........SHORT, SHORT, SHORT!!!!!!!!
  • #145,442
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:05am Nov 18, 2016 10:05am
@janpec1000, micro is not in my vocabulary, neither is parity right now

I think following Donald Trump on twitter and facebook maybe the best and quickest way to get presidential information...this guy loves social media.

Trump posted 100 day plan on FB yesterday. Gotta say, I'd love to see all of them happen.
  • #145,443
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:13am Nov 18, 2016 10:13am
Quoting Pharm0r
@janpec1000, micro is not in my vocabulary, neither is parity right now I think following Donald Trump on twitter and facebook maybe the best and quickest way to get presidential information...this guy loves social media. Trump posted 100 day plan on FB yesterday. Gotta say, I'd love to see all of them happen.
Nice plan, please inform us when he do some mistake or unpopular decision . It is needed ( and wanted ) for USD to turn .
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #145,444
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:19am Nov 18, 2016 10:19am
Quoting Xxavier
I see people going long here, trying to pick the bottom i guess.. This gives me more confidence in shorting even at this level........SHORT, SHORT, SHORT!!!!!!!!
Is that what you base your trades off of? Other people in this thread? I'm assuming so as I've yet to see any resemblance of a trade plan or chart since you joined the thread.

Perhaps you should stop pretending and put forth some effort. Your last chart was 2012?
  • #145,445
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:21am Nov 18, 2016 10:21am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Nice plan, please inform us when he do some mistake or unpopular decision . It is needed ( and wanted ) for USD to turn .
I suspect social media will get him in hot water over the next 4 years. I think during the 60 minutes interview they asked him whether or not he was still going to use social media, and his answer was pretty much along the lines of "its the quickest form of communication". Lol his publicist better be a rock star
  • #145,446
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:23am Nov 18, 2016 10:23am
Quoting Xxavier
I see people going long here, trying to pick the bottom i guess.. This gives me more confidence in shorting even at this level........SHORT, SHORT, SHORT!!!!!!!!
Happy to help.
  • #145,447
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:25am Nov 18, 2016 10:25am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} I suspect social media will get him in hot water over the next 4 years. I think during the 60 minutes interview they asked him whether or not he was still going to use social media, and his answer was pretty much along the lines of "its the quickest form of communication". Lol his publicist better be a rock star
LOL, yeah.

Would be perfect if he published some shit like he did during he's campaign now around 1:1 ratio for USDX in just two weeks. A cycle mostly takes 3 months or more. The rubber band is stretched, need some FA now..
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Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #145,448
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:26am Nov 18, 2016 10:26am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} I suspect social media will get him in hot water over the next 4 years. I think during the 60 minutes interview they asked him whether or not he was still going to use social media, and his answer was pretty much along the lines of "its the quickest form of communication". Lol his publicist better be a rock star
So far he is his own publicist. Pretty good at it too obv.
  • #145,449
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:27am Nov 18, 2016 10:27am
It was funny, because they asked his wife if she ever tells him what he's about to say is a bad idea and she was like "all the time...he just never listens"
  • #145,450
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:31am Nov 18, 2016 10:31am
FB notifications just told me "The President-elect just beat your high score on Candy Crush"
  • #145,451
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:33am Nov 18, 2016 10:33am
...and that was it for the week. Europe going home and we have pretty much the high and low of the day and week set across the board. A great couple of week for currencies but for now is the traditional "choose your poison time" for those in Equities starting with the US closing session for the early birds.

On the rest of the board, nothing new all markets in synch without surprises... On the thread I have read very little opinions on direction, expectations and 'maps' for next FX legs and a lot of trigger ideas...

Q: What do you guys think general market expectations are for next few weeks? Are we trading hikes?, risk ? what? and what is the mid term direction?

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #145,452
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:34am Nov 18, 2016 10:34am
Quoting Pharm0r
It was funny, because they asked his wife if she ever tells him what he's about to say is a bad idea and she was like "all the time...he just never listens"
☺
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  • #145,453
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:37am Nov 18, 2016 10:37am
short term - 1.0573x target - 1.084x
midterm - 1.136x target - closed all .... same levels , same all
long term - Neutral ...
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Re-Incarnated
  • #145,454
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:39am Nov 18, 2016 10:39am
Quoting sisse
...and that was it for the week. Europe going home and we have pretty much the high and low of the day and week set across the board. A great couple of week for currencies but for now is the traditional "choose your poison time" for those in Equities starting with the US closing session for the early birds. On the rest of the board, nothing new all markets in synch without surprises... On the thread I have read very little opinions on direction, expectations and 'maps' for next FX legs and a lot of trigger ideas... Q: What do you guys think general...
we will trade "RISK" ... MID-TERM SAME LEVEL , SAME ALL...
Re-Incarnated
  • #145,455
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:51am Nov 18, 2016 10:51am
Quoting primejarvis
{quote} we will trade "RISK" ... MID-TERM SAME LEVEL , SAME ALL...
What risk? From where? What are your same mid term levels?

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #145,456
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:52am Nov 18, 2016 10:52am
Quoting sisse
.... Q: What do you guys thing market expectations are general for the next few weeks? Are we trading hikes?, risk ? what? and what is the mid term direction? sisse
I guess my feeling is that dollar may mostly hold its breath here until news. I am thinking hikes expectations have had most of their effect on eu at this point.

Hikes+dovish ecb = chop around looking for new catalysts for a slow drift north
Hikes+ hawkish ecb= drift north
No hikes+dovish ecb= spike up
No hikes + taper talk ecb= spikemageddon

Will map when I can get to a computer.
Short Term=Neutral
Mid term = Sell right? But not sure for how long or if FA factors (FED/ECB) will make it turn on a dime sooner than later. That's the part where I feel like my boat may be too big, in that my long works for short term Neutral but not for mid term sell.
  • #145,457
  • Nov 18, 2016 10:56am Nov 18, 2016 10:56am
Quoting goosebone
{quote} I guess my feeling is that dollar may mostly hold its breath here until news. I am thinking hikes expectations have had most of their effect on eu at this point. Hikes+dovish ecb = chop around looking for new catalysts for a slow drift north Hikes+ hawkish ecb= drift north No hikes+dovish ecb= spike up No hikes + taper talk ecb= spikemageddon Will map when I can get to a computer. Short Term=Neutral Mid term = Sell right? But not sure for how long or if FA factors (FED/ECB) will make it turn on a dime sooner than later. That's the part where...
I see so you are pretty much bullish Euro bias in expectations. Anybody else?

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #145,458
  • Nov 18, 2016 11:01am Nov 18, 2016 11:01am
Quoting sisse
Q: What do you guys think general market expectations are for next few weeks? Are we trading hikes?, risk ? what? and what is the mid term direction? sisse
the scale of the moves suggests that the expectations translated into these moves are beyond the next few weeks and Dec hike is fully priced in...for euro* side there is ECB ,Italy referendum and German/French elections , for USD there is FED and Trump taking office .

Market is looking for higher interest rates and fiscal policy stimilus for next year or at least that's what it makes us believe for now.

Risk should be on as soon as Jan 2017 , market could be in denial or something beyond our charts is cooking . Recession ?!! Trump is a real threat for trade deals .

Mid term direction is down via Brexit and US , Long term we might be forming a bottom if populist movement doesn't take over as EZ is on track as biggest gloabl reserve for currencies .
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #145,459
  • Edited 11:17am Nov 18, 2016 11:05am | Edited 11:17am
Quoting sisse
{quote} I see so you are pretty much bullish Euro bias in expectations. Anybody else? sisse
Sisse if i may ask, the outlook was changed from buy to neutral for US Equites? If i have missed anything or i may be wrong. Now chose your posion time in Equites defines EUR equites or only US? Am still learning please forgive if i may sound stupid. Your last comment on Equites was choking on highs or make a new high in coming sessions. But Dow cant seem to pass 19300 and SP500 2220 this i have on my Map for W1 to go in till DEC so called sata rally. There is also 2370 for SP500 n Dow 19800 above. Am i missing something?
Sorry for the Edit
  • #145,460
  • Nov 18, 2016 11:13am Nov 18, 2016 11:13am
Quoting sisse
{quote} What risk? From where? What are your same mid term levels? sisse
Risk of getting a hike ... + Ecb not tapering ... Extension of QE ... Midterm levels not changed the flow same in sort a small +/-200 - 250 pips retrace .. Breaching the .064x and a close above might take it to close the gap @.086x ... 
If breached the .0517x the above flow might not get effective ... 
Correct me if I am wrong ...
Re-Incarnated
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