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Trap the Market

  • #201
  • Oct 20, 2016 6:49am Oct 20, 2016 6:49am
If you are tracking price action on EURJPY, note that the pair is now on an upward retracement within the channel on the 4H time frame. The immediate target is likely to be the upper trendline of the channel, which is proximal to the 76.4 and 61.8 Fib levels. I may be wrong. Trade safe.

KP

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPY_Update_4H_Thursday_Oct._20,_2016.png Size: 26 KB
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  • #202
  • Oct 20, 2016 8:35am Oct 20, 2016 8:35am
Quoting KeenPips
If you are tracking price action on EURJPY, note that the pair is now on an upward retracement within the channel on the 4H time frame. The immediate target is likely to be the upper trendline of the channel, which is proximal to the 76.4 and 61.8 Fib levels. I may be wrong. Trade safe. KP {image}
Updated post-retracement. Did you catch the southward move?

KP

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Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPY_Update2_4H_Thursday_Oct._20,_2016.png Size: 25 KB
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  • #203
  • Oct 23, 2016 12:02pm Oct 23, 2016 12:02pm
If you are tracking the EURUSD, expect a largely bearish disposition this week. All the technicals on the weekly, daily and 4H time frames are aligned for further southern move after a long period of sideways mode.
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  • #204
  • Oct 23, 2016 12:16pm Oct 23, 2016 12:16pm
Quoting KeenPips
If you are tracking the EURUSD, expect a largely bearish disposition this week. All the technicals on the weekly, daily and 4H time frames are aligned for further southern move after a long period of sideways mode.
On the weekly timeframe, although the horizontal channel is still in play, the order flow is largely dominated by the bears and key support zones have been broken. Recent bearish price action is disposing towards a further target downside. I may be wrong. Trade safe.
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  • #205
  • Oct 23, 2016 12:22pm Oct 23, 2016 12:22pm
Quoting KeenPips
{quote} On the weekly timeframe, although the horizontal channel is still in play, the order flow is largely dominated by the bears and key support zones have been broken. Recent bearish price action is disposing towards a further target downside. I may be wrong. Trade safe.
See relevant charts attached.

KP

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_Top-Down_Analysis_Weekly_Sunday_Oct._23,_2016.png Size: 22 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_Top-Down_Analysis_4H_Sunday_Oct._23,_2016.png Size: 22 KB
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  • #206
  • Oct 23, 2016 3:48pm Oct 23, 2016 3:48pm
If you would like to track EURGBP this week for possible productive trading opportunities, consider the weekly technical outlook below:

The trend on the EURGBP is primarily upwards but the sentiment of the immediate price action is for a retracement to the downside.

On the weekly time frame, the pair has been on an upward trend since November 2015. It has completed two price waves to the upside. A third price wave was being completed but for the fact that the pullback (the B-C or 2-3 move) was not conclude last week. The price is still at the 32.8 Fib retracement level. Much likely the pullback will continue and target somewhere around the 50.0 and 61.8 Fib levels, a zone that is proximal to the immediate weekly support zone (0.88118 - 0.87011). Last week, a bearish rejection candle was formed which reinforced the bearish mood earlier created two weeks ago by a long tail doji. For details on this and a few other pairs, check weekly technical outlook.

I may be wrong. Trade safe.

KP

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBP_Top-Down_Analysis_Weekly_Sunday_Oct._23,_2016.png Size: 32 KB
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  • #207
  • Oct 25, 2016 2:05am Oct 25, 2016 2:05am
If you are tracking GBPAUD, note that it is in an ascending channel on the 4H time frame in a predominant down trend. A break of the channel to the downside, perhaps after the current retracement should be of interest. Trade safe.

KP

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Click to Enlarge Name: GBPAUD_Top-Down_Analysis_Update_4H_Tuesday_Oct._25,_2016.png Size: 21 KB
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  • #208
  • Oct 25, 2016 2:10am Oct 25, 2016 2:10am
I will be watching GBPNZD like a hawk until it violates the conditions for the trap I am setting for it on the 4H time frame. Can you see the trap? It is linked with a break of the channel on the 4H time frame (magenta colour). Trade safe.


KP

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPNZD_Update_Tuesday_Oct._25,_2016.png Size: 21 KB
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  • #209
  • Oct 26, 2016 7:51am Oct 26, 2016 7:51am
How can the video below help you trap the market? Please, note that I have no commercial relationship with the presenter or his group. Trade safe.

KP

Inserted Video
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  • #210
  • Oct 30, 2016 12:59pm Oct 30, 2016 12:59pm
Do you employ clear and specific criteria to help you determine ahead of each trading week or day which pairs to trade and how to trade them? Doing this will greatly enhance your trading results and make you a more efficient trader. For example, based on my system, only 3-4 pairs qualify for me to trade this week among the 10 pairs currently on my watch list. Trade safe.

KP
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  • #211
  • Oct 30, 2016 2:27pm Oct 30, 2016 2:27pm
Quoting KeenPips
Do you employ clear and specific criteria to help you determine ahead of each trading week or day which pairs to trade and how to trade them? Doing this will greatly enhance your trading results and make you a more efficient trader. For example, based on my system, only 3-4 pairs qualify for me to trade this week among the 10 pairs currently on my watch list. Trade safe. KP
Based on my system, I will look for the right opportunities to trade the following pairs during the week: EURGBP (Buy), GBPAUD (Sell), GBPNZD (Sell) and GBPUSD (Sell). Trade safe.

KP
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  • #212
  • Oct 30, 2016 2:41pm Oct 30, 2016 2:41pm
Quoting KeenPips
{quote} Based on my system, I will look for the right opportunities to trade the following pairs during the week: EURGBP (Buy), GBPAUD (Sell), GBPNZD (Sell) and GBPUSD (Sell). Trade safe. KP
If you are tracking the EURGBP, perhaps you will find my perspective on the pair helpful.

The pair has continued its upward move. On the weekly time frame, the pair has completed two strong price waves to the upside and a third is in progress. A piercing bullish candle formed last week seems to be an attempt by the bulls to push further upwards after a retracement two weeks ago and may target the gap created four weeks ago during the crash of the Sterling pound or at least the long tail doji created three weeks ago. The technicals on the daily time frame are in alignment with the weekly bullish disposition of the pair. For details on this pair and a few more, check weekly technical outlook.

I may be wrong. Trade safe.

KP

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBP_Top-Down_Analysis_Weekly_Sunday_Oct._30,_2016.png Size: 20 KB
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  • #213
  • Oct 31, 2016 9:22am Oct 31, 2016 9:22am
EURGBP has not been particularly remarkable - largely in sideways mode. But wait for it. Presently it is operating within a 4H S/R zone and may require a retracement to the weekly pivot before a further northward push. Otherwise, any break of that zone to the south is likely to test the beginning of the October 7 EURGBP surge.

I may be wrong. Trade safe.

KP
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  • #214
  • Oct 31, 2016 9:28am Oct 31, 2016 9:28am
Quoting KeenPips
EURGBP has not been particularly remarkable - largely in sideways mode. But wait for it. Presently it is operating within a 4H S/R zone and may require a retracement to the weekly pivot before a further northward push. Otherwise, any break of that zone to the south is likely to test the beginning of the October 7 EURGBP surge. I may be wrong. Trade safe. KP
See attached 4H chart.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBP_4H_Monday_Oct._31,_2016.png Size: 15 KB
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  • #215
  • Nov 1, 2016 10:30am Nov 1, 2016 10:30am
If you are tracking GBPUSD and want to better understand its behaviour, consider the channels it is operating in. See attached. Trade safe.

KP


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD_Update_4H_Tuesday_Nov._1,_2016.png Size: 22 KB
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  • #216
  • Nov 1, 2016 1:27pm Nov 1, 2016 1:27pm
If you are tracking the EURUSD, note that it is very much likely the pair is heading for a role flip at the immediate weekly resistance zone around 1.1150. Trade safe.

KP
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  • #217
  • Nov 6, 2016 2:35pm Nov 6, 2016 2:35pm
EURJPY Technical Outlook

The major trend is downwards on the higher time frames. However, the market has been in a consolidating mode for a long while; clearly seen on the weekly and daily time frames.
On the 4H time frame, the most recent price action has been within an ascending channel (magenta colour), with the technicals all reinforcing a further push upwards towards the distal part of the channel and possibly with a target of the immediate weekly resistance zone between 115.960 and 116.210. For more details, check weekly technical outlook.

Trade safe.

KP

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPY_Top-Down_Analysis_4H_Sunday_Nov._6,_2016.png Size: 26 KB
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  • #218
  • Nov 10, 2016 5:03am Nov 10, 2016 5:03am
To successfully track and trap the market for consistently profitable trades, you must take cognizance of the market trend and the market mode.

There is often a big difference between the market trend (particularly the major or primary market trend) and the market mode or mood. The latter is the current disposition or mood of the market and would impact significantly the outcome of your trade if your timing is wrong even if you align yourself with the market trend.

Trade safe.

KP
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  • #219
  • Nov 11, 2016 3:30am Nov 11, 2016 3:30am
Quoting KeenPips
To successfully track and trap the market for consistently profitable trades, you must take cognizance of the market trend and the market mode. There is often a big difference between the market trend (particularly the major or primary market trend) and the market mode or mood. The latter is the current disposition or mood of the market and would impact significantly the outcome of your trade if your timing is wrong even if you align yourself with the market trend. Trade safe. KP
Position traders may get away with trading the major market trend regardless of the market mood, but intraday traders who neglect this would imperil their trading accounts if it becomes habitual. Trade safe.

KP
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  • #220
  • Nov 13, 2016 6:07am Nov 13, 2016 6:07am
If you are looking to trading the EURUSD this week, trading it as a ranging pair is more likely to yield good dividend. Although its current disposition is bearish, the massive gap down last week begs for further testing and perhaps a refill. I may be wrong. Trade safe.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
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