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The Really Useless Thread

  • #144,901
  • Nov 8, 2016 5:04pm Nov 8, 2016 5:04pm
Getting and very itchy trigger finger for AU

Here's the website I watch for elections
http://www.politico.com/2016-electio.../map/president

WOW. Partial results in on politico and AU jumping. haha...gonna wait...
  • #144,902
  • Nov 8, 2016 5:11pm Nov 8, 2016 5:11pm
Quoting Pharm0r
WOW. Partial results in on politico and AU jumping. haha...gonna wait...
waiting to go long?
  • #144,903
  • Nov 8, 2016 5:16pm Nov 8, 2016 5:16pm
We are getting close to the final countdown...for today we'll track the initial flows in Euro and Gold as benchmark for the FX board. Exceptionally given the circumstances I'll chew down the maps like in the good old times in case we get some action.

Two potential flows for today/tomorrow: 'Uneventful/continuation' play or 'risk off with' drama.

A couple of hours to the deadline we are aligning for inline nothing new but is a binary event that its outside of market and economics so until exit polls are 100% clear and out or results are given there is no final call.

GOLD

-> 1419.xx (Steel R) ----> 1315.xx (Strong R) ---->...[we are here] .... 1245.xx (FLIP) ----> 1216.xx (Support) ----> 1170.xx (Very Strong S)

EURO

-> 1.122x. (Strong R) ----> 1.111x (Resistance) ---->...[we are here] .... 1.096x. (FLIP) ----> 1.078.x (Support) ----> 1.064x (Strong S)

Movers expected any time as liquidity is thin...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,904
  • Nov 8, 2016 5:17pm Nov 8, 2016 5:17pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} waiting to go long?
Yes, for a test of the high 7835

but no point in trading while election results pending imo
  • #144,905
  • Nov 8, 2016 5:21pm Nov 8, 2016 5:21pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Yes, for a test of the high 7835 but no point in trading while election results pending imo
im riding some in AU 0.77745 atm, hourly was a nice close... added smaller one at 0.7754, top is at breakeven now, ill see how it plays
  • #144,906
  • Nov 8, 2016 5:45pm Nov 8, 2016 5:45pm
Quoting sisse
We are getting close to the final countdown...for today we'll track the initial flows in Euro and Gold as benchmark for the FX board. Exceptionally given the circumstances I'll chew down the maps like in the good old times in case we get some action. Two potential flows for today/tomorrow: 'Uneventful/continuation' play or 'risk off with' drama. A couple of hours to the deadline we are aligning for inline nothing new but is a binary event that its outside of market and economics so until exit polls are 100% clear and out or results are given there...
Risk off in play if Trump win or close call and inline when HC wins by a healthy margin so we have risk off as a fairly possible outcome then R:R wise it's better to play it rather than inline in such circumstances IMO .
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #144,907
  • Nov 8, 2016 5:56pm Nov 8, 2016 5:56pm
Quoting sisse
Timeline and potential movers and shakers for tonight:

--> The second the first State close, biggest bastards will get first hand exit polls. We'll get a clear evidence if its leaning towards risk off or uneventful.[in play]
--> 12:30 GTM (7:30pEST) we have the first teaser with OHIO ...eyes on the margin. If Trump get a wide margin, the flows will start as there will be zero liquidity...
-->01:00 GMT (08:00pmEST) FL ...that is key. Day for trading can end here. Real flows expected during this round of results /exit polls.
--> By 3:00 GMT...
Here we go....heads up ...first soft potential movers and shakers coming in a few minutes....but the real deal start on the next hour or so

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,908
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:12pm Nov 8, 2016 6:12pm
hmm... too close to call exit polls in rather 'simple' States races ...all levels raised now in the FX board ...if you don't know what you are doing is not the time to learn ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,909
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:17pm Nov 8, 2016 6:17pm
Apparently the same poll that showed brexit winning (the only poll that said so) also called for a Trump win

spooky spooky!
  • #144,910
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:26pm Nov 8, 2016 6:26pm
Tighten seatbelt ...first real mover and shakers coming in a few minutes. Watch-out Euro and GOLD at the top of the hour. TA wise we are clearing flows maps signals. We may spike up and come back down but we won't be able to spike down and come back up...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,911
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:34pm Nov 8, 2016 6:34pm
Florida

  1. Trump 48.9%
  2. Clinton 48.2%

43% counted Too close ....

Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #144,912
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:34pm Nov 8, 2016 6:34pm
Ive never seen US elections in my trading "career" but the atmosphere of these ones is better than drugs...
  • #144,913
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:35pm Nov 8, 2016 6:35pm
more too close to call including key States and FL is aligning for a cluster fck ...Any confirmation from a battleground will spike us inside that 150 ticks range... nothing clear so far...which means markets still in drama mode...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,914
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:42pm Nov 8, 2016 6:42pm
There is talk that Broward and Miami-dade county haven't yet reported and those are heavily, heavily Clinton.

FL
Update, 52% counted now:

  1. Trump 49.4%
  2. Clinton 47.7%

Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #144,915
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:49pm Nov 8, 2016 6:49pm
Imagine a Trump land-slide victory

what a time to be alive
  • #144,916
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:50pm Nov 8, 2016 6:50pm
Quoting sisse
Timeline and potential movers and shakers for tonight:

--> The second the first State close, biggest bastards will get first hand exit polls. We'll get a clear evidence if its leaning towards risk off or uneventful.[in play]
--> 12:30 GTM (7:30pEST) we have the first teaser with OHIO ...eyes on the margin. If Trump get a wide margin, the flows will start as there will be zero liquidity...[in play]
-->01:00 GMT (08:00pmEST) FL ...that is key. Day for trading can end here. Real flows expected during this round of results /exit polls.[in play]
--> By 3:00 GMT...
Here we go again check the top of the hour with more results and Asia on early trading morning call today ....so far nothing clear but a clean sweep from Clinton it's slightly jittery without core results ...

On a side note, amazing similarities with some of demographics in the Brexit vote. Trump also cleaning uneducated rural areas while large urban areas and educated voters on the exactly opposite side....makes you wonder why and who has been displaced the last few years....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #144,917
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:51pm Nov 8, 2016 6:51pm
Clinton retakes the lead in Florida with 65% of the vote in, Clinton 49.2%, Trump 47.9%
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #144,918
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:53pm Nov 8, 2016 6:53pm
Quoting hoom
There is talk that Broward and Miami-dade county haven't yet reported and those are heavily, heavily Clinton. FL Update, 52% counted now: Trump 49.4% Clinton 47.7%
now in, Clinton light vantage

http://www.politico.com/2016-electio...ident/florida/
  • #144,919
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:54pm Nov 8, 2016 6:54pm
it's almost over for Trump . big counties mostly latinos coming in
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #144,920
  • Nov 8, 2016 6:55pm Nov 8, 2016 6:55pm
my 2 cents ...after many US elections ...just ignore numbers until the big cities are in ...the rest is just noise except at the end if its go to the last vote..

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
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