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AUD/USD

  • #97,761
  • Jun 20, 2016 3:22am Jun 20, 2016 3:22am
all longs closed which i held from friday from 73030, short entry from 74614 for to 73200
  • #97,763
  • Jun 20, 2016 4:54am Jun 20, 2016 4:54am
Quoting ell3
what do you guys think about the possibility of "risk-off" (i.e. selling of risk currencies and equities) in the next few days as investors generally dump risky assets prior to the vote? i'm thinking that will quite certainly happen, and for that matter to say sell each spike in the AUD may be the safer trade. not sure when today's risk-on sentiment will wane off and turn around though. but if and when it does it could be nasty
Yes, i foresee the dumping of risky assets in the days to come prior to the vote.
Will be shorting the rallies for now. Closing out all positions by Wed.
  • #97,764
  • Jun 20, 2016 8:41pm Jun 20, 2016 8:41pm
More upside of this 5th leg v of (c) towards 0.7600s, before setting up shorts
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD 21Jun16.png Size: 55 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #97,765
  • Jun 20, 2016 8:50pm Jun 20, 2016 8:50pm
Burn baby burn!
  • #97,766
  • Jun 21, 2016 2:44am Jun 21, 2016 2:44am
Imho, if you are long on AU you should be wary of the immediate significant resistance zone around 0.750 - 0.755.
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #97,767
  • Jun 21, 2016 2:52am Jun 21, 2016 2:52am
Quoting KeenPips
Imho, if you are long on AU you should be wary of the immediate significant resistance zone around 0.750 - 0.755.
Also, although its cousin, NU, is behaving like a beastly bully, its time to bully itself upwards is near its end at the next significant weekly resistance around 0.717.
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #97,768
  • Jun 21, 2016 3:09am Jun 21, 2016 3:09am
Quoting KeenPips
{quote} Also, although its cousin, NU, is behaving like a beastly bully, its time to bully itself upwards is near its end at the next significant weekly resistance around 0.717.
Ive been waiting for the double top on N/U at .71500
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #97,769
  • Jun 21, 2016 6:16am Jun 21, 2016 6:16am
Closed a few AUD longs at 0.75, just a few pips. Watching for possible reversal, otherwise I might go for 0.755.
  • #97,770
  • Jun 21, 2016 7:39am Jun 21, 2016 7:39am
short from the tops around 0.75x
it rubs the lotion on its skin
  • #97,771
  • Jun 21, 2016 9:26am Jun 21, 2016 9:26am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
Closed a few AUD longs at 0.75, just a few pips. Watching for possible reversal, otherwise I might go for 0.755.
long only after daily close above 0.75, otherwise its risky
it rubs the lotion on its skin
  • #97,772
  • Jun 21, 2016 10:55am Jun 21, 2016 10:55am
Quoting skyhok
More upside of this 5th leg v of (c) towards 0.7600s, before setting up shorts {image}
0.75 looks great right now to load some shorts.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDDaily.png Size: 37 KB
Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #97,773
  • Jun 22, 2016 3:20am Jun 22, 2016 3:20am
Quoting big-cheez
{quote} long only after daily close above 0.75, otherwise its risky
I agree. Especially so, considering the shooting star candlestick on the daily time-frame.
  • #97,774
  • Jun 22, 2016 11:27pm Jun 22, 2016 11:27pm
what is the impact, if any, of a leave vote on the AUD?
  • #97,775
  • Jun 23, 2016 12:07am Jun 23, 2016 12:07am
Quoting jnetfx
what is the impact, if any, of a leave vote on the AUD?
Negative.

Here's NABs view ; http://www.businessinsider.com.au/na...-get-up-2016-6
  • #97,776
  • Jun 23, 2016 12:55am Jun 23, 2016 12:55am
Quoting jnetfx
what is the impact, if any, of a leave vote on the AUD?
AUD is gunndoo what it's gunnadoo regardless.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDWeekly.png Size: 27 KB
Without having an understanding of down, you can never appreciate up.
  • #97,777
  • Jun 23, 2016 12:56am Jun 23, 2016 12:56am
Let's hope for the negative outcome. It'll be good for Brits and Aussies.
  • #97,778
  • Jun 23, 2016 1:32am Jun 23, 2016 1:32am
Quoting jnetfx
what is the impact, if any, of a leave vote on the AUD?
If remain Aussie will tank because a remain is already priced in. If its a leave aussie will tank harder.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #97,779
  • Jun 23, 2016 8:04am Jun 23, 2016 8:04am
Time for the Aussie to get back in its cage? Looks like a possible end to a C wave move.

Recon a break above 0.7600 seems unlikely so have gone SHORT with a 100 PIP Stop - Aiming for around 0.7450!

.... saying that I'm probably wrong
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IPSBCR6FSS.png Size: 60 KB
  • #97,780
  • Jun 23, 2016 8:46am Jun 23, 2016 8:46am
I would not make any risky move until end of this Brexit rally.
if you can get out, get out and put a sell stop below 0.7560 instead
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