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NZD/USD

  • #11,941
  • Aug 5, 2016 9:27am Aug 5, 2016 9:27am
Looks like that .7116 is key. If she breaks lower, your chart is correct. (And, I am hoping so! I'm short NSDUSD)
  • #11,942
  • Aug 8, 2016 10:09pm Aug 8, 2016 10:09pm
All the past swing lows being respected on the way back up.

Bounce out of the higher time frame red zone, and then the red cross showing short term respect to the level for your potential entry.

Has this one got further upside in it?
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  • #11,943
  • Aug 9, 2016 4:15am Aug 9, 2016 4:15am
Quoting idaho19
Looks like that .7116 is key. If she breaks lower, your chart is correct. (And, I am hoping so! I'm short NSDUSD)
What is the NZD telling us? 7110 is a bridge too far on the short side, the gov't prefers a weaker kiwi, but the market is not cooperating.
  • #11,944
  • Aug 9, 2016 4:35am Aug 9, 2016 4:35am
I think that a .25 rate cut is priced in at current levels..
maybe one of three situations could happen:
- no rate cut -> kiwi to the moon
- effective .25 rate cut -> kiwi goes up
- more than .25 rate cut -> kiwi dips and we buy the dip
  • #11,945
  • Aug 9, 2016 4:37am Aug 9, 2016 4:37am
Quoting Karpa
I think that a .25 rate cut is priced in at current levels.. maybe one of three situations could happen: - no rate cut -> kiwi to the moon - effective .25 rate cut -> kiwi goes up - more than .25 rate cut -> kiwi dips and we buy the dip

Yep, they need to cut by .50 if they hope to lower exchange rate, and any dip from that may only last a day
  • #11,946
  • Aug 9, 2016 9:11am Aug 9, 2016 9:11am
I see them cutting by 0.5 and having a dovish statement. The last cut, just propelled the Kiwi, if their objective is to lower exchange rate, then a .25 cut will not do it. .5 with a dovish statement is the way to go... I see an 80% chance it is a .5 cut.
  • #11,947
  • Aug 10, 2016 1:17am Aug 10, 2016 1:17am
Quoting hantousha
I see them cutting by 0.5 and having a dovish statement. The last cut, just propelled the Kiwi, if their objective is to lower exchange rate, then a .25 cut will not do it. .5 with a dovish statement is the way to go... I see an 80% chance it is a .5 cut.

0.50%, difficult

to 0.25%, or 0 would
  • #11,948
  • Aug 10, 2016 3:18am Aug 10, 2016 3:18am
Anyone shorting?
  • #11,949
  • Aug 10, 2016 3:34am Aug 10, 2016 3:34am
Quoting andrern2000
Anyone shorting?
Yep, from 7235
  • #11,950
  • Aug 10, 2016 3:37am Aug 10, 2016 3:37am
Im waiting until 6:30 am (Australian Central Standard Time) Hopefully will go a bit higher before hand
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #11,951
  • Aug 10, 2016 3:56am Aug 10, 2016 3:56am
think the NZD will go down before people will buy in the dip..
  • #11,952
  • Aug 10, 2016 11:18am Aug 10, 2016 11:18am
im short from .7245 Hoping for a .50bp cut. if only ,25 i think it still dips initially but then may recover. if thats the case ill close position likely on one of the high volatility dips
  • #11,953
  • Aug 10, 2016 12:09pm Aug 10, 2016 12:09pm
oh and if no cut it's safe to say im boned. lol
  • #11,954
  • Aug 10, 2016 2:02pm Aug 10, 2016 2:02pm
reversed to long with no loss, phew
  • #11,955
  • Aug 10, 2016 2:12pm Aug 10, 2016 2:12pm
This was a very hawkish releases. They did not mention any cuts in December. Buy NZD on dips. AUDNZD will go to 1 in coming months.
Its all in the mind.
  • #11,956
  • Aug 10, 2016 5:29pm Aug 10, 2016 5:29pm
Short @ .72991
Wheeler wants a lower dollar but no comment on when and if they will intervene
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #11,957
  • Aug 10, 2016 5:35pm Aug 10, 2016 5:35pm
Any feel for the NZD retail sales reports due tomorrow?
  • #11,958
  • Aug 10, 2016 5:46pm Aug 10, 2016 5:46pm
Here we are again at .7300. Let's see if we get the breakthrough this time or if this level holds again.
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #11,959
  • Aug 10, 2016 6:16pm Aug 10, 2016 6:16pm
Buy NZDUSD 7273 SL 7250 TP 7340
  • #11,960
  • Aug 10, 2016 9:42pm Aug 10, 2016 9:42pm
Quoting PaulDaemon
Short @ .72991 Wheeler wants a lower dollar but no comment on when and if they will intervene
Closed 40 pips
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
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