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NZD/USD

  • #12,161
  • Oct 14, 2016 3:55pm Oct 14, 2016 3:55pm
i see lower prices in the days and weeks ahead!!
  • #12,162
  • Oct 14, 2016 4:28pm Oct 14, 2016 4:28pm
Quoting ninner
i see lower prices in the days and weeks ahead!!
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It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #12,163
  • Oct 14, 2016 4:32pm Oct 14, 2016 4:32pm
Quoting ninner
i see lower prices in the days and weeks ahead!!
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  • #12,164
  • Oct 14, 2016 4:45pm Oct 14, 2016 4:45pm
Quoting mertch
{quote} {image}
agreed. Until I see that lower trend channel broken with authority (.698) AFTER smashing through the 200 SMA (.701)...both very strong resistance levels... I'd be more inclined to believe it's a bull ride from very nearby.
  • #12,165
  • Oct 14, 2016 4:55pm Oct 14, 2016 4:55pm
Quoting bladerogers
{quote} agreed. Until I see that lower trend channel broken with authority (.698) AFTER smashing through the 200 SMA (.701)...both very strong resistance levels... I'd be more inclined to believe it's a bull ride from very nearby.
Sorry my friend but I don't trade indi, channels and trend. I don't see price as a vector, I see it up or down so I trade price action. Can you send a chart as I can understand? Thanks
  • #12,166
  • Oct 14, 2016 5:18pm Oct 14, 2016 5:18pm
Quoting mertch
{quote} Sorry my friend but I don't trade indi, channels and trend. I don't see price as a vector, I see it up or down so I trade price action. Can you send a chart as I can understand? Thanks
no problem, not sure if this will work, but lets see....

not sure how much it helps others if these do post....but what I see is price coming near lower daily trend channel which is very near the daily 200 SMA (red line). On the weekly chart it is just about to touch the 100 SMA. So I see confluence supporting a move back to the updside. That said, it could very well continue right through and head south...and if it does, I would expect it to be a strong continuation down. The 4h chart shows hidden divergence indicating in fact some more room in this downward leg, but I suspect it will end with a long tailed bullish candle on a 4h or daily chart over the next week. Until I see the candle I want though, or a trend line break, I remain on the sidelines.
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zoom out showing strength of that daily channel...since January.
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daily showing PA proximity to 200SMA daily and bottom of daily trend channel
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weekly showing PA close to 100 SMA weekly
  • #12,167
  • Oct 14, 2016 6:06pm Oct 14, 2016 6:06pm
Quoting mertch
{quote} Sorry my friend but I don't trade indi, channels and trend. I don't see price as a vector, I see it up or down so I trade price action. Can you send a chart as I can understand? Thanks
Can you explain that to me though mertch? I mean, the term Price Action, it really is very vague and yet seems to be all encompassing in the trading world as far as I can see...everyone just seems to throw it around, claims its what they use, and no real definition exists...enlighten me, what is YOUR definition thereof? Candles? candle patterns? The seemingly frivolous use of the term is really perplexing to me. Thanks!
  • #12,168
  • Oct 14, 2016 7:19pm Oct 14, 2016 7:19pm
This is a brief but at least you'll understand what we are looking for

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  • #12,169
  • Oct 14, 2016 7:40pm Oct 14, 2016 7:40pm
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  • #12,170
  • Oct 14, 2016 8:06pm Oct 14, 2016 8:06pm
Quoting bladerogers
{quote} Can you explain that to me though mertch? I mean, the term Price Action, it really is very vague and yet seems to be all encompassing in the trading world as far as I can see...everyone just seems to throw it around, claims its what they use, and no real definition exists...enlighten me, what is YOUR definition thereof? Candles? candle patterns? The seemingly frivolous use of the term is really perplexing to me. Thanks!
There is a lot of terms we use to define PA

We've got FTR FTB FL COMPRESSION QM and much more
  • #12,171
  • Oct 14, 2016 8:29pm Oct 14, 2016 8:29pm
still very much appears to rely on support/resistance levels to me, which often times coincide with trendlines/channels at reversal and continuation zones.
  • #12,172
  • Oct 14, 2016 8:38pm Oct 14, 2016 8:38pm
Quoting bladerogers
still very much appears to rely on support/resistance levels to me, which often times coincide with trendlines/channels at reversal and continuation zones.
If you said so, but we don't use trendlines and channels as we still believe that price is not a vector, and s/r is a tool as many others.

But we will mark compression zone with TL.
  • #12,173
  • Oct 14, 2016 8:43pm Oct 14, 2016 8:43pm
thanks mertch, always interested in learning of others perspectives
  • #12,174
  • Oct 14, 2016 8:52pm Oct 14, 2016 8:52pm
Quoting bladerogers
thanks mertch, always interested in learning of others perspectives
Thanks to you my friend
  • #12,175
  • Oct 15, 2016 3:27am Oct 15, 2016 3:27am
The pair NZD/USD .My technical analysis are proving that from the 4th of October to the 11th it went short (STRONG SELL POSITION FOR DAILY TRADERS AND MONTHLY TRADERS) TILL THE SUPPORT WAS HIT AND A CHANGE IN TREND OCCURRED.LETS HOPE THAT WHEN THE MARKETS OPEN NZD/USD WHILL HIT THE S/R....HOW DO YOU ALL VIEW THIS?????

PLEASE CORRECT ME IF I AM WRONG,I AM ALWAYS UP FOR LEARNING
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  • #12,176
  • Oct 15, 2016 7:45am Oct 15, 2016 7:45am
#NZDUSD Gann Grid Chart on kiwi shows that it's between the 3x1 and 4x1 angle..... but the 4x1 angle has been good suppport
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"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #12,177
  • Oct 15, 2016 7:57am Oct 15, 2016 7:57am
#NZDUSD COT Report showing that on 9-27-16 some bullish buying but lead to nothing.... large specs have not been doing heavy buying since 9-7-16 and the cross over of 9-13 and 9-20 something to keep an eye on for next week report.
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"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #12,178
  • Oct 15, 2016 8:10am Oct 15, 2016 8:10am
#NZDUSD Fib Grid Big levels to watch for next week


1.618 = 0.7304

.382 = 0.7148

.618 = 0.7052

1st I = 0.6896
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"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #12,179
  • Oct 15, 2016 8:35am Oct 15, 2016 8:35am
#NZDUSD caution on kiwi, time cycles are showing that it could be a swing pivot low if the cycles have effect on kiwi.... something to keep in the back of your mind
if you are a bear
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"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #12,180
  • Oct 16, 2016 5:02am Oct 16, 2016 5:02am
Hiiiii....break h4 tf...will waiting upside to entry sell...or any other opinions can share????thanksss...
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