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  • #801
  • Sep 14, 2016 9:16am Sep 14, 2016 9:16am
Quoting manosk
We might see below 64 today.
I guess I was wrong but the situation with oil is very interesting and ultimately will be the driver to a nice move to the downside for USD/RUB.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #802
  • Sep 14, 2016 12:27pm Sep 14, 2016 12:27pm
By the way

http://moex.com/ru/contract.aspx?code=SiU6

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #803
  • Sep 15, 2016 7:01am Sep 15, 2016 7:01am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
By the way http://moex.com/ru/contract.aspx?code=SiU6 Best D.P.
To sign up?
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #804
  • Sep 15, 2016 7:02am Sep 15, 2016 7:02am
I added 1/10 of the position more to the short side at 65.03. I think something is cooking in oil and soon we will see interesting move to the upside
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #805
  • Sep 15, 2016 7:42am Sep 15, 2016 7:42am
Quoting manosk
{quote} To sign up?
no need

It is for information
look at the futures contract 9,17, the expiration is in one year. The price is 70
How do you think if it correlates to what we are thinking of price being lower 60.

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #806
  • Sep 18, 2016 10:56am Sep 18, 2016 10:56am
Futures contract of 12.16 (Dec. 16)

Best
D.P.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-09-18_20-44-00.png Size: 35 KB
Hunting High and Low
  • #807
  • Sep 19, 2016 12:02am Sep 19, 2016 12:02am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
Futures contract of 12.16 (Dec. 16) Best D.P. {image}
So we should expect a nice drop for December expiry. But what is the quantity involved?
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #808
  • Sep 19, 2016 1:36am Sep 19, 2016 1:36am
Quoting manosk
{quote} So we should expect a nice drop for December expiry. But what is the quantity involved?
Quantity of personally involved individuals trading at MOEX

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #809
  • Sep 19, 2016 3:06am Sep 19, 2016 3:06am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Quantity of personally involved individuals trading at MOEX Best D.P.
ah ok thanks for the clarification.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #810
  • Sep 21, 2016 12:24am Sep 21, 2016 12:24am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
Futures contract of 12.16 (Dec. 16) Best D.P. {image}
Brace yourselves for nice moves to the downside. It is going to be an interesting quarter.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #811
  • Sep 21, 2016 1:11am Sep 21, 2016 1:11am
Quoting manosk
{quote} Brace yourselves for nice moves to the downside. It is going to be an interesting quarter.
already

how do you expect where it can be corrected, I mean where there is the first target?

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #812
  • Sep 21, 2016 1:48am Sep 21, 2016 1:48am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} already how do you expect where it can be corrected, I mean where there is the first target? Best D.P.

First short-term target is 63.8xx, I see there the ascending bottom line of the pennant. Then 63.4x and then 62.8x. The movement could clear all targets together, for me they are check points although 62.8x is the first serious target. If it takes that then I dont see anything serious till more or less 60.5x. To me this is a really interesting pair to trade. Probably the most interesting in years.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #813
  • Sep 21, 2016 1:59am Sep 21, 2016 1:59am
Quoting manosk
{quote} First short-term target is 63.8xx, I see there the ascending bottom line of the pennant. Then 63.4x and then 62.8x. The movement could clear all targets together, for me they are check points although 62.8x is the first serious target. If it takes that then I dont see anything serious till more or less 60.5x. To me this is a really interesting pair to trade. Probably the most interesting in years.
I have now set - 65,35-1,50(contango)=63,85; I see you have had 63,4. what is that? the lowest local low?

As to the sentence, yes you are right I see it as well - there is none support level down to 60.

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #814
  • Sep 21, 2016 2:06am Sep 21, 2016 2:06am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} I have now set - 65,35-1,50(contango)=63,85; I see you have had 63,4. what is that? the lowest local low? As to the sentence, yes you are right I see it as well - there is none support level down to 60. Best D.P.
63.40 is a Fib that I have originating from a move in June which I considered important.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #815
  • Sep 21, 2016 3:19am Sep 21, 2016 3:19am
Quoting manosk
{quote} 63.40 is a Fib that I have originating from a move in June which I considered important.
thanks

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #816
  • Sep 21, 2016 11:17pm Sep 21, 2016 11:17pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} thanks Best D.P.
one hurdle cleared 63.8x, lets see what happens to the next one
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #817
  • Sep 21, 2016 11:24pm Sep 21, 2016 11:24pm
Quoting manosk
{quote} one hurdle cleared 63.8x, lets see what happens to the next one
yeah.

Corretion needed.

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #818
  • Sep 22, 2016 7:17am Sep 22, 2016 7:17am
Quoting manosk
{quote} one hurdle cleared 63.8x, lets see what happens to the next one
Second target at 63.50 was hit and some bounce is expected. Third target is 62.80. If we reach this level tomorrow I will temporarily close the short position and look to get in from a higher level.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #819
  • Sep 23, 2016 1:14am Sep 23, 2016 1:14am
Quoting manosk
{quote} Second target at 63.50 was hit and some bounce is expected. Third target is 62.80. If we reach this level tomorrow I will temporarily close the short position and look to get in from a higher level.
Everything remains the same. some bounce is expected to 64.10 to close the gap. Max bounce expected 64.50. The 63.50 support is very strong, so it will take a forceful move to break it, probably news of an output freeze agreement from OPEC or something similar.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #820
  • Sep 23, 2016 2:50am Sep 23, 2016 2:50am
Quoting manosk
{quote} Everything remains the same. some bounce is expected to 64.10 to close the gap. Max bounce expected 64.50. The 63.50 support is very strong, so it will take a forceful move to break it, probably news of an output freeze agreement from OPEC or something similar.
Here we go guys

Saudis Ready To Lower Output If Iran Agrees To Production Freeze At Current Levels Of 3.6 Mln Bpd – RTRS Sources

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=608111
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
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