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C-12's Supply, Demand and PA thread

  • #4,481
  • Jul 29, 2016 7:22am Jul 29, 2016 7:22am
Quoting simond2002
Keeping an eye on USDCAD here {image}
Damit that USDCAD was delicious.

Learned a bit more about entry signals here - marked up that chart again - added it to the collection
  • #4,482
  • Jul 29, 2016 8:24am Jul 29, 2016 8:24am
Quoting simond2002
{quote} Damit that USDCAD was delicious. Learned a bit more about entry signals here - marked up that chart again - added it to the collection
Yep, looked like a good one in the end.. Still short on UCAD but was concerned we might get one of those dead Fridays.

Not too sure on the Indi. Will check the settings when I get back home but I think the weak ones are on.
  • #4,483
  • Jul 29, 2016 9:01am Jul 29, 2016 9:01am
Damn.. I knew moving stops up to trail was a bad idea....
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  • #4,484
  • Jul 29, 2016 9:55am Jul 29, 2016 9:55am
GU
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  • #4,485
  • Jul 29, 2016 10:00am Jul 29, 2016 10:00am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Yep, looked like a good one in the end.. Still short on UCAD but was concerned we might get one of those dead Fridays. Not too sure on the Indi. Will check the settings when I get back home but I think the weak ones are on.
i used to be terrified of 1 minute windows and only used 5min up till now.

but my broker has encouraged me to use it, and its real good when there lot of volatility. goes well with bollinger bands
  • #4,486
  • Jul 29, 2016 10:27am Jul 29, 2016 10:27am
I think it's safe to say this was a solid setup.

No bollinger bands required on this one.
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  • #4,487
  • Jul 30, 2016 5:32am Jul 30, 2016 5:32am
Quoting C-12
I think it's safe to say this was a solid setup. No bollinger bands required on this one. {image}
Nice one.

Would the supdem have printed a supply zone at the top of the prior move, and the semafor print a level-3 high?

Been interesting to compare method

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  • #4,488
  • Jul 30, 2016 12:32pm Jul 30, 2016 12:32pm
Quoting simond2002
{quote} Nice one. Would the supdem have printed a supply zone at the top of the prior move, and the semafor print a level-3 high? Been interesting to compare method {image}
Yes I think it would on both counts.

There was a cheeky little move to clear out the stops on FOMC night. It looks like the solid H4 break below the up trendline was a first confirmation this was doing lower.

There have been a few decent H4 setups this week across most of the majors.

Kiwi was quite a good one since we had a fresh H4 demand to hide a stop behind and plenty of room up and we know those midzones on the left can create engulfing entries going up.
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  • #4,489
  • Jul 31, 2016 10:23am Jul 31, 2016 10:23am
UJ faster than I thought
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  • #4,490
  • Aug 2, 2016 7:27am Aug 2, 2016 7:27am
i got this using c-12's method . theres a lot but sorry cant participate lately coz im really busy with work loads .
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  • #4,491
  • Aug 2, 2016 11:30am Aug 2, 2016 11:30am
Quoting alrightfrank
i got this using c-12's method . theres a lot but sorry cant participate lately coz im really busy with work loads . {image}
Not sure I can claim credit for method but I know what you mean about work.

I'm going for a more measured approach, less M5 and more H4/M30. I think this is more efficient in the long run and less hassle.

GU has been threatening to break for a few days.
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  • #4,492
  • Aug 2, 2016 8:14pm Aug 2, 2016 8:14pm
H4/M30, noted sir!
  • #4,493
  • Aug 3, 2016 3:20am Aug 3, 2016 3:20am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Not sure I can claim credit for method but I know what you mean about work. I'm going for a more measured approach, less M5 and more H4/M30. I think this is more efficient in the long run and less hassle. GU has been threatening to break for a few days. {image}
How often do you tried to get away from the LTFs?
  • #4,494
  • Aug 3, 2016 11:29am Aug 3, 2016 11:29am
Quoting MCFly
{quote} How often do you tried to get away from the LTFs?
True but now I've not got any choice.

I've been moved to sit next to the head of IT at work so can't remote back and trade the intraday M5 PA...
  • #4,495
  • Aug 3, 2016 11:33am Aug 3, 2016 11:33am
On the plus side, these kind of setups are great.

Slap M30 next to H4 and you can catch these kind of moves with less hassle.

A good one formed on UCAD also but that one arrived a bit too late for me to catch.
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  • #4,496
  • Aug 3, 2016 11:40am Aug 3, 2016 11:40am
UCAD

You can basically watch H4 PA form (while watching M30 for entry).

Notice the M30 supply formed at the beginning and retested with engulf as H4 rollled over.. We then get another pullback to add more in direction of H4.

So rather than try and anticipate (guess) direction, just roll with the PA instead.
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  • #4,497
  • Aug 3, 2016 11:42am Aug 3, 2016 11:42am
I have no idea in advance if UCAD is going up or down, but would have pulled pips out of this PA (if I was at the screen).
  • #4,498
  • Aug 3, 2016 11:48am Aug 3, 2016 11:48am
sold audnzd. Probably wont go that far down but if it reaches 2:1 i just put my stop to break even

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  • #4,499
  • Edited 12:25pm Aug 3, 2016 12:12pm | Edited 12:25pm
Quoting NaughtyPip
sold audnzd. Probably wont go that far down but if it reaches 2:1 i just put my stop to break even {image}
Hey, this can work (it's solid valid supply zone) but you're going against the H4 direction(at this moment in time at least).

I'm not saying it wont work but I would have preferred the earlier buys (once H4 had confirmed the bull action).

I would then have used this zone to lighten up on longs rather than reversal.

Now H4 bear PA can develop here to confirm the move but I'd like to see what that structure would look like if it forms.
  • #4,500
  • Aug 3, 2016 12:46pm Aug 3, 2016 12:46pm
Quoting C-12
{quote} Hey, this can work (it's solid valid supply zone) but you're going against the H4 direction(at this moment in time at least). I'm not saying it wont work but I would have preferred the earlier buys (once H4 had confirmed the bull action). I would then have used this zone to lighten up on longs rather than reversal. Now H4 bear PA can develop here to confirm the move but I'd like to see what that structure would look like if it forms.
im expecting a retrace after the heavy up move. If you look at weekly and daily we are in daily and weekly engulf bases. We could get a reaction here although my tp is very generous i will probably lessen it.
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