Just for my reference

This thread is just for my reference. I will be posting up my ideas, data, setups and outcomes to reference back.

USDMXN

This pair is political and best proxy for Trumps chances. 2 areas look for shorts based on perception of Trumps wavering chances.

Lots of long bias USD/MXN still in market.

USD/ZAR

Another political trade at the moment based on charges against their finance minister which should create some uncertainty. Rand close to being rated with Junk bond status and this would only add to that possibility.

Merger finalized between InBev and SABmiller which helped strengthen the Rand last few weeks.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-sa...-idUSKCN10C2XC

USD/JPY

Possible area looking for shorts. Significant change in market last few weeks so cautious shorts possible.

USD/RUB

Best pure trade with carry for crude is Russian Ruble. Looking for short setup on USD/RUB on retrace of crude to 45 - 40 area.

Correlation to date CRUDE, Ruble and CAD. CAD disconnect presently.

AUD/CAD

Short A/C but possible retest higher. U/C still chasing higher level and Crude looking for possible retrace. Risk still possible to upside unless SPX gets momentum to downside.

SPX

Shorted SPX based on pricing not getting through the offer with some volume. Wait to see what it does at lower range but also weakening the AUD.

Increase in 10 years yields possible sign we may be in for market drop.

NZD/CAD

Short from above NC. Taken first target profits and waiting for retrace to add.

NZDCAD

Switch in sentiment on NZD reflected in charts. Interesting area and may retest. 10 year yield increase would not be helping the NZD and a large outflow of carry could be taken of with next decrease. Interesting though is the markets have dropped the chance of a decrease for November by RBNZ from 80 to 60%.

Just for my reference.

Consumer shifts lower with possible peak of business cycle.

EURUSD

EURUSD. Waiting for pattern to break but could indicate a good trade for EURAUD.

For my reference CAD - AUD - NZD

NU Reference

EDIT: Update first target taken: add in stop.

AU Reference

EDIT: Update scratch out break-even trade.

Reference GN 14th Oct

Looking for possible setup. Needs some bids in cable. Possible Carney may give.

EDIT: Update Held lower level and setup pattern. Taken first target.

UZ remains bullish with bullish test and recover so far. Has some price to get through but looking to add.

Action of two ends. GN

Lower looks very heavy at the moment and thinks it needs some Political shock treatment to get it moving.

Reference 17/10 UC

Edit - TP1 move to BE

Ref

UN Reference for lower level buy after .2 CPI, expected .0.

GN Reference

Kiwi also needs to get a little higher.

Edit: long but see if it holds

GN Reference update:

See if it holds from here but NU still has to fill.