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Geppy's Geppy Thread (GBP/JPY)

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  • Post #17,681
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:00am Jul 14, 2016 11:00am
  •  Geppy
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 6,871 Posts
Quoting Shoezgal
Disliked
for the time being i think 1) no more good news for the GBP, only thing moving it is technicals 2) BOJ is not until 19 july, and hearing Abe is going on vacation next week 3) previously towards 105 japanese exporters were very active selling the pair down 4) it's friday tomorrow people will want to book profits thus....though it pains me, i have to cut my longs. hopefully we can get another signal next week to ride another wave up or down. Geppy's analysis had helped me a lot, thanks
Ignored
Hey Shoezgal, I think you've got a pretty spot on assessment here. I'd also invite you to read this:

"It's Prohibited By Law" - A Problem Emerges For Japan's "Helicopter Money" Plans

The article is here at ZeroHedge: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...er-money-plans
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
 
 
  • Post #17,682
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:05am Jul 14, 2016 11:05am
  •  goldgirl
  • Joined Apr 2016 | Status: Member | 970 Posts
Quoting zackgallardo
Disliked
{quote} it will go to 144. but it retrace. Target retrace 139.4
Ignored
Me too
 
 
  • Post #17,683
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:05am Jul 14, 2016 11:05am
  •  Shoezgal
  • | Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Member | 70 Posts
thanks geppy, still hurting from IB giving me a stuck long gbpjpy position at 142. erased all the profits i've made in the past week or so. will be awaiting your analysis to help make it back
 
 
  • Post #17,684
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:11am Jul 14, 2016 11:11am
  •  Geppy
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 6,871 Posts
Quoting Shoezgal
Disliked
thanks geppy, still hurting from IB giving me a stuck long gbpjpy position at 142. erased all the profits i've made in the past week or so. will be awaiting your analysis to help make it back
Ignored
I hate to tell you this, but it is not IB's fault. They are an extremely reputable broker.

The only reason you got a position you're unhappy with is because you chose to trade during a high-risk event with extremely thin liquidity. Your dealer did their job: giving you the best fill possible on your trade.

I used to play poker semi-professionally and I still play a fair amount for fun. There is no shortage of players that get pissed off and blame the dealer for their luck. The reality is these players made terrible plays and decisions; they are the ones that got themselves where they were. I loved playing against these types of players though because I know they'd never improve. Their inability to admit their own failures, learn from them, and improve as a player ensured they'd be stuck as a losing player forever.

And I'd be taking their money.
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
 
 
  • Post #17,685
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:21am Jul 14, 2016 11:21am
  •  Shoezgal
  • | Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Member | 70 Posts
yes it was my mistake, and i'm already crying over it...now no choice but to make it back slowly
 
 
  • Post #17,686
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:48am Jul 14, 2016 11:48am
  •  mamalujo
  • | Joined Aug 2012 | Status: Member | 643 Posts
Quoting Shoezgal
Disliked
yes it was my mistake, and i'm already crying over it...now no choice but to make it back slowly
Ignored
trust me, you really needed this experience. i bet next time you know better to stay flat before a significant data....nfp, rates etc. Cut your losses and move on with the lesson and more importantly ensure you dont put yourself in this sort of situation again. Trust me all traders have gone through it. Trading around times like this is simply gambling. You also may need to watch your money management.

Cheers to better trading.
 
 
  • Post #17,687
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:54am Jul 14, 2016 11:54am
  •  Shoezgal
  • | Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Member | 70 Posts
yes well said, lesson learnt!
 
 
  • Post #17,688
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 12:06pm Jul 14, 2016 12:06pm
  •  zackgallardo
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 38 Posts
Quoting mamalujo
Disliked
{quote} trust me, you really needed this experience. i bet next time you know better to stay flat before a significant data....nfp, rates etc. Cut your losses and move on with the lesson and more importantly ensure you dont put yourself in this sort of situation again. Trust me all traders have gone through it. Trading around times like this is simply gambling. You also may need to watch your money management. Cheers to better trading.
Ignored
yes. its true. dont bet when the market open or during News...
 
 
  • Post #17,689
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 12:59pm Jul 14, 2016 12:59pm
  •  Geppy
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 6,871 Posts
Quoting mamalujo
Disliked
{quote} trust me, you really needed this experience. i bet next time you know better to stay flat before a significant data....nfp, rates etc. Cut your losses and move on with the lesson and more importantly ensure you dont put yourself in this sort of situation again. Trust me all traders have gone through it. Trading around times like this is simply gambling. You also may need to watch your money management. Cheers to better trading.
Ignored
Yep, more good points. And yes, we've all do it.
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
 
 
  • Post #17,690
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 2:23pm Jul 14, 2016 2:23pm
  •  perebeks
  • | Joined Apr 2008 | Status: Member | 49 Posts
Quoting Shoezgal
Disliked
for the time being i think 1) no more good news for the GBP, only thing moving it is technicals 2) BOJ is not until 19 july, and hearing Abe is going on vacation next week 3) previously towards 105 japanese exporters were very active selling the pair down 4) it's friday tomorrow people will want to book profits thus....though it pains me, i have to cut my longs. hopefully we can get another signal next week to ride another wave up or down. Geppy's analysis had helped me a lot, thanks
Ignored
Hello mate, what's going down on July 19th?
 
 
  • Post #17,691
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 5:40pm Jul 14, 2016 5:40pm
  •  Geppy
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 6,871 Posts
Hot of the presses, gang. I think my fingers are smoking after all that typing!

I've made a lot of changes to my positions today and have some new thoughts on what's to come for GBP/JPY.

Read all about it here: http://www.forexmademillionaire.com/...undup-7142016/
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
 
 
  • Post #17,692
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 7:48pm Jul 14, 2016 7:48pm
  •  Shoezgal
  • | Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Member | 70 Posts
perebeks sorry typo meant 29 July boj meeting
 
 
  • Post #17,693
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 10:12pm Jul 14, 2016 10:12pm
  •  Geppy
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 6,871 Posts
Hey gang, she's ripping!

I'm still not in a trade and don't plan on making any more this week (if I can help it).

Here's an interesting scenario though:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: Screenshot 2016-07-14 19.10.16.png
Size: 155 KB


A fib extension on the hourly puts a 100% extension target at ~146.20

That level actually corresponds incredibly well with the 50% daily fib retracement (notice I redrew it from the high just before Brexit:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: Screenshot 2016-07-14 19.11.47.png
Size: 181 KB


With all the risk-on we're seeing, I really wouldn't be surprised to see us trade that high. It could even happen by end of day tomorrow.

Something to consider.
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
 
 
  • Post #17,694
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 10:33pm Jul 14, 2016 10:33pm
  •  ins0mnia
  • | Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 9 Posts
Quoting Geppy
Disliked
Hey gang, she's ripping! I'm still not in a trade and don't plan on making any more this week (if I can help it). Here's an interesting scenario though: {image} A fib extension on the hourly puts a 100% extension target at ~146.20 That level actually corresponds incredibly well with the 50% daily fib retracement (notice I redrew it from the high just before Brexit: {image} With all the risk-on we're seeing, I really wouldn't be surprised to see us trade that high. It could even happen by end of day tomorrow. Something to consider.
Ignored
Got about 160 pips over the last hour plus... TP set at 143.0 right below R1. You think it can get above that before a retrace?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: GBPJPY m1 (07-14-2016 2126).png
Size: 29 KB
 
 
  • Post #17,695
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 10:37pm Jul 14, 2016 10:37pm
  •  goldgirl
  • Joined Apr 2016 | Status: Member | 970 Posts
Saw flat price last night at 140ish. Reentered long at 140.27. Hopefully make it through to 144
 
 
  • Post #17,696
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 10:47pm Jul 14, 2016 10:47pm
  •  AussieForexM
  • | Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Member | 221 Posts
Quoting Geppy
Disliked
Hot of the presses, gang. I think my fingers are smoking after all that typing! I've made a lot of changes to my positions today and have some new thoughts on what's to come for GBP/JPY. Read all about it here: http://www.forexmademillionaire.com/...undup-7142016/
Ignored
Hey Geppy!

I've been following your blog for some time now and just wanted to say publically that I enjoy reading your posts. Your simple, yet concise rationale / style is refreshing.

I'm going to support your operation @ Patreon.

Cheers!
Follow me at andrewfx2020 (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #17,697
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:10pm Jul 14, 2016 11:10pm
  •  belgeran
  • | Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 268 Posts
Quoting goldgirl
Disliked
{quote} Surely do. I am just analyzing base on simple S/R . I am not well-verse with complicated indicators like pivot points and fibo though I have some knowledge on them.
Ignored
thanks goldgirl!.. hmms.. just couldn't see a S/R on that... will see what i'm missing..hehe
 
 
  • Post #17,698
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:12pm Jul 14, 2016 11:12pm
  •  belgeran
  • | Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 268 Posts
Quoting goldgirl
Disliked
Saw flat price last night at 140ish. Reentered long at 140.27. Hopefully make it through to 144
Ignored
was hoping that 143 will turn the tide though..... tried to find the top a few times today and got burnt through
 
 
  • Post #17,699
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:22pm Jul 14, 2016 11:22pm
  •  Geppy
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 6,871 Posts
Quoting ins0mnia
Disliked
{quote} Got about 160 pips over the last hour plus... TP set at 143.0 right below R1. You think it can get above that before a retrace? {image}
Ignored
Wouldn't be at all surprising, man. Any retraces seem to be bought like crazy. Baby is ripping!
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
 
 
  • Post #17,700
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2016 11:22pm Jul 14, 2016 11:22pm
  •  Geppy
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 6,871 Posts
Quoting AussieForexM
Disliked
{quote} Hey Geppy! I've been following your blog for some time now and just wanted to say publically that I enjoy reading your posts. Your simple, yet concise rationale / style is refreshing. I'm going to support your operation @ Patreon. Cheers!
Ignored
Thanks for the kind words, man. Glad to know you find the daily roundups useful.
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
 
 
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