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  • #41
  • Aug 26, 2016 2:39am Aug 26, 2016 2:39am
我先把话撂这儿，今晚耶大妈发言必有大波
  • #42
  • Aug 26, 2016 10:15am Aug 26, 2016 10:15am
Quoting emacsen
我先把话撂这儿，今晚耶大妈发言必有大波

it's a big swing and jforex lost connection again while yellen was speaking........

luckily I have no openning postions

thats all for this week .

happy weekends ,guys

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  • #43
  • Edited 11:59pm Aug 27, 2016 10:44pm | Edited 11:59pm
Quoting emacsen
我先把话撂这儿，今晚耶大妈发言必有大波
Big & Nice movement

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I'm going to find some entries of EURUSD

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EURUSD 1min bouncing back，and might hit 1.126 area again
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EURUSD 5min shows that it dropped too much and might take 12~20 hours for bouncing to last
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GBPJPY keeping bouncing back

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  • #44
  • Aug 30, 2016 8:47am Aug 30, 2016 8:47am
历年portfolios

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File Type: csv portfolio-client.csv   59 KB | 381 downloads


and total deposits

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Lost so much
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File Type: csv fund-transfers(1).csv   1 KB | 314 downloads
File Type: csv fund-transfers_2010_2016.csv   1 KB | 300 downloads
  • #45
  • Sep 2, 2016 8:00am Sep 2, 2016 8:00am
这周差点完美，然而并没有




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下周再战
  • #46
  • Sep 4, 2016 7:54am Sep 4, 2016 7:54am
Quoting emacsen
这周差点完美，然而并没有 {image} {image} {image} 下周再战
知足吧，你已经比我强很多了
  • #47
  • Sep 4, 2016 8:26pm Sep 4, 2016 8:26pm
Quoting nomatter
{quote} 知足吧，你已经比我强很多了

在稳定复利之前啥都不要说

早日实现稳定复利，共勉
  • #48
  • Sep 4, 2016 8:29pm Sep 4, 2016 8:29pm
肥妹要走强反弹一把，且今日英国美国休市，总而言之，今日不宜交易
  • #49
  • Sep 7, 2016 7:44am Sep 7, 2016 7:44am
交易系统不完整概述(Part 1)

1.用一条均线将行情划分为两个涨跌区间，两条均线则划分为四个区间;

2.设定一个震荡指标，参数与均线对应，用来度量当前K线相对均线位置的可信程度。

在1min 到H1上面使用规则1和2，并且小时间框架服从大时间框架，完成入场点选择及止损设定


系统的优化在于，1选择怎样的均线，2选择哪种震荡指标与之相配，3合适的参数是多少？
  • #50
  • Sep 7, 2016 8:36am Sep 7, 2016 8:36am
GBPUSD还需要进一步调整，目标是1.328，确认不跌了才能继续做多

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h1上的阻力还需要进一步释放
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EURUSD需要看1.12
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USDJPY看102
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  • #51
  • Sep 8, 2016 11:56pm Sep 8, 2016 11:56pm
Trades of this week, lost all


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  • #52
  • Sep 12, 2016 7:04am Sep 12, 2016 7:04am
Quoting emacsen
Trades of this week, lost all {image} {image}
比我强
  • #53
  • Sep 18, 2016 8:33pm Sep 18, 2016 8:33pm
crazy lost of last week

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  • #54
  • Sep 25, 2016 3:04am Sep 25, 2016 3:04am
something on NZDUSD

5min
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H1
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H4
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Daily
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结论，NZDUSD还处于上涨通道里面，5min上从0.737的下跌貌似暂告终结，与H1见底反弹迹象搭配，可以促成H4的回测0.74及0.75位置。目前不适合大举做空，需待日线跌破通道。
  • #55
  • Sep 25, 2016 3:09am Sep 25, 2016 3:09am
trades of this week
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下周计划将欧美多单加仓到200K，折合杠杆40倍
  • #56
  • Sep 25, 2016 3:18am Sep 25, 2016 3:18am
推荐链接，版权属于付鹏先生所有

NZD大空头：狭路相逢的勇者

https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MjM...G7cse89xp6T#rd
  • #57
  • Sep 25, 2016 3:36am Sep 25, 2016 3:36am
  • #58
  • Sep 25, 2016 3:58am Sep 25, 2016 3:58am
援引付鹏先生公众号的一段

所有结构单一简单的经济体，一定都会面临着从贸易项下冲击转到资本项下冲击的过程，贸易项目和汇率之间的负反馈会使得资本项下先产生进一步的泡沫并开始产生失衡。
例如贸易项目的恶化- 降息预期- 利差缩小- 本币贬值，如果汇率能够修复贸易项目的负循环的话，那么就会出现本币贬值– 出口竞争力加大– 贸易项目修复– 本币稳定
但如果汇率不能够修复贸易项目的负循环（需求端的问题的话），那么这种路径对资产价格的影响就会体现出来，对于海外投资者来说，本币贬值必然意味着资产的相对价格下降，吸引力开始增加，即便本国央行持续降息，但由于当下全球主要资本输出国的利率均处于0水平，利差虽然缩小，但仍存在利差，此时资本项目下开始出现激增的资本流入，并且开始推升资产价格，而之前为了降息提振本国经济的手段会诱发本国资产价格投机的提升，也会导致本国居民开始负债加杠杆推升资产价格，而不断上涨的资产价格此时和疲软的经济和出口开始出现明显的背离，居民债务，政府债务，企业债务开始出现激增，而资产端（房地产、股市）都能明显看到短期资本流入的身影，并且开始出现泡沫化迹象。
资产端再怎么有基本面的支撑，过快的上涨，过高的负债带来的杠杆，大量短期资本（热钱、投机性资本）流入之后，一旦资本流出，基本面也会随之改变，必然是一地鸡毛
  • #59
  • Sep 26, 2016 9:36pm Sep 26, 2016 9:36pm
Good luck with the trade!
  • #60
  • Sep 30, 2016 5:09am Sep 30, 2016 5:09am
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欧日周线，坐等德银发酵
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