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AUD/USD

Quoting mamalujo
Any gaps people?
Not as of yet, high of 7659 and a low of 7647 currently 7652
Hi friends

I hope go to long term bearish for AUDUSD and bullish for EUROAUD , maybe 2 weeks

this is my view:

just worried about Thursday news.................
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First post!
A few thoughts:
1. There is resistance in the .7750 area which resulted in the reversal on 8/11. Beautiful bearish shooting star/doji star pattern on the daily chart.
2. Price is still bullish on the daily chart and beyond. Healthy support at .7600.
3. If price breaks through .7600, the pitchfork will break, and this could get more bearish price action. Next significant support is @ .7250!
4. US economic data has been OK especially compared to the rest of the world. If there is no confidence in China its hard to have any is the Aussie.

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Quoting mamalujo
Any gaps people?
You can check it here by yourself: http://www.xe.com/?r=
Simple is powerful all the time.
The legendary dragon rider has a new prey , now watching little Aussie sheep. Too easy for long time, over bought and fat, ready to be slaughtered. Beware, death will come upon you. .
The RBA minutes are going to come out very early in the morning
Germany and London traders usually jump on the back of it- when they open
Attached is a screen shot of what happened last month
If its following the trend into the open - wait for it to pull back
Good luck
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Quoting Pip-Miner
The legendary dragon rider has a new prey , now watching little Aussie sheep. Too easy for long time, over bought and fat, ready to be slaughtered. Beware, death will come upon you. .
bounced off 7637.
made my first buy trade from there today and closed at 7646.8.
looks heavy still, although the pattern drawn is inconclusive. pattern recognition tells me it could really go either way from here.

if it falls, then down to 7637 first...and then to 7621-26 area of next support. if it rises back, it'll be key to see if it retakes the 200hour MA (now at 7652.8). if it does, then likely it's not ready for the downside yet.
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in daily chart we could saw that buyer lost power and gravestone doji as indication then seller taker control with bearish engulfing
enjoy your trade
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Quoting bocet
in daily chart we could saw that buyer lost power and gravestone doji as indication then seller taker control with bearish engulfing enjoy your trade {image}
True, nice observation, but is dangerous to invest for the down side
Attempt on shorts on daily off 0.7759 top for a potential ending diagonal c yellow, SL @ invalidation near top of (4)
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Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
Into higher time frame resistance on the daily.

The 4 hour shows the rejection nicely.

Finally, the hourly with a potential low risk sell zone if price comes back.
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Quoting skyhok
Attempt on shorts on daily off 0.7759 top for a potential ending diagonal c yellow, SL @ invalidation near top of (4) {image}
Looks how i see it.

AUD is forecast to be at .59 by 2020
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
AUD has just recovered back above the 200hour MA...key level.
Broken back above 7660, which was another key S/R level.
Also heading towards 100hour MA @ 7687.
If it breaks 100hour MA, it's quite clear then it's still bullish. I'm looking to go long from the 200h MA if it traces back down. Otherwise will pick up long above the 100h MA if it sustains above on the first retest after breaking through.
Nice UP, very powerful UP
Quoting Allchart
Nice UP, very powerful UP
I think we have to retest 0.80 at least once more and reject that level for price moves back into the 0.60's

AUD/USD is in the process of completing a perfect ABCD pattern on the Daily (Sorry, at work and no charts), of which the CD leg ends at 0.80
Follow me at andrewfx2020 (dot) com
Quoting Fader123
The RBA minutes are going to come out very early in the morning Germany and London traders usually jump on the back of it- when they open Attached is a screen shot of what happened last month If its following the trend into the open - wait for it to pull back Good luck {image}
RBA minutes - indicate "only a small chance of a reduction in the cash rate at the present meeting"

This is bullish on the AUD- up 20 pips since 7am

COT increased longs as well

Approaching offers .7680 and .7700- so expecting some resistance

Going to hold it for the rest of the day I think- and just trail it
Aud strong, bought against the sterling, already out..

I will not shorting this now.....
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
Just exited my barrage of long entries at 7680 with decent profit. feeling verrrry lucky n stupid for being indisciplined.

I was long audusd after bad US data on friday, how ever i missed the opportunity to exit around 7720, so i got angry and kept adding long positions as price kept dropping all the way down to 7645.

So of course i could not enjoy my weekend seeing that i was a sitting duck in a pool of alligators, market could have opened with a gap down or price could have dropped below7635( asia low). really could not sleep as 100 pips down would have taken me out. All i did was put a hedge at 7680, exit my platform and pray price gets there.

It just feels good opening my mt4 platform to see market did 1.76806.

Now i can relax and enjoy breakfast and go learn some discipline.
Taking a short here , 7675, see if we can test the lows again, see if the daily and weekly pivot is enough to send it down for a bit, cheers all
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