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NZD/USD

  • #11,981
  • Edited 2:16pm Aug 23, 2016 1:37pm | Edited 2:16pm
Quoting keizira
go down go come on baby Usd become to streght sell for NU {image}
Well see. I think NZD has a strong fundamental and technical bullish outlook, but I am wrong 99 % of the time so.

P.S: NZ Trade Balance might shock us.
  • #11,982
  • Aug 24, 2016 4:21am Aug 24, 2016 4:21am
The trend will move up to the point of 0.73477 there it takes a U-turn and go down to the support line to the point of 0.72930 and test the support line at this point.
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  • #11,983
  • Aug 24, 2016 9:59am Aug 24, 2016 9:59am
seems bullish for now...will it break out of the range?
  • #11,984
  • Aug 24, 2016 10:14am Aug 24, 2016 10:14am
Quoting newbegger
.7300 area getting stronger. A bear trap? Or is this the top? {image}
Much better now as .7332 has been breached. Classic uptrend and traders coming back from holiday will pop the top and keep the steady momentum going. I am cashing out now and wait and see n Jackson hole. I think Yellen speaks Thursday evening during Tokyo session?
Attached Image
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #11,985
  • Aug 24, 2016 10:22am Aug 24, 2016 10:22am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} Much better now as .7332 has been breached. Classic uptrend and traders coming back from holiday will pop the top and keep the steady momentum going. I am cashing out now and wait and see n Jackson hole. I think Yellen speaks Thursday evening during Tokyo session? {image}
Wow, market dropped 10 pips right as I sold. My measly $30,000 in contracts moved the markets, lol!
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #11,986
  • Edited 11:52am Aug 24, 2016 10:54am | Edited 11:52am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} Wow, market dropped 10 pips right as I sold. My measly $30,000 in contracts moved the markets, lol!
So did you go long or short? I had the impression u were going to buy based on your last post.
  • #11,987
  • Aug 25, 2016 7:48am Aug 25, 2016 7:48am
Quoting Boferer
{quote} So did you go long or short? I had the impression u were going to buy based on your last post.
I covered longs so I sold 3 mini lots NZDUSD.

I am flat at the moment and waiting for the Jackson Hole Speech. Technically I am bullish but watch fundamentals. The Yellen speech will move the market and I don't want to buy here anyway. Much better to buy on a dip (.7240 area) or on a breakout (.7340 area).
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #11,988
  • Aug 25, 2016 8:16am Aug 25, 2016 8:16am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} I covered longs so I sold 3 mini lots NZDUSD. I am flat at the moment and waiting for the Jackson Hole Speech. Technically I am bullish but watch fundamentals. The Yellen speech will move the market and I don't want to buy here anyway. Much better to buy on a dip (.7240 area) or on a breakout (.7340 area).
Thank you for your response. I´ll cover my longs too.
  • #11,989
  • Aug 26, 2016 8:09am Aug 26, 2016 8:09am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} I covered longs so I sold 3 mini lots NZDUSD. I am flat at the moment and waiting for the Jackson Hole Speech. Technically I am bullish but watch fundamentals. The Yellen speech will move the market and I don't want to buy here anyway. Much better to buy on a dip (.7240 area) or on a breakout (.7340 area).
Just broke the area of a breakout. Did you buy? I didnt add to my positions yet, waiting for the Auntie Yellen
  • #11,990
  • Aug 26, 2016 9:50am Aug 26, 2016 9:50am
Broke above and waiting for close. Unless Yellen comes out and says there may be rate hike in September, safe to buy dips now. May be best to cover before next FED and RBNZ meetings and put out our line after the meeting in case they move markets but if you are a risk taker, keep longs in the pair until... Year-end?
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Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #11,991
  • Aug 26, 2016 9:53am Aug 26, 2016 9:53am
Quoting newbegger
Broke above and waiting for close. Unless Yellen comes out and says there may be rate hike in September, safe to buy dips now. May be best to step aside for next FED and RBNZ meetings but if you are a risk taker, keep longs in the pair until... Year-end? {image}
Exactly what I thought. I am waiting for the close too, then I am going to buy it on the dip. We´ll see how it plays out. There´s definetly long momentum on the daily and weekly trend. I´ll hold onto my positions if the monthly turns long too + ofc count in RBNZ and FED. RBNZ´s Wheeler admitted defeat in his own way, but he still may surprise us.
  • #11,992
  • Aug 26, 2016 10:05am Aug 26, 2016 10:05am
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Quoting Boferer
{quote} Just broke the area of a breakout. Did you buy? I didnt add to my positions yet, waiting for the Auntie Yellen
I am back in longs now, just one mini so far. Will add as price rises or dips +-30 pips. I bought first lot when it broke back through .7332 (got .7333). Stops below .7288 and if it drops to .7303 or breaks through and holds above .7363 I will add.
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #11,993
  • Edited 11:34am Aug 26, 2016 10:21am | Edited 11:34am
Quoting newbegger
{image} {quote} I am back in longs now, just one mini so far. Will add as price rises or dips +-30 pips. I bought first lot when it broke back through .7332 (got .7333). Stops below .7288 and if it drops to .7303 or breaks through and holds above .7363 I will add.
I am watching for a bottom and when the technicals are in place, Ill add to my long positions too.

Its pushing way too down for my liking. It should be a huge psychological boost if it manages to close above .7300 this week.
  • #11,994
  • Aug 26, 2016 11:46am Aug 26, 2016 11:46am
Quoting Boferer
{quote} I am watching for a bottom and when the technicals are in place, Ill add to my long positions too. Its pushing way too down for my liking. It should be a huge psychological boost if it manages to close above .7300 this week.
I closed at .7307 instead of adding. This looks like a stop clearing run, or rumors of Sept. hike, bombs in Saudi Arabia, etc, etc.

Too crazy for me, I am done for the week
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. Happy Weekend.
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #11,995
  • Aug 26, 2016 11:53am Aug 26, 2016 11:53am
do not take a long poisiton on this pair, keep your shorts
  • #11,996
  • Aug 26, 2016 1:00pm Aug 26, 2016 1:00pm
atm the daily candle looks really impressive and for me it looks like that the daily high was just a fake breakout. I expect more downside next week.
  • #11,997
  • Aug 26, 2016 2:22pm Aug 26, 2016 2:22pm
yes only short
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  • #11,998
  • Aug 26, 2016 2:50pm Aug 26, 2016 2:50pm
Quoting joinup
atm the daily candle looks really impressive and for me it looks like that the daily high was just a fake breakout. I expect more downside next week.
You cant say that - it was news induced. This might as well be a stop clear run like newsbegger pointed out. I expect more upside in the weeks to come.
  • #11,999
  • Aug 26, 2016 2:56pm Aug 26, 2016 2:56pm
Quoting Boferer
{quote} You cant say that - it was news induced. This might as well be a stop clear run like newsbegger pointed out. I expect more upside in the weeks to come.
well, we will see who's right
  • #12,000
  • Aug 26, 2016 3:07pm Aug 26, 2016 3:07pm
Quoting joinup
{quote} well, we will see who's right
IMHO, the direction of the market now really depends on the NFP. For now, its just words, but if NFP and Unemployment turns out good then its heading south.
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