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AUD/USD

  • #98,881
  • Sep 9, 2016 10:56am Sep 9, 2016 10:56am
Quoting joinup
Currently the weekly candle does not look very good for AUD bulls. I'm expecting more downside next week.
Agreed. Absolute wrong pair to long under any circumstances for now.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #98,882
  • Sep 10, 2016 2:43am Sep 10, 2016 2:43am
Quoting jpcashflow
Hi Guys, First time poster...been trading the AUD/USD for a while and have been doing well since today on 20K loss through bad judgement and greed and not sticking to my plan. Seems the AUD is smashing everything and through research i cant see any real reason for the AUD to jump so much...
Sorry man. AUD is a crap and dangerous at that.
I find it useful to wait a day or two or five after seeing some "signal ". Honestly. This crap goes up when should be down..... I bet it was some stop hunt for few bears A/U. Friday super down - hunting the E/A stops Âfilled my profits.
The drop in A/U, ÂÂwhile expected was shockingly strong. Or rather the last weeks of strength was fake and manipulated... As i always said 0.65 is target. Not advice ÂBe patient..
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #98,883
  • Sep 10, 2016 3:20am Sep 10, 2016 3:20am
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Sorry man. AUD is a crap and dangerous at that. I find it useful to wait a day or two or five after seeing some "signal ". Honestly. This crap goes up when should be down..... I bet it was some stop hunt for few bears A/U. Friday super down - hunting the E/A stops filled my profits. The drop in A/U, while expected was shockingly strong. Or rather the last weeks of strength was fake and manipulated... As i always said 0.65 is target. Not advice Be patient..
You got that right it disregards technicals fundamentals and everything else.

Nice inverse head and shoulders posing on the EUR/AUD atm Can see it on the D1 chart. https://twitter.com/Scalp_FX/status/774547006446460928
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,884
  • Sep 10, 2016 3:56am Sep 10, 2016 3:56am
I think AUS Government strongly like to see AUD staying between 0.7250 - 0.7750...

the secret for this behavior,,,,,
  • #98,885
  • Sep 10, 2016 5:15am Sep 10, 2016 5:15am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #98,886
  • Sep 10, 2016 7:23am Sep 10, 2016 7:23am
Bullish on the pair.
  • #98,887
  • Sep 11, 2016 11:58am Sep 11, 2016 11:58am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #98,888
  • Sep 11, 2016 12:07pm Sep 11, 2016 12:07pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Strong bear move after a of a major trend line and a possible double top.
  • #98,889
  • Sep 11, 2016 1:09pm Sep 11, 2016 1:09pm
Quoting Plasmalab
{image}
Good chart!
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #98,890
  • Sep 11, 2016 9:18pm Sep 11, 2016 9:18pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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TP point is 0.7603
  • #98,891
  • Sep 11, 2016 11:24pm Sep 11, 2016 11:24pm
Quoting Sitkhi
{image} TP point is 0.7603
Take care going long on AUD atm it has a very bearish outlook I think will continue down ward today/tomorrow target .74500 then waiting for aud data on Thursday.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,892
  • Sep 11, 2016 11:27pm Sep 11, 2016 11:27pm
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} Take care going long on AUD atm it has a very bearish outlook I think will continue down ward today/tomorrow target .74500 then waiting for aud data on Thursday.
4H trends keep being broken and current has just been compromised.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #98,893
  • Sep 12, 2016 12:05am Sep 12, 2016 12:05am
Right now, I can’t see the entrance for opening a deal on the asset, so I’ll wait until the price reaches one of the levels, and then I’ll make a decision.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #98,894
  • Sep 12, 2016 12:12am Sep 12, 2016 12:12am
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  • #98,895
  • Sep 12, 2016 2:38am Sep 12, 2016 2:38am
okays, short since 7584. i think it's almost time to close it out. either before the fed speakers later or if it touches 7490 / 200day MA. i doubt the sellers will be willing to drive it down much further before some profit taking first. also, it really depends on the continued sentiment. note that most of this selling has been due to USD buying and mild risk-off.
i won't look blindly at technicals and say "oh, a bearish candle has been formed, sign that it's a strong *continued* sell". there is a genuine risk of a sharp reversal if the market turns dovish USD especially since the recent turn towards bullish-usd sentiment was very sharp as well. trade safe!
  • #98,896
  • Sep 12, 2016 3:55am Sep 12, 2016 3:55am
The price is testing the support at 0.74919. If you do not support the strikes will move up to the point of 0.75276.
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  • #98,897
  • Sep 12, 2016 4:12am Sep 12, 2016 4:12am
There is a doji candlestick on the one-hour time-frame, we might see a retracement before the overall move to the downside continues.
  • #98,898
  • Sep 12, 2016 6:13am Sep 12, 2016 6:13am
Quoting vwap
{image} Edited: Non Commercials still net long it seems.

Non Commercials still net long...
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  • #98,899
  • Sep 12, 2016 6:26am Sep 12, 2016 6:26am
Quoting vwap
{quote} Non Commercials still net long...{image}
Daily chart is more then enough, in real time vs COT which is delayed and meaningless : never knows when investors will use their purchases until one see it on chart anyway.
  • #98,900
  • Sep 12, 2016 7:24am Sep 12, 2016 7:24am
Quoting Zakhar13
The price is testing the support at 0.74919. If you do not support the strikes will move up to the point of 0.75276. {image}
I've got it similar too, except that my line is drawn such that 7489 is support. My TP on the short is 7490 and I had a buy order at that same number. Looks like I've missed the boat. Now hoping that fed speakers will speak hawkish. That should be fun.
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