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EUR/GBP - What a great pair to trade!

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  • Post #3,181
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  • Apr 29, 2016 8:56am Apr 29, 2016 8:56am
  •  dianajs
  • Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Member | 868 Posts
Quoting Erebus
Disliked
{quote} 0.78 looks about right {image}
Ignored
It broke above it today. I have longs now, I think next target will be around 0.7850. MA89 on the four-hour time frame is at that level.
 
 
  • Post #3,182
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  • May 3, 2016 4:59am May 3, 2016 4:59am
  •  smikester
  • Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Member | 8,618 Posts
So we bounced at .7745. Here are a couple of numbers I am watching. .7873 which is a weekly s/r level and and .7883 which is a 38.2% fib retracement. Looking at the April candle, price action suggests a reversal at the .8000 - .8100 area, So I'm looking to sell rallies.


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Gone to a better place
 
 
  • Post #3,183
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  • May 10, 2016 3:19am May 10, 2016 3:19am
  •  alayinizAMK
  • | Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 1,140 Posts
Attached Image
 
 
  • Post #3,184
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  • May 10, 2016 3:29am May 10, 2016 3:29am
  •  noriomtaa
  • | Joined Apr 2015 | Status: Junior Member | 4 Posts
Hi what time frame is this?
You've got to Get Some to Get Some!!
 
 
  • Post #3,185
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  • May 10, 2016 4:30am May 10, 2016 4:30am
  •  Erebus
  • Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Member | 7,017 Posts | Online Now
Quoting noriomtaa
Disliked
Hi what time frame is this?
Ignored
Looks like 4 hour to me, and here is another random chart with absolutely no meaning or even a hint of a trading setup

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Maximize wins, minimize loss, stay in the game as long as you can
 
 
  • Post #3,186
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  • May 10, 2016 4:52am May 10, 2016 4:52am
  •  alayinizAMK
  • | Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 1,140 Posts
sry it's h4
 
 
  • Post #3,187
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  • May 10, 2016 5:10am May 10, 2016 5:10am
  •  alayinizAMK
  • | Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 1,140 Posts
Quoting Erebus
Disliked
{quote} Looks like 4 hour to me, and here is another random chart with absolutely no meaning or even a hint of a trading setup {image}
Ignored
Attached Image

nice analysis btw looks like mine
 
 
  • Post #3,188
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  • May 10, 2016 10:24am May 10, 2016 10:24am
  •  alayinizAMK
  • | Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 1,140 Posts
this pair is so sick today
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  • Post #3,189
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  • May 11, 2016 5:39am May 11, 2016 5:39am
  •  longshot_nl
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: .... | 3,897 Posts
I have harmonics on both sides..
descending triangle only valid after break down.

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  • Post #3,190
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  • May 11, 2016 9:46am May 11, 2016 9:46am
  •  Winston Reed
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Hobby Trader | 4,477 Posts
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  • Post #3,191
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  • May 12, 2016 6:36am May 12, 2016 6:36am
  •  longshot_nl
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: .... | 3,897 Posts
I just bought the pair.
Gambling it will become a bat.

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  • Post #3,192
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  • May 12, 2016 6:49am May 12, 2016 6:49am
  •  alayinizAMK
  • | Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 1,140 Posts
Quoting longshot_nl
Disliked
I just bought the pair. Gambling it will become a bat. {image}
Ignored
macho style?
Attached Image
 
 
  • Post #3,193
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  • May 12, 2016 6:57am May 12, 2016 6:57am
  •  longshot_nl
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: .... | 3,897 Posts
Quoting longshot_nl
Disliked
I just bought the pair. Gambling it will become a bat. {image}
Ignored
stopped out..
 
 
  • Post #3,194
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  • May 12, 2016 12:46pm May 12, 2016 12:46pm
  •  smikester
  • Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Member | 8,618 Posts
I just realized I am long this pair in one account and short in another account. Both the trades could play out and make a profit, believe it or not. Different time frames, you see. Yet somehow experience is telling I doubt that will happen.
Gone to a better place
 
 
  • Post #3,195
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  • May 13, 2016 7:35am May 13, 2016 7:35am
  •  longshot_nl
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: .... | 3,897 Posts
my bearish bat got invalidated perhaps this bullish bat something for next week.

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  • Post #3,196
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  • May 13, 2016 11:51am May 13, 2016 11:51am
  •  smikester
  • Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Member | 8,618 Posts
I like shorts on this pair right now. I may have been fickle but so has the market. What I have worked out is this:

Attached Image


This bearish, divergent monthly candle is off .8000 and is off a Fibonacci level of retracement of 61.8% of the three year down trend.
Gone to a better place
 
 
  • Post #3,197
  • Quote
  • Edited 12:23pm May 13, 2016 12:06pm | Edited 12:23pm
  •  smikester
  • Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Member | 8,618 Posts
Price is now trading below the last 7 day closes. If today closes below .7860 then those days of consolidation will form strong overhead resistance. The consolidation forms a box which gives me defined levels of risk. A break out from such a box is reasonably high probability to go to 3 : 1 using 2/3 of the box as risk.

The other interesting thing about the box is the possibility it forms a right shoulder for the February 2016 highs. A strong close below .7734 would validate this head and shoulders formation. The technical target will be around .7380, but I find the trip down off the right shoulder is always a good place to start. Risk reward around 1 : 9. Not too shabby and definitely worth watching. Chart:

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I'm going to risk some of Wiggy's beer fund on this trade. I don't think he'll mind.
Gone to a better place
 
 
  • Post #3,198
  • Quote
  • May 17, 2016 1:46am May 17, 2016 1:46am
  •  attilafx
  • Joined Feb 2013 | Status: Member | 774 Posts
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  • Post #3,199
  • Quote
  • May 17, 2016 3:02am May 17, 2016 3:02am
  •  smikester
  • Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Member | 8,618 Posts
Lots of news in an hour or so. Thanks for the chart attillafx.
Gone to a better place
 
 
  • Post #3,200
  • Quote
  • May 17, 2016 4:57am May 17, 2016 4:57am
  •  nappenbir
  • | Joined Oct 2012 | Status: Member | 49 Posts
Hi!

I think pictures here!!!
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