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S&P500 trading

  • #81
  • May 8, 2016 5:00am May 8, 2016 5:00am
Quoting garyhi
{quote} I'm a newbie of around just a year's experience and trade the /ES daily. I saw in a search here someone posted the first 30 minutes is pretty volatile. Totally agree. I like 9:30 to 11:30 EST. Lunch can be boring, slow. After lunch sometime a bit quiet. The last 30 minutes is often exciting and if you've got some good insight and feeling (neither of which is real) the last minute or two can be awesome! On news events I don't know there is a correlation. I sometimes see the opposite effect, like unemployment news, one would expect. When Janet...
Trading the news can be hit & miss. At times high impact & no reaction, other times low impact & all hell breaks loose. ??????
  • #82
  • May 10, 2016 9:21am May 10, 2016 9:21am
Almost ready for resuming downtrend near 2085 on a 30min chart update.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SPX500M30 10May16.png Size: 45 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #83
  • May 10, 2016 11:04am May 10, 2016 11:04am
Quoting skyhok
Almost ready for resuming downtrend near 2085 on a 30min chart update.
Stay well above 2100 for the rest of 2016. Im looking for 2180 this month.
  • #84
  • May 10, 2016 11:21am May 10, 2016 11:21am
Quoting skyhok
Almost ready for resuming downtrend near 2085 on a 30min chart update. {image}
Looks quite bullish so far this week. I reckon we go up again tomorrow. Usually when we see big gains like that on the DOW they are followed by more gains the following day unless this really is a TOP here
  • #85
  • Edited 10:17am May 11, 2016 9:00am | Edited 10:17am
Shorts against yesterday's 2085 top on C of corrective decline A-B-C 3-3-5 wave structure.
SL @ 2086 potential target 1931.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SPX 11May16.png Size: 45 KB

Edit: On 30min TF
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #86
  • May 11, 2016 9:25am May 11, 2016 9:25am
what's ur TF if I may ask.
Enter Signature
  • #87
  • May 11, 2016 7:39pm May 11, 2016 7:39pm
Quoting skyhok
Shorts against yesterday's 2085 top on C of corrective decline A-B-C 3-3-5 wave structure. SL @ 2086 potential target 1931. {image} Edit: On 30min TF
This drop to take place within 5 trading days?? S&P500 is now at 2060.25
  • #88
  • May 14, 2016 2:02pm May 14, 2016 2:02pm
SP500 looks week and ready to go. Not trading it , but it will be fun to watch
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: [SP500]Weekly.png Size: 26 KB

trade safe
G.
Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #89
  • May 14, 2016 2:03pm May 14, 2016 2:03pm
looks quite bullish imo, we'll break the all time highs soon.
  • #90
  • May 16, 2016 11:05pm May 16, 2016 11:05pm
Substantial distribution (or right shoulder) developing before the next trending move down.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SPX500H1 17May16.png Size: 49 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #91
  • May 18, 2016 6:25am May 18, 2016 6:25am
Quoting skyhok
Substantial distribution (or right shoulder) developing before the next trending move down. {image}
Looks like we are going up first
  • #92
  • May 18, 2016 7:44pm May 18, 2016 7:44pm
Quoting stylinex
{quote} Looks like we are going up first
U are right, correction (b) is still on going with minor wave c due to complete near 2089.

Simply knowing the difference bet. impulse and correction, and the a-b-c waves within correction make it easier
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SPX500H1 19May16.png Size: 46 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #93
  • May 19, 2016 3:57am May 19, 2016 3:57am
Quoting skyhok
{quote} U are right, correction (b) is still on going with minor wave c due to complete near 2089. Simply knowing the difference bet. impulse and correction, and the a-b-c waves within correction make it easier {image}
This chart is already off because now we are at 2033 for S&P500
  • #94
  • May 19, 2016 9:25am May 19, 2016 9:25am
Quoting tunera
looks quite bullish imo, we'll break the all time highs soon.
Still convinced that's bullish or just some bulls#@$ ? ;D Here are some scenarios to think about :
Around 1959.4 there is a 50% fibo level of the previous up swing. It can bounce from there and than a) double bottom (green) b) collapse to hell ( red )
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: [SP500]Weekly.png Size: 22 KB

G.
Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #95
  • May 19, 2016 10:16am May 19, 2016 10:16am
Quoting skyhok
Substantial distribution (or right shoulder) developing before the next trending move down.
agree about distribution but there wasn't much left to distribute. much demand will come in from 1880's and lower for a few days at least in the larger intraday timeframes. 76% retrace levels seem to dominate since "everybody" knows the 50 and 62 %s.

lets see whether the low 2000s can block the shot lower before that.
Trading is simply about managing the area between your ears
  • #96
  • May 19, 2016 10:53am May 19, 2016 10:53am
Quoting MisterG
{quote} Still convinced that's bullish or just some bulls#@$ ? ;D Here are some scenarios to think about : Around 1959.4 there is a 50% fibo level of the previous up swing. It can bounce from there and than a) double bottom (green) b) collapse to hell ( red ) {image} G.
yeah was talking about the longterm, we'll see market break all time highs for sure.

can be next week or can be next year, dunno.
  • #97
  • May 19, 2016 5:07pm May 19, 2016 5:07pm
Quoting tunera
{quote} yeah was talking about the longterm, we'll see market break all time highs for sure. can be next week or can be next year, dunno.
I have to give you some credit. Interestingly enough price rejected the latest important level and formed a pinbar. It can bounce from there. That was quite unexpected but the price is the price what you gonna do
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: [SP500]Daily.png Size: 19 KB
Man lie, woman lie, numbers don't
  • #98
  • May 19, 2016 11:57pm May 19, 2016 11:57pm
Quoting MisterG
{quote} I have to give you some credit. Interestingly enough price rejected the latest important level and formed a pinbar. It can bounce from there. That was quite unexpected but the price is the price what you gonna do {image}
I for sure thought we were dropping hard after we dropped to around 2029 but here we are back up above 2040 now. G7 meeting taking place now. Hard to see a bloodbath taking place on major indexes while world leaders meet in Japan
  • #99
  • May 20, 2016 7:57pm May 20, 2016 7:57pm
Quoting stylinex
{quote} This chart is already off because now we are at 2033 for S&P500
Now it has gone up as far as 2058.
What's your view?
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #100
  • May 20, 2016 8:04pm May 20, 2016 8:04pm
Quoting planthetrade
{quote} agree about distribution but there wasn't much left to distribute. much demand will come in from 1880's and lower for a few days at least in the larger intraday timeframes. 76% retrace levels seem to dominate since "everybody" knows the 50 and 62 %s. lets see whether the low 2000s can block the shot lower before that.
Your view of the retracement is looking good.
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
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