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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #6,221
  • Edited Sep 23, 2016 4:27am Sep 22, 2016 9:34pm | Edited Sep 23, 2016 4:27am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, possible short trade setup {image}
GBPUSD short trade as it was suggested.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDusH423w.png Size: 43 KB
  • #6,222
  • Sep 23, 2016 6:00am Sep 23, 2016 6:00am
Your Kind of Trade .
Check out the NZDCAD H4 Also .
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Master Your Setup, Master Your self. (NQoos)
  • #6,223
  • Edited 6:19am Sep 23, 2016 6:08am | Edited 6:19am
USDCAD, short setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,224
  • Sep 23, 2016 6:10am Sep 23, 2016 6:10am
Quoting bassramy
Your Kind of Trade . Check out the NZDCAD H4 Also . {image}
looks good, but isn't it a bit oversold at that TF?
  • #6,225
  • Sep 23, 2016 6:16am Sep 23, 2016 6:16am
Quoting bassramy
Your Kind of Trade . Check out the NZDCAD H4 Also . {image}
BTW, what kind of indicator do you use on that chart?
  • #6,226
  • Sep 27, 2016 5:14pm Sep 27, 2016 5:14pm
AUDUSD, possible short setup
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  • #6,227
  • Sep 29, 2016 3:25pm Sep 29, 2016 3:25pm
AUDUSD short trade, bearish divergence played out well.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,228
  • Oct 7, 2016 4:57am Oct 7, 2016 4:57am
EURUSD short trade, there is a triangle pattern in play. If the support fails the target will be lower. The less unlikely scenario is a bullish breakout of the pattern.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,229
  • Oct 7, 2016 5:03am Oct 7, 2016 5:03am
Quoting shahab8b
AUDUSD short trade, bearish divergence played out well. {image}
AUDUSD short trade proved to be a success. The target is 0.75 and lower.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDusDaily7.png Size: 56 KB
  • #6,230
  • Oct 7, 2016 8:50am Oct 7, 2016 8:50am
AUDUSD, added more shorts at S turned R after the nfp news.
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  • #6,231
  • Oct 9, 2016 7:41pm Oct 9, 2016 7:41pm
USDJPY long setup.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYusH49.png Size: 33 KB
  • #6,232
  • Oct 10, 2016 7:02am Oct 10, 2016 7:02am
USDJPY long trade based on the setup mentioned earlier. My 3rd buy limit didn't get triggered.
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  • #6,233
  • Oct 10, 2016 11:27am Oct 10, 2016 11:27am
GBPUSD, as crazy as it may sound, I think the trade for GBPUSD is going short even at the current level with a hard stop above 1.2460.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,234
  • Oct 11, 2016 4:35am Oct 11, 2016 4:35am
Quoting shahab8b
EURUSD short trade, there is a triangle pattern in play. If the support fails the target will be lower. The less unlikely scenario is a bullish breakout of the pattern. {image}
EURUSD short trade update: the triangle pattern I pointed out earlier broke to the downside. There might be a chance to add to short positions at a retest of S turned R at 1.1140.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,235
  • Oct 11, 2016 10:09am Oct 11, 2016 10:09am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, as crazy as it may sound, I think the trade for GBPUSD is going short even at the current level with a hard stop above 1.2460. {image}
GBPUSD short trade worked out perfectly.

I don't understand why some traders try to catch a falling knife. I believe the main problem is that most traders fail to recognize the difference between a range/irregular market condition and a trending market condition. The former, which happens more often, requires trading at the S/R levels and fading overbought/oversold situations, and the latter requires a trend following approach.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,236
  • Oct 12, 2016 5:03am Oct 12, 2016 5:03am
USDCAD, there might be an opportunity to go long. The bias is up as long as S at 1.3150 holds.
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  • #6,237
  • Edited 7:13am Oct 12, 2016 5:13am | Edited 7:13am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD short trade update: the triangle pattern I pointed out earlier broke to the downside. There might be a chance to add to short positions at a retest of S turned R at 1.1140. {image}
EURUSD, moving SL to above the recent high. Its always safe to lock in some profits and let it run stress free.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDusDaily12.png Size: 67 KB
  • #6,238
  • Oct 12, 2016 9:05am Oct 12, 2016 9:05am
Quoting shahab8b
USDJPY long setup. {image}
USDJPY long trade update: its a terminal thrust of a short term triangle pattern (textbook target may be around 105-105.50), moving SL to below the recent low to protect some profits.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #6,239
  • Oct 21, 2016 6:39am Oct 21, 2016 6:39am
Ive been too busy to update my thread here. I went long USDCAD after it was supported at 1.304-1.308 multiple support levels. The formation of a dragonfly doji/long shadow candlestick confirmed the bullish bias I had from prior COT analysis posted earlier.
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  • #6,240
  • Oct 21, 2016 6:48am Oct 21, 2016 6:48am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, moving SL to above the recent high. Its always safe to lock in some profits and let it run stress free. {image}
Running the last short position on EURUSD.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDusDaily12.png Size: 67 KB
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