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AUD/USD

  • #99,421
  • Nov 4, 2016 10:58pm Nov 4, 2016 10:58pm
Quoting ell3
looking at the momentum of the pair, the best trade i picked today was to buy when it fell to the 100hma at 7652. almost instant 20pips in the bag. clearly the selling from the top has become a lot milder, whereas the buying from the bottom has gotten more aggressive. just look at the number of long bullish reversal candles in the last two days. high risk of this pair bursting into 77cents early next week before the election results. from there then i'll need to reevaluate what's next. have a good weekend everybody!
Good weekend to you and all traders over here.

Next week will be filled with speculative moves. The real trend will prevail after the President is elected. Of course, wait for the dust to settle first
  • #99,422
  • Nov 6, 2016 2:05am Nov 6, 2016 2:05am
Hello Hustlers, In my opinion, A trump win might send the AUD/USD to 78 area before heading down.. while A Clinton win could send the pair down to the 74 area in no time.. Monday market might just be that Up-and-Down bizness again waiting for the BIG news.. Until 08NOV, got my fingers crossed.. What's your take on the winner guys?

HapiSundayToAll...
J
  • #99,423
  • Nov 6, 2016 4:26am Nov 6, 2016 4:26am
Quoting jusstin911
Hello Hustlers, In my opinion, A trump win might send the AUD/USD to 78 area before heading down.. while A Clinton win could send the pair down to the 74 area in no time.. Monday market might just be that Up-and-Down bizness again waiting for the BIG news.. Until 08NOV, got my fingers crossed.. What's your take on the winner guys? HapiSundayToAll... J
A Trump win might send the AUD/USD up to 78 area and a Clinton win could send the pair down to 74 area...???

Then how can you explain that? > https://www.forexcrunch.com/trade-us...ns-currencies/
I thought commodity currencies react the opposite way, as pointed to in this article as well.
No username yet? You are on my ignore list. Fuck off and do not quote me!
  • #99,424
  • Nov 6, 2016 4:53am Nov 6, 2016 4:53am
Quoting jusstin911
Hello Hustlers, In my opinion, A trump win might send the AUD/USD to 78 area before heading down.. while A Clinton win could send the pair down to the 74 area in no time.. Monday market might just be that Up-and-Down bizness again waiting for the BIG news.. Until 08NOV, got my fingers crossed.. What's your take on the winner guys? HapiSundayToAll... J
I think it will be the other way around.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,425
  • Nov 6, 2016 5:32am Nov 6, 2016 5:32am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} I think it will be the other way around.
Please How do you mean sir?
  • #99,426
  • Nov 6, 2016 6:12am Nov 6, 2016 6:12am
Quoting jusstin911
{quote} Please How do you mean sir?
AUD NZD and CAD are all risk currencies and in times of uncertainty they will be sold off.

Trumps policies will further slow Chinese and Japanese production which will eventually effect the demand for Aussie commodities, unless the US intends to buy from AU which I highly doubt.

Trump wants to stop Japanese imported cars and Chinese products into America and re establish American manufacturing.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,427
  • Nov 6, 2016 6:28am Nov 6, 2016 6:28am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} AUD NZD and CAD are all risk currencies and in times of uncertainty they will be sold off. Trumps policies will further slow Chinese and Japanese production which will eventually effect the demand for Aussie commodities, unless the US intends to buy from AU which I highly doubt. Trump wants to stop Japanese imported cars and Chinese products into America and re establish American manufacturing.
I do agree but do you think a Clinton win could send the AUD UP? Not to mention Australia's Economy bad as hell..
  • #99,428
  • Edited 6:49am Nov 6, 2016 6:38am | Edited 6:49am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} AUD NZD and CAD are all risk currencies and in times of uncertainty they will be sold off. Trumps policies will further slow Chinese and Japanese production which will eventually effect the demand for Aussie commodities, unless the US intends to buy from AU which I highly doubt. Trump wants to stop Japanese imported cars and Chinese products into America and re establish American manufacturing.
Hi PD
I don't think that's correct.He wants better deals on trade not stopping trade.Despite of lefty media brainwashing Trump is a rational person capable of making sound decisions.
He never said anywhere " Trump wants to stop Japanese imported cars and Chinese products" if he did please quote him directly.
cheers

There is lot of scared rhetoric being sold from wall street and media in general that Trump victory would melt down wall street,disrupt trade etc. I think there will be a spike down in Wall Street but temporary one.Trump wants to cut capital gains tax and deregulate lot of choking regulations which both are very good for businesses to expend and create jobs.One reason American companies leave US is excess corporate tax which is one of the highest in develop countries.Hillary never addressed this part....and I wonder how is she supposed to create jobs and tax max to same businesses that supposed to create jobs without tax break.Bottom truth is businesses need excess money for investing and if that doesn't occur chance of expansion is unlikely.
regards
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #99,429
  • Nov 6, 2016 6:39am Nov 6, 2016 6:39am
Quoting jusstin911
{quote} I do agree but do you think a Clinton win could send the AUD UP?
not initially because usd index may spike up on clinton win and will send Aud down then possibly bought back again after it settles . Its looking like AUD will test .7750 again and for me i wont sell until it reaches this level unless we get a bearish signal..

If a trump win usd index may spike down. Eur jpy chf gbp all would rise. cad aud nzd will be very volatile and may sell off to the safe havens.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,430
  • Nov 6, 2016 6:48am Nov 6, 2016 6:48am
Quoting Davit
{quote} Hi PD I don't think that's correct.He wants better deals on trade not stopping trade.Despite of lefty media brainwashing Trump is a rational person capable of making sound decisions. He never said anywhere " Trump wants to stop Japanese imported cars and Chinese products" if he did please quote him directly. cheers
He didnt say it directly but he pointed out in a speech that Japanese imports are effecting American made cars which are taking away American jobs, and I think that is his main concern giving American people their jobs back. To do that is to slow Mexican Chinese and Japanese products into America .

If you look at Thailand for example. There is a 100% tax on imported cars. That means if a Thai wanted to import a new Mustang which I think is around $45,000 usd (correct me if Im wrong) it will cost $90,000 USD. This kind of policy is keeping Thai people employed.

I believe Trump will find a way to do it.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,431
  • Nov 6, 2016 6:49am Nov 6, 2016 6:49am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} not initially because usd index may spike up on clinton win and will send Aud down then possibly bought back again after it settles . Its looking like AUD will test .7750 again and for me i wont sell until it reaches this level unless we get a bearish signal.. If a trump win usd index may spike down. Eur jpy chf gbp all would rise. cad aud nzd will be very volatile and may sell off to the safe havens.
Now it makes sense.. thanks for your input..If anything has been picked up thus far, is that the AUD is set to hit the ground regardless... Clearly you trade longer TF but on the 4hr chart, there's a Bearish Engulfing or you think it's invalid for your kind of trade entries??
  • #99,432
  • Nov 6, 2016 6:52am Nov 6, 2016 6:52am
Quoting jusstin911
{quote} I do agree but do you think a Clinton win could send the AUD UP? Not to mention Australia's Economy bad as hell..
That's not correct.Clinton victory will strengthen USD which means AU will go down. Wall Street wants Hillary to win because she is the business as usual which means more of same.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #99,433
  • Nov 6, 2016 6:57am Nov 6, 2016 6:57am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} He didnt say it directly but he pointed out in a speech that Japanese imports are effecting American made cars which are taking away American jobs, and I think that is his main concern giving American people their jobs back. To do that is to slow Mexican Chinese and Japanese products into America . If you look at Thailand for example. There is a 100% tax on imported cars. That means if a Thai wanted to import a new Mustang which I think is around $45,000 usd (correct me if Im wrong) it will cost $90,000 USD. This kind of policy is keeping...
PD
Based on his speeches he wants better deals on trade and that does not mean severe restrictions but better deal.He is after all anti regulation candidate and putting more regulation on trade is counter productive.I am sure if elected his team will sort out the loose ends on trade deals.His main argument has been that our trade deals have been mediocre and I agree with him.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #99,434
  • Edited 7:22am Nov 6, 2016 7:07am | Edited 7:22am
This is what bothers me and lot of Americans.Highest corporate tax in develop economies and we wonder why companies leave US....along with jobs.

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/coun...orate-tax-rate

Democratic party has no real solution for job growth and if last 8 years is any indication we are not progressing any meaningful way just look at out GDP growth last 8years.
Hillary wants to sell us another 4 yrs of same....could be even more costly with Obama care and more spending.Brace yourself and save your money.

With Trump victory we could possibly free up choking regulations on trading. Like rest of the world being able to open opposite trades and close whichever trade we want etc.
Under Obama lobbyists have choked up trading. This is real dangerous and we could even be forced to close retail trading in general.We must fight to keep our freedoms and liberties before every fking lobby groups chokes us to just consumer pinhead society.
If your news source is CNN ABC NBC MSNBC and many more main stream media then you are being brainwashed.These networks are biased.Look for alternative news sites online.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #99,435
  • Nov 6, 2016 7:09am Nov 6, 2016 7:09am
Quoting Davit
{quote} PD Based on his speeches he wants better deals on trade and that does not mean severe restrictions but better deal.He is after all anti regulation candidate and putting more regulation on trade is counter productive.I am sure if elected his team will sort out the loose ends on trade deals.His main argument has been that our trade deals have been mediocre and I agree with him.
Mr DAvit, You don't expect Trump to say things directly .. there are technical ways to ban/slow imports which is by increasing TAX on imported goods.. PD stated that above..
  • #99,436
  • Nov 6, 2016 7:12am Nov 6, 2016 7:12am
Quoting Davit
This is what bothers me and lot of Americans.Highest corporate tax in develop economies and we wonder why companies leave US.... http://www.tradingeconomics.com/coun...orate-tax-rate
Here in AUS we have similar problem. 1. high taxes and 2. High wages.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,437
  • Nov 6, 2016 7:17am Nov 6, 2016 7:17am
I just love the trump prediction in the Simpson. Uncanny
Inserted Video
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,438
  • Nov 6, 2016 8:12am Nov 6, 2016 8:12am
4. Tell NAFTA partners that we intend to immediately renegotiate the terms of that agreement to get a better deal for our workers. If they don’t agree to a renegotiation, we will submit notice that the U.S. intends to withdraw from the deal. Eliminate Mexico’s one-side backdoor tariff through the VAT and end sweatshops in Mexico that undercut U.S. workers.

Source-https://www.donaldjtrump.com/policies/trade/
  • #99,439
  • Nov 6, 2016 8:48am Nov 6, 2016 8:48am
Quoting Davit
This is what bothers me and lot of Americans.Highest corporate tax in develop economies and we wonder why companies leave US....along with jobs. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/coun...orate-tax-rate Democratic party has no real solution for job growth and if last 8 years is any indication we are not progressing any meaningful way just look at out GDP growth last 8years. Hillary wants to sell us another 4 yrs of same....could be even more costly with Obama care and more spending.Brace yourself and save your money. With Trump...
Thank God, I have finally found someone here who is not brainwashed and truly understands what is going on.
  • #99,440
  • Nov 6, 2016 8:50am Nov 6, 2016 8:50am
The election reminds me of folks still trading with US/NFA brokers. You are either completely brainwashed in believing the regulations are for your benefit OR you do understand the truth but are too stubborn to change your views.
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