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AUD/USD

  • #99,341
  • Oct 31, 2016 11:37pm Oct 31, 2016 11:37pm
sell audusd now strong resistance and weekly two pin bar
  • #99,342
  • Nov 1, 2016 12:29am Nov 1, 2016 12:29am
Quoting jc2181979
sell audusd now strong resistance and weekly two pin bar
i sold at 7650, but the resistance doesn't look thaaat strong yet though. looks like it could still do a bit more upside when europe opens. thinking of selling a 2nd lot if it hits 7670ish, but worried that we may end up seeing a run to 7750 or something. that would suck.
  • #99,343
  • Nov 1, 2016 12:45am Nov 1, 2016 12:45am
Quoting ell3
{quote} i sold at 7650, but the resistance doesn't look thaaat strong yet though. looks like it could still do a bit more upside when europe opens. thinking of selling a 2nd lot if it hits 7670ish, but worried that we may end up seeing a run to 7750 or something. that would suck.
I prefer to wait for london they may push it back up to .76900 and will look for a short there.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,344
  • Nov 1, 2016 1:17am Nov 1, 2016 1:17am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} I prefer to wait for london they may push it back up to .76900 and will look for a short there.
Yes, that worries me too. But I'm thinking that London pushed it up 30pips during the fix yesterday. The pair is also up almost 70pips in the last 24hours, there's a chance it may get sold down first. I'll be watching the price action from the next hour through to the London open and if I feel uneasy may end up just hedging in with a counter buy trade first.
  • #99,345
  • Nov 1, 2016 1:56am Nov 1, 2016 1:56am
Quoting ell3
{quote} Yes, that worries me too. But I'm thinking that London pushed it up 30pips during the fix yesterday. The pair is also up almost 70pips in the last 24hours, there's a chance it may get sold down first. I'll be watching the price action from the next hour through to the London open and if I feel uneasy may end up just hedging in with a counter buy trade first.
Great discussion guys.

I ofcourse can not recommend buying,  so waiting is good.  I'll buy E/A when things chill out.
 
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #99,346
  • Nov 1, 2016 2:41am Nov 1, 2016 2:41am
well, it's indeed pushing up...this is before london has opened. the daily average for this pair is 70pips. it's done 80pips. does it make sense to worry that it will continue charging up another 20-30pips from 7670? although the RBA wasn't dovish, they weren't bullish either. nothing should have changed to warrant a more serious re-pricing of the pair further upwards.
  • #99,347
  • Nov 1, 2016 3:34am Nov 1, 2016 3:34am
Quoting ell3
well, it's indeed pushing up...this is before london has opened. the daily average for this pair is 70pips. it's done 80pips. does it make sense to worry that it will continue charging up another 20-30pips from 7670? although the RBA wasn't dovish, they weren't bullish either. nothing should have changed to warrant a more serious re-pricing of the pair further upwards.
sold again @ 7673. feels safer here.
  • #99,348
  • Nov 1, 2016 4:13am Nov 1, 2016 4:13am
Quoting ell3
{quote} sold again @ 7673. feels safer here.
Hey ell3,

PA of AU been rather choppy lately, still in consolidation i must say. U short at .7673, where are u aiming for your TP?
  • #99,349
  • Nov 1, 2016 4:27am Nov 1, 2016 4:27am
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} Hey ell3, PA of AU been rather choppy lately, still in consolidation i must say. U short at .7673, where are u aiming for your TP?
yeah choppy huh. that's why i don't hold my positions overnight generally and i usually aim for 10-20 pips profit per trade for this pair when it hits key S/R levels.
TP target is 7640. looking at a retrace of today's movement. after clearing the various market opening periods, it still looks like that's the top for now. likely i will quit the positions if they don't work out before the NY open. so fingers crossed.
anyone else here short AU today?
  • #99,350
  • Nov 1, 2016 4:39am Nov 1, 2016 4:39am
Quoting ell3
{quote} yeah choppy huh. that's why i don't hold my positions overnight generally and i usually aim for 10-20 pips profit per trade for this pair when it hits key S/R levels. TP target is 7640. looking at a retrace of today's movement. after clearing the various market opening periods, it still looks like that's the top for now. likely i will quit the positions if they don't work out before the NY open. so fingers crossed. anyone else here short AU today?
I'm currently waiting for a pullback to long this pair. Monitoring PA of course. Keeping my trades for a short duration too due to NFP and Presidential election this weekend.
  • #99,351
  • Nov 1, 2016 4:42am Nov 1, 2016 4:42am
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} I'm currently waiting for a pullback to long this pair. Monitoring PA of course. Keeping my trades for a short duration too due to NFP and Presidential election this weekend.
haven't heard from you for awhile btw. are you still bullish on this pair? i'm neutral now. buy at the lows, sell at the extremes of the current range. it's quite hard to have a long view of the AUD (actually, for most pairs these days too) because of the prolonged uncertainty over US rates.
  • #99,352
  • Nov 1, 2016 4:46am Nov 1, 2016 4:46am
yes i'll sell audusd too.
  • #99,353
  • Nov 1, 2016 4:48am Nov 1, 2016 4:48am
target 0.7550
  • #99,354
  • Nov 1, 2016 4:48am Nov 1, 2016 4:48am
Quoting ell3
{quote} haven't heard from you for awhile btw. are you still bullish on this pair? i'm neutral now. buy at the lows, sell at the extremes of the current range. it's quite hard to have a long view of the AUD (actually, for most pairs these days too) because of the prolonged uncertainty over US rates.
I'm still around mate, just didn't really contribute to this thread as my trades tend to be very short term, hence i do not want to misled any traders over here.

i'm bullish on this pair because it has been making higher highs and higher lows. The only thing that affects most AU traders is when will it finally break out from .75-.77 range and resume a proper trend. I guess PA will get better after this weekend. Besides, i am trying to switch my "fixed bearish view of AU" to bullish, not easy, but still trying to convince myself that its a bullish trend.
  • #99,355
  • Nov 1, 2016 5:07am Nov 1, 2016 5:07am
hi guys, am currently short from .76700. TP = 10 pips. i appreciate the fundamental trend discussion... and fwiw i do not see it breaking .75-.77 anytime soon. FOMC rate movement is the only thing that will break it, for mine. and it would need to be something outside a DEC hike (or DEC hold). which seems reasonably obvious wont happen. FOMC is behaving with impotence. perhaps borne from the reliance on consensus. or just NFI... ha.
  • #99,356
  • Nov 1, 2016 5:09am Nov 1, 2016 5:09am
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} I'm still around mate, just didn't really contribute to this thread as my trades tend to be very short term, hence i do not want to misled any traders over here. i'm bullish on this pair because it has been making higher highs and higher lows. The only thing that affects most AU traders is when will it finally break out from .75-.77 range and resume a proper trend. I guess PA will get better after this weekend. Besides, i am trying to switch my "fixed bearish view of AU" to bullish, not easy, but still trying to convince myself that its...
Cool. Yeah the higher highs and lows can be seen, but the flat topside line at 7700-7750 neutralizes it. We need more clarity I suppose, to be convinced either way. There are so many bearish on the AUD in this thread!
  • #99,357
  • Nov 1, 2016 5:31am Nov 1, 2016 5:31am
Quoting Fhillip
{quote} Adding more long 0.7664. Hmmm... Things start to heat up and interesting, I'm against market movement, I might swept away... Theresa Chance it will back down, but I still believe it will goes up. However, I prepare my lock if price going down more.
Finally after waiting a week, price bounce back, I closed all my longs from 0.7612, 0.7625, 0.7647,0.7664 at 0.7670. With green pips.

However, I lost a little on my 2 long: 0.7673 and 0.7679.
But I'm happy, total all got many green pips in return. More than my target. So I'm so blessed..

Now will take a rest first and will see later where will start a new order place soon.
  • #99,358
  • Nov 1, 2016 6:16am Nov 1, 2016 6:16am
looking to sell AU..short term sell as pullback
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  • #99,359
  • Nov 1, 2016 6:25am Nov 1, 2016 6:25am
Quoting ell3
{quote} Cool. Yeah the higher highs and lows can be seen, but the flat topside line at 7700-7750 neutralizes it. We need more clarity I suppose, to be convinced either way. There are so many bearish on the AUD in this thread!
I still havent gone short yet. I think it will go higher but looks like the london boys have pushed it as high as it will go so now need to wait for NY.

It dont matter how many are bearish on this forum we are only there to catch the ride when it happens.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #99,360
  • Nov 1, 2016 7:47am Nov 1, 2016 7:47am
Similar to ell3 I'm short from .7652 and .7677. On the daily chart I see last high (which got Smashed) was lower than previous high, and last low lower than previous low. Also short A/C and A/CHF
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