The Really Useless Thread | Page 7249 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

The Really Useless System 25 replies

Bloomberg: VIX Indicator useless for forecasting the direction of equity prices 0 replies

The Really Really Boring Forex System 97 replies

Attachments: The Really Useless Thread
Exit Attachments

The Really Useless Thread

  • #144,961
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:07pm Nov 8, 2016 9:07pm
Bye Bye Bye MX Peso ... All Eyes on yen 101.8x which is THE KEY one if we are going to get a risk off knee jerk reaction (not expected) play across the currency board with the final tweet from FL or any for this matter ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,962
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:08pm Nov 8, 2016 9:08pm
seems markets micro-alligning for a panic leg continuation
  • #144,963
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:15pm Nov 8, 2016 9:15pm
Quoting chester123
seems markets micro-alligning for a panic leg continuation
75% 81% chances for Trump...we started at 82% for Clinton.... we are aligning for a clean sweep. sisse declaring Trump a winner

This is a done deal. There is no way she can buck the trend ...all swing States and not only them are showing the same pattern.

Media wants to squeeze the ratings and interest. Markets have spoken, real votes counted are on pure technicalities Media are not declaring them winners.

Is not rocket science with all the information we have handy. Run the maths in OH, NC and FL ...and there is zero statistical change (because of the statistical distribution) to flip them now even if mathematically there is enough votes left...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,964
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:18pm Nov 8, 2016 9:18pm
Good call Sisse.
  • #144,965
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:21pm Nov 8, 2016 9:21pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} 75% 81% chances for Trump...we started at 82% for Clinton.... we are aligning for a clean sweep. sisse declaring Trump a winner This is a done deal. There is no way she can buck the trend ...all swing States and not only them are showing the same pattern. Media wants to squeeze the ratings and interest. Markets have spoken, real votes counted are on pure technicalities Media are not declaring them winners. Is not rocket science with all the information we have handy. Run the maths in OH, NC and FL ...and there is zero statistical change...
exactly, I see it as done deal. its a general trend + with around 80% counted in some states its extremely unlikely to switch the situation.

P.S.: going sleep (deserve at least 2 hours this night ). appreeciate the community here and all the valuable inputs!! Ill join the discussion of impact and changes of outlooks tomorrow.
  • #144,966
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:21pm Nov 8, 2016 9:21pm
Ohio just called trump. I will be eating a MAGA hat for breakfast tomorrow
  • #144,967
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:25pm Nov 8, 2016 9:25pm
...and YEN testing 101.8x ... all risk off markets hitting respective S and R .... The sooner they announce the winner the easier it will get for trading.

A good day for those Trump supporters and another very sad day this year for humanity and the rest of the World

GL America in your social experiment, I hope I am wrong but if he walks the talks in the campaign, history, economics and better days odds are against you.

Market wise not really major updates as we are too fresh for analysis. Mid term outlooks unexpectedly about to change for next year ....for now only the potential knee jerk reaction risk is still on the table. Yen will need to take 101.8x with force and the dominos in the FX will follow ...otherwise is back to normal trading from the European opening.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,968
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:30pm Nov 8, 2016 9:30pm
Trump Trump Trump!

Maximus Maximus Maximus

"Let justice be done though the heavens fall."
If you are new to FX don"t follow my trades, I 've blown many live accounts
  • #144,969
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:39pm Nov 8, 2016 9:39pm
...and right on time Euro completing the test 1.122x. News Flows completed across all markets. No expecting a risk off beyond the current levels without Europe and especially the US on board neither interested to track it live for today. Odds edging to 95% chances ...and still media don't dare to call it ....

Quoting sisse
Alerts triggered Euro texting 1.111x... If you don't know what you are doing ...is not the time to trade... sisse {quote} GOLD -> 1419.xx (Steel R) ----> 1315.xx (Strong R) ----> 1245.xx (FLIP) ----> 1216.xx (Support) ----> 1170.xx (Very Strong S) EURO -> 1.122x. (Strong R) ----> 1.111x [check] (Resistance) ----> 1.096x. (FLIP) ----> 1.078.x (Support) ----> 1.064x (Strong S) sisse
EURO

-> 1.122x[check] (Strong R) ----> 1.111x [check] (Resistance) ----> 1.096x. (FLIP)[failed by handful ticks] ----> 1.078.x (Support) ----> 1.064x (Strong S)

I got what I needed. All markets behaving as expected for the flows. Flat across the board and ready for the European opening.

For those across the Atlantic enjoy the talking heads making a feast of the results ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,970
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:40pm Nov 8, 2016 9:40pm
Quoting mclon
Trump Trump Trump! Maximus Maximus Maximus "Let justice be done though the heavens fall."
Thank you mate :-)
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #144,971
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:41pm Nov 8, 2016 9:41pm
Quoting sisse
sisse declaring Trump a winner This is a done deal. There is no way she can buck the trend ...
yep, HRC's air is getting thin, but if she can flip back MI and WI, and AZ stays close, it could go into the wee hours. Otoh, PA is still close and if she loses there, well....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,972
  • Nov 8, 2016 9:59pm Nov 8, 2016 9:59pm
^vix has spiked from 16 to 24 and /ES about to go > +100...I wish I hadda bought more UVXY calls....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,973
  • Nov 8, 2016 10:09pm Nov 8, 2016 10:09pm
The look on Obama's face will be priceless at the inauguration...
  • #144,974
  • Nov 8, 2016 10:11pm Nov 8, 2016 10:11pm
It's a circus over here. The only good thing is my UJ shorts, which might be longs soon. Outside of that, I'm concerned.
  • #144,975
  • Nov 8, 2016 10:20pm Nov 8, 2016 10:20pm
Quoting The Fool
^vix has spiked from 16 to 24 and /ES about to go > +100...I wish I hadda bought more UVXY calls....
Picked a handful up this morning. This ain't over yet though. But glad I did.
  • #144,976
  • Nov 8, 2016 10:22pm Nov 8, 2016 10:22pm
Quoting Pharm0r
The look on Obama's face will be priceless at the inauguration...
Looks like they could still steal it. May short EU at 1.130x
If you are new to FX don"t follow my trades, I 've blown many live accounts
  • #144,977
  • Nov 8, 2016 10:28pm Nov 8, 2016 10:28pm
Quoting goosebone
Picked a handful up this morning. This ain't over yet though. But glad I did.
Call me crazy, but if Michigan turns back to HRC then the path I see is DJT ends up with 269....day late and a dollar short. If Trump carries WA I will be butthurt on side bets....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-11-08_2025map.png Size: 149 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #144,978
  • Nov 8, 2016 10:45pm Nov 8, 2016 10:45pm
Trump insiders think they have it, via Rodger Stone.
If you are new to FX don"t follow my trades, I 've blown many live accounts
  • #144,979
  • Nov 8, 2016 11:03pm Nov 8, 2016 11:03pm
I think there is good support in the USDJPY at around 96.70/97.00, not close, but a level to put under your hat anyway....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #144,980
  • Nov 8, 2016 11:12pm Nov 8, 2016 11:12pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
I think there is good support in the USDJPY at around 96.70/97.00, not close, but a level to put under your hat anyway....
life goes on....now we can start scratching heads about what the Fed will do again...after it's all said and done we will prolly just get a deeper btfd opportunity....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
12 traders viewing now