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AUD/USD

  • #97,801
  • Jun 30, 2016 4:52am Jun 30, 2016 4:52am
Quoting belgeran
its climbing... all resources currencies are climbing... hmmss... risk is on?
The force awakens.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Without having an understanding of down, you can never appreciate up.
  • #97,802
  • Jun 30, 2016 4:55am Jun 30, 2016 4:55am
No news, commodities up, Fed hesitant to raise rates. Explains the upside.

In saying that RBA need to cut rates, and the cpi figure will be the big kicker for the aud into the second half of this year. Ive got no technicals but people been saying its hovering around 100/200 ma so thats probably a good target until we see some significant news.

Im long term short.
  • #97,803
  • Jul 2, 2016 2:37am Jul 2, 2016 2:37am
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  • #97,804
  • Jul 2, 2016 8:37am Jul 2, 2016 8:37am
Quoting She1
{image}
Worth to try that level..
Peace Yo!
  • #97,805
  • Jul 2, 2016 9:14am Jul 2, 2016 9:14am
And for next open tomorrow, do not forget elections today! Very important for AUD
  • #97,806
  • Jul 2, 2016 9:22am Jul 2, 2016 9:22am
Quoting bagXpert
And for next open tomorrow, do not forget elections today! Very important for AUD
Its a close call but looks like libs have it in the bag.

In any case i expect Gap down on Monday.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #97,807
  • Jul 2, 2016 9:27am Jul 2, 2016 9:27am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} Its a close call but looks like libs have it in the bag. In any case i expect Gap down on Monday.
Yes please. A very huge gap down. For my pleasure
  • #97,808
  • Jul 2, 2016 10:53am Jul 2, 2016 10:53am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} Its a close call but looks like libs have it in the bag. In any case i expect Gap down on Monday.
Don't mind me asking, but why do you expect a gap down?
  • #97,809
  • Jul 2, 2016 12:27pm Jul 2, 2016 12:27pm
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} Don't mind me asking, but why do you expect a gap down?
You can read about that here:
http://www.australiandollarforecast....ry/aud-to-gbp/

But can some body tell me how many pips drop is expected?
  • #97,810
  • Jul 2, 2016 7:32pm Jul 2, 2016 7:32pm
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} Don't mind me asking, but why do you expect a gap down?
Because the AUD is a risk currency and when there is uncertainty in the future it will be sold off. Right now the country is so divided and the major parties constantly bickering with each other and so many lies spilled from particularly Labor government.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #97,811
  • Jul 3, 2016 1:47am Jul 3, 2016 1:47am
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} Because the AUD is a risk currency and when there is uncertainty in the future it will be sold off. Right now the country is so divided and the major parties constantly bickering with each other and so many lies spilled from particularly Labor government.
Yes you have said the truth but the main concern in the AUD is the problem in the Chinese economy and also the uncertainty surrounding the Euro area
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  • #97,812
  • Edited 5:40am Jul 3, 2016 5:15am | Edited 5:40am
dont expect a gap down at all. its wishful thinking
  • #97,813
  • Jul 3, 2016 6:11am Jul 3, 2016 6:11am
Quoting She1
{quote} You can read about that here: http://www.australiandollarforecast....ry/aud-to-gbp/ But can some body tell me how many pips drop is expected?
Quoting PaulDaemon
{quote} Because the AUD is a risk currency and when there is uncertainty in the future it will be sold off. Right now the country is so divided and the major parties constantly bickering with each other and so many lies spilled from particularly Labor government.
Agree, thanks all!Without a clear winner, i foresee a possibility of a gap down too.
  • #97,814
  • Jul 3, 2016 6:29am Jul 3, 2016 6:29am
Quoting EuroScalper
{quote} Yes you have said the truth but the main concern in the AUD is the problem in the Chinese economy and also the uncertainty surrounding the Euro area
Much depends what RBA will do on Rates this Tues.Lot of $$ when into NZD AUD because of high swap and Brexit.
Gap between NZD and AUD is getting lot closer creating lots of pressure.
regards
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #97,815
  • Jul 3, 2016 8:22am Jul 3, 2016 8:22am
the market does not like uncertainty. Aud and Nzd down big gap, a high probability
  • #97,816
  • Jul 3, 2016 9:26am Jul 3, 2016 9:26am
With hung parliament looking like a certainty, I would be surprised if there was no gap down.

A bit of background, the rating agencies strongly implied that Australia's AAA credit rating depends on the government's ability to pass budgets which bring the deficit under control. How like is that going to happen right now? Not very...

The results of the election probably will not be finalised for several weeks, and it seems unlikely that the libs will get anything past the senate, regardless of whether they get a majority in the house, so I expect the credit agencies to have had enough and place Australia on downgrade watch soon.

I also think it's not entirely unlikely there will be another election called very soon due to the senate not passing legislation. The entire reason for this election was because the coalition government couldn't get a bill through the senate, and they just made the situation much worse now.

The overall result of this is that Australia will have a completely ineffective government (ahem... more than usual) for at least several months. On the flip side, no party is going to pass any stupid legislation or new regulations for at least a few months. Is it a win? We'll see on Monday, but I think gap down because the current situation has never happened before, and I doubt the markets will appreciate that fact.
  • #97,817
  • Jul 3, 2016 10:55am Jul 3, 2016 10:55am
Bearish on this pair.
  • #97,818
  • Jul 3, 2016 1:46pm Jul 3, 2016 1:46pm
0,7465. -30 pips for the moment...
  • #97,819
  • Jul 3, 2016 2:11pm Jul 3, 2016 2:11pm
0,7440, better...
  • #97,820
  • Jul 3, 2016 2:22pm Jul 3, 2016 2:22pm
Quoting bagXpert
0,7440, better...
is it current rate ?please share site links.thanks
i am watching
http://www.xe.com/currency/
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