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  • #140,201
  • Apr 28, 2016 11:29am Apr 28, 2016 11:29am
Fourth update from the /M close combo for the European close:

European equities lagging and struggling but they look set to unlock the extension for MAY.

--> Changing short term outlook in European Equities (DAX & CAC) from neutral to soft buy. Dax 10300.xx unlocks a rather fast test 11000.xx with a stopover 10750.xx before Europe gets into Brexit mode...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,202
  • Apr 28, 2016 12:19pm Apr 28, 2016 12:19pm
Quoting sisse
Fourth update from the /M close combo for the European close: European equities lagging and struggling but they look set to unlock the extension for MAY.
shitty earnings, shitty US GDP, BoJ whiff - not enough to scare the bots into sell-off algorithms. I'm still watching for SnP to test 2015 highs, riding the oil rally like a tick on a dog. US equities may rally full thru May & I will not be at all surprised to see spoos approach 2,200.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #140,203
  • Apr 28, 2016 1:18pm Apr 28, 2016 1:18pm
Quoting sisse
Second update from the FED/M close combo: June starting to look a bit out of the equation for FED hikes. Treasuries and Gold making a strong U turn after the the FED. With today's close: --> Changing short term outlook in GOLD from Sell to Soft buy to complete the ext to 1300.xx before the summer. sisse
so we are exited the from Rates Mode Trading?
  • #140,204
  • Apr 28, 2016 1:21pm Apr 28, 2016 1:21pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}shitty earnings, shitty US GDP, BoJ whiff - not enough to scare the bots into sell-off algorithms. I'm still watching for SnP to test 2015 highs, riding the oil rally like a tick on a dog. US equities may rally full thru May & I will not be at all surprised to see spoos approach 2,200.
Its pretty much a done deal ...we are going to set the high of the year before the summer ...bad news keep being good news via no hikes to worry in the short term ...

Textbook of the big bastards going over board in manic mode in Equities... Macro numbers soft, weak earnings including the king APPL collapsing, major risk on the horizon via Europe, most sectors overvalued, hikes are a done deal via inflation but as you know nobody wants to explain their investors why on earth staying on the sidelines now and missing the last rally of the year so...

Like always its going to end up bad very bad with a few bloody noses in a very sharp correction later this year ...for now just ride the pig...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,205
  • Apr 28, 2016 1:37pm Apr 28, 2016 1:37pm
Quoting sisse
...for now just ride the pig... sisse
well I don't want to, but I have to - am hedging an overloaded raft of long volatility trades for Jun with bullish May equity index trades....it's the sideways shit that really hurts me
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #140,206
  • Apr 28, 2016 1:42pm Apr 28, 2016 1:42pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} well I don't want to, but I have to - am hedging an overloaded raft of long volatility trades for Jun with bullish May equity index trades....it's the sideways shit that really hurts me
I hear you. Same shit here ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,207
  • Apr 28, 2016 1:54pm Apr 28, 2016 1:54pm
/ES sliding now....while wti pops $46.....be cool to see that oil/equities correlation break down....I'd guess we are a ways away from that but you never know, the higher oil goes the more likely that can happen.....anyway we look good for a wti attack to the $50.xx in May.....seasonal demand catching up with supply chokes?.....then there's OPEC powwow first week of June.

Yeah, sideways markets hemmed in by CB heavy hands from all sides, most volume supplied by hft bots playing ping pong with each other, a trader's best chance is a bfd of some kind - a pre Brexit panic, an asteroid flyby, something, anything, before I die of old age or boredom....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #140,208
  • Apr 28, 2016 1:58pm Apr 28, 2016 1:58pm
Quoting The Fool
/ES sliding now........
the biggest maybe smartest rats are the first to jump ship.....
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/billi...180902329.html
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #140,209
  • Apr 28, 2016 2:03pm Apr 28, 2016 2:03pm
Quoting The Fool
/ES sliding now....while wti pops $46.....be cool to see that oil/equities correlation break down....I'd guess we are a ways away from that but you never know, the higher oil goes the more likely that can happen.....anyway we look good for a wti attack to the $50.xx in May.....seasonal demand catching up with supply chokes?.....then there's OPEC powwow first week of June. Yeah, sideways markets hemmed in by CB heavy hands from all sides, most volume supplied by hft bots playing ping pong with each other, a trader's best chance is a bfd of some kind...
$50.8x and we have a multiyear, long term bottom in place for right now 48.3x is naked ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,210
  • Apr 28, 2016 2:17pm Apr 28, 2016 2:17pm
Quoting The Fool
the biggest maybe smartest rats are the first to jump ship..... https://finance.yahoo.com/news/billi...180902329.html
I am sure there are bots that follow these big dogs' every spoken or printed word in real time....equities took a dive just about the same time that story hit the wires....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #140,211
  • Apr 28, 2016 2:54pm Apr 28, 2016 2:54pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}I am sure there are bots that follow these big dogs' every spoken or printed word in real time....equities took a dive just about the same time that story hit the wires....
2100.xx held by the tick and boom ...

Profit taking on the making.... one started clearing and the domino was triggered for the M close ...herd mentality at the best...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,212
  • Apr 28, 2016 3:21pm Apr 28, 2016 3:21pm
US equities barely held but held at the end. Slightly bullish closing range for tomorrow M close. On a side note, and for those into Stocks AAPL tripping after the awful numbers and just unlocked the yearly lows for a test below... for those looking to 'buy the dip' thats ONE of the very few chances for years to come to buy value ...on the menu for this Quarter ....

Quoting sisse
++++ Quick Call 4 [update 1]++++ Small exercise to get in synch with the market in a short swing Current Euro price @ 1.130x (elapsed time 0 days 2 hours)

++++ Quick Call 4 [update 2]++++

Small exercise to get in synch with the market in a short swing

Current Euro price @ 1.135x (elapsed time 1 day 2 hours)


-> LMT SELL 1.138x -> TP => 1.118x | STP => 1.143x | r:r -=> 4:1


-> LMT SELL 1.138x

hoom, Replicant, Arshamv, Pixie666, PipJet, .IMARICH1, workingforex


> LMT SELL / -> LMT BUY

PAStalker, Grinsakh, Pharm0r, glassblower


----------------- ------------------ ----------------


-> LMT BUY 1.118x -> TP => 1.138x | STP => 1.113x | r:r -=> 4:1


-> LMT BUY 1.118x

vasily, Fadhl, primejarvis


-> LMT BUY / > LMT SELL

born, Chibaya


Euro in full chop mode in neutral ...nothing triggered yet all open for tomorrow ....nothing to see until then ....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,213
  • Apr 28, 2016 6:24pm Apr 28, 2016 6:24pm
Quoting sisse
On a side note, and for those into Stocks AAPL tripping after the awful numbers and just unlocked the yearly lows for a test below... for those looking to 'buy the dip' thats ONE of the very few chances for years to come to buy value ...on the menu for this Quarter .... {
yeah, I can't afford to buy $100 stocks, but if I could, I would wait to see what the end of Q2 brings. There could be another $20+ south for AAPL this year if we get a real risk-off shit-storm......

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/c...184606045.html
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #140,214
  • Apr 28, 2016 6:54pm Apr 28, 2016 6:54pm
Funny how months later no one ever followed up about Tim blatantly lying about Apple in China, many calling BS at the time....but who gives a shit now? Sometimes I wish the whole corrupt system would burn to the ground......

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-0...gloomy-picture

YES. Zerohedge is a conspiracy theorist nut job. But he was right. As where many of us that were like wtf....? What Tim did was illegal, and he got away with it.

Inserted Video
  • #140,215
  • Apr 28, 2016 9:01pm Apr 28, 2016 9:01pm
LOL, JC will get a primetime slot on the Guillotine Show.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #140,216
  • Apr 29, 2016 2:07am Apr 29, 2016 2:07am
planning some EU-shorts if it get's some support around 11.734

USDOLLAR D1:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Picture0129.png Size: 107 KB
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #140,217
  • Apr 29, 2016 2:23am Apr 29, 2016 2:23am
Very decent european opening range across the board. Eyes on currencies, Euro, Yen and Sterling on the move. Equities subdue with OIL flirting for a clean sweep as early as today.

Failure to take the highs/lows on most markets by the top of next hour and Asia and Europe are aligning to start clearing and killing the month/week and day rather quickly today before plenty of bank holidays next week everywhere except in the US ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,218
  • Apr 29, 2016 2:54am Apr 29, 2016 2:54am
EU Short limit triggered. Stops above 1.143x. I guess the ride down won't be easy and full of chop but something has to happen, either S/O or T/P. I'll also be looking for partial profits somewhere along the way + stop at BE. Better 1 bird in the hand than 10 in the air. Lol in English it's one bird in the hand is worth two in the bush... but hey you know what I mean. I'll let the rest run until 1.118x according to the projection outlined in this exercise.
  • #140,219
  • Apr 29, 2016 7:41am Apr 29, 2016 7:41am
Eyes on the open. We also have a trigger in contest 4:


++++ Quick Call 4 [update 3]++++

Small exercise to get in synch with the market in a short swing

Current Euro price @ 1.142x (elapsed time 1 day 16 hours)


-> LMT SELL 1.138x [check] -> TP => 1.118x | STP => 1.143x [in play] | r:r -=> 4:1


-> LMT SELL 1.138x

hoom, Replicant, Arshamv, Pixie666, PipJet, .IMARICH1, workingforex


> LMT SELL / -> LMT BUY

PAStalker, Grinsakh, Pharm0r, glassblower


----------------- ------------------ ----------------


-> LMT BUY 1.118x -> TP => 1.138x | STP => 1.113x | r:r -=> 4:1


-> LMT BUY 1.118x

vasily, Fadhl, primejarvis


-> LMT BUY / > LMT SELL

born, Chibaya


Euro running high all week... A tick above 1.143x will kill bears in the contest and thats is final ... GL all

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,220
  • Apr 29, 2016 8:19am Apr 29, 2016 8:19am
That's it for the bears!
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