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High probability live trades

  • #921
  • Jun 9, 2016 7:17am Jun 9, 2016 7:17am
Hi guys,

First of all just wanna say that I find this to be a great thread.

Im watching EURGBP and just went short: entry 0.7826; sl 0.7851; tp 0.7773.

Let's see how it goes.
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  • #922
  • Jun 9, 2016 8:42am Jun 9, 2016 8:42am
Quoting asgcorp
if I was to trade gold I'd wait for a solid upside breakout then wait for a dip back to res/supp area and buy SL 5 TP 1270. {image}
gold moved exactly as projected previously.
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  • #923
  • Jun 9, 2016 8:53am Jun 9, 2016 8:53am
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} gold moved exactly as projected previously. {image} {image}
Staying in for 1278 level. Do not expect it manage on this push. Has lifted off positions so are anyway risk free.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #924
  • Jun 9, 2016 8:57am Jun 9, 2016 8:57am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Staying in for 1278 level. Do not expect it manage on this push. Has lifted off positions so are anyway risk free. {image}
Nice trade
  • #925
  • Jun 9, 2016 9:02am Jun 9, 2016 9:02am
gold is about to enter a major bull market to last until end of 2016. Buying and holding late June into Jan 2017 makes very big sense now. keep stacking.
  • #926
  • Jun 9, 2016 9:05am Jun 9, 2016 9:05am
Quoting asgcorp
gold is about to enter a major bull market to last until end of 2016. Buying and holding late June into Jan 2017 makes very big sense now. keep stacking.
can enter now? or hold for fomc?
  • #927
  • Jun 9, 2016 9:12am Jun 9, 2016 9:12am
Jacky that depends how you structure it. You can structure this via an option strategy with limited risk right now.

If you want to structure via FX/futures positions, there is more risk, however I'd say 95% confidence level that fed won't raise rates therefore the event being bullish for gold.

Alternatively you can structure by stacking physical or via bullionvault and that way you don't have futures exposure risks, returns will be lower but almost guaranteed.

Finally you can structure via leveraged ETFs and by owning stocks of the gold mining companies.

Or you can mix 25% options 25% futures 25% physical and 25% stocks/ETFs that's if you are buying into gold strength mid-term.
  • #928
  • Jun 9, 2016 9:13am Jun 9, 2016 9:13am
in terms of buying spot I'd expect some retrace after the current move, wait for lower price. The proper entry in spot market was upon breakout as highlighted on the chart.
  • #929
  • Jun 9, 2016 9:16am Jun 9, 2016 9:16am
spot market entry strategy: wait for H4 close above 1275 and then you can go long. But that probably won't happen this week.
  • #930
  • Jun 9, 2016 9:20am Jun 9, 2016 9:20am
gold/euro monthly. what do you think is up next?
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  • #931
  • Jun 9, 2016 9:20am Jun 9, 2016 9:20am
Quoting asgcorp
spot market entry strategy: wait for H4 close above 1275 and then you can go long. But that probably won't happen this week.
thank you. what about EurUsd.. i am short.. look for 1.1230.
  • #932
  • Jun 9, 2016 9:54am Jun 9, 2016 9:54am
Quoting JackyBD
{quote} can enter now? or hold for fomc?
If you enter here you risk to get trapped. When/if we come down to support you will be in so much pain that you decide to take a big loss and then it turns again .
So be patient , wait for level where you can enter with small risk and big reward.
Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #933
  • Jun 9, 2016 10:22am Jun 9, 2016 10:22am
Will wait for H1 candle to close outside, depending on strength of candle will either enter straight away or wait for retest of TL.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #934
  • Edited 11:01am Jun 9, 2016 10:36am | Edited 11:01am
Not seeing much dollar strength, looking quite fakey this move.

Edit: Followed through with some strength but looks like yen weakness rather than any dollar strength.
  • #935
  • Jun 9, 2016 11:23am Jun 9, 2016 11:23am
Order set at 106.650 SL -17 TP 107.25
  • #936
  • Jun 10, 2016 12:17am Jun 10, 2016 12:17am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Looks like we get an close above the Resistance area for the USD index 4H candle and then we can expect it to go to an 38.2 retracement which is in the previous 94.3 area that is next strong resistance level for the USD Index . News ( Unemployment ) was around expectation so it didn't change anything. {image}
well said my friend.
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
  • #937
  • Jun 10, 2016 5:48am Jun 10, 2016 5:48am
Very potent long setup , wait for the close of H4 and go long. You're welcome
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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G.
Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #938
  • Jun 10, 2016 7:02am Jun 10, 2016 7:02am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} So bumpy. What a mess. Been lucky and even more up. Hedged one short with buy stop order triggered just before the spike that filled the gap and got out in nice profit. And managed to get an short in with sell stop limit at the top. Still target 1.4325. {image}
Taken off 2 positions now before weekend. Has actually done 624 pips for single positions in cable this week in closed trades and has 410 pips floating

This can go deep deep deep . If we see a Brexit I dont even can imagine. So try to stack positions and take out partly profit. It will be bumpy and I expect we can see higher high on daily with a good poll . So difficult to stack without being under water sometimes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trading in the shadow of SM
  • #939
  • Jun 10, 2016 7:23am Jun 10, 2016 7:23am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Staying in for 1278 level. Do not expect it manage on this push. Has lifted off positions so are anyway risk free. {image}
Also got your 1278 I see
  • #940
  • Jun 10, 2016 7:36am Jun 10, 2016 7:36am
Quoting Earleone
{quote} Taken off 2 positions now before weekend. Has actually done 624 pips for single positions in cable this week in closed trades and has 410 pips floating This can go deep deep deep . If we see a Brexit I dont even can imagine. So try to stack positions and take out partly profit. It will be bumpy and I expect we can see higher high on daily with a good poll . So difficult to stack without being under water sometimes {image}
Long GU at 1.4337
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
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