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The Really Useless Thread

  • #140,121
  • Apr 26, 2016 6:04pm Apr 26, 2016 6:04pm
Quoting sisse
{quote}Check the previous 2 exercises in the thread this month both has been exactly the same flows the day before the mover and shaker of the week (and both nearly to the tick flows as today) ....try to look back and check the backposts ...you may have your Eureka moment !!!... GL sisse
Usually the case?
  • #140,122
  • Apr 26, 2016 6:30pm Apr 26, 2016 6:30pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} do or die for US equities now & AAPL crashing on a dismal ER could be the harbinger. The Market's own strumpet, Janet Yellen, need only say a single bearish syllable and the house of cards will fall, and sell in May go away will rule the day.
I owe Janet a date....457 is at 7% year to date. If only I could afford to drop more money into that sucker

I'll count myself lucky if it ends the year at the same...but I wont complain if she has the balls to carry it 7% every quarter
  • #140,123
  • Apr 26, 2016 9:47pm Apr 26, 2016 9:47pm
Quoting Pharm0r
carry it 7% every quarter
not gonna happen. If it were me I would take some (maybe all) of the 457 gains, put it in the UST bond fund, and wait for the next 10-25% drop....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #140,124
  • Edited 11:43pm Apr 26, 2016 11:14pm | Edited 11:43pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}not gonna happen. If it were me I would take some (maybe all) of the 457 gains, put it in the UST bond fund, and wait for the next 10-25% drop....
not a bad idea
  • #140,125
  • Apr 27, 2016 3:48am Apr 27, 2016 3:48am
Quoting sisse
{quote} , the FED wont have anywhere to hide after tomorrow and we will enter in imminent rates mode (RMT => Rates Mode Trading ...check back post last year for reference)

Important points. We are officially in RMT (rates mode trading), hikes will be gradual, economy is improving and inflation is ticking up
Dear Sisse,
am I right? in this mode we should see USD index upper than 100.xx ?
  • #140,126
  • Apr 27, 2016 7:28am Apr 27, 2016 7:28am
Possible moves today?
Take out the highs at 1.134x...down to 1.117x..possibly settle at 1.114x..flip level last year..if expectations play out as last year
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd27_04_16.PNG Size: 106 KB
  • #140,127
  • Apr 27, 2016 7:42am Apr 27, 2016 7:42am
Euro keeps cooking a nuclear combination on the mid term compression range. My initial forecast early this year was mid spring and It's definitely aligning for it. On top the mid term going to blow now we have major compression short term wide range that it looks ready to blow as early as today. 3rd smaller monthly range in the history of the Euro !!! ... May/June are going to be wild with the pair aligning to be back to the driver seat of FX board since early 2015.

For now entering in FOMC mode across the board after the opening range with all eyes on AAPL for the opening. Maps also cleared for today with 1.130x Euro confirmed flip level for today news flow ....plenty of action expected in the next few sessions with FED/ monthly flows in play ....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,128
  • Apr 27, 2016 10:07am Apr 27, 2016 10:07am
sisse,

Just want to clarify your comments......

Euro keeps cooking a nuclear combination on the mid term compression range.

Is this the range from .050X to .148X? (3-2015 to 4-2016)

we have major compression short term wide range -looks ready to blow

Is this the .1470 to .1210? And, what makes you consider it is ready to blow? The small range for a month? And, or TIMING of FOMC and range?

3rd smaller monthly range in the history of the Euro !!

This month has a 247 pip range (APRIL 2016); Next, smallest in this range was 277 (JAN 2016)

Trying to visually see your comments on a chart....

Thanks
  • #140,129
  • Apr 27, 2016 10:26am Apr 27, 2016 10:26am
Look as if all commodities are lining up to get tumbled
Silver is hanging on last year mid
  • #140,130
  • Apr 27, 2016 10:32am Apr 27, 2016 10:32am
...and that was it for the session. We are ready for the FOMC.

Dollar as widely expected since early this month sitting at key 94.4x for the FED with short term, mid and long term forces clashing in the key area. Bear with an upper hand for the FOMC but bulls ready to launch a major rally on the mid and long term (no shit we are in wide range in the euro).

We are set for a zigzag play in the currency board with an inline/nothing new FOMC today (meaning slightly hawkish) but a softening in GDP on sight for the Q making the M close probably the most important of the year in the currency board. All stay in neutral in dollar until the upcoming round of data but a changing in outlook looks imminent in the next few sessions.

On the rest of the board Equities, OIL and GOLD coughing and in desperate need of a push (or a pull) to continue the ride for the next few weeks in the spring.

Nothing to see until the news in a couple of hours ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,131
  • Apr 27, 2016 10:56am Apr 27, 2016 10:56am
Quoting IMARICH1
sisse, Just want to clarify your comments...... Euro keeps cooking a nuclear combination on the mid term compression range. Is this the range from .050X to .148X?
...the same mid term range we have been since march 2015 with the FED flop to the high on the FED hike 'Yellen confirmation slip' in Aug last year....

Quote
we have major compression short term wide range -looks ready to blow Is this the .1470 to .1210?

...the same short term range we have been trading all month long and you have been playing in the exercises for 3 times already ...nothing has changed in that range ...

Quote
; Next, smallest in this range was 277 (JAN 2016) Trying to visually see your comments on a chart.... Thanks

Check Jun 2014, Aug 2006 and FEB 2001 all compressions, similar tiny size candles in consolidations ranges that exploded forming the largest trends in the Euro ...all of the them triggering by mid term shifts in monetary policy ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,132
  • Apr 27, 2016 11:18am Apr 27, 2016 11:18am
Opening table for the first live news swing Iteration (FED/GDP/Monthly close) for the next round (round 3 still open) IMARICH1, all the others who called it before and for new entrants....

--> Question 4: How would you trade a live swing short term swing? This iteration have a more realistic and complete trading set variation and strict and advanced R:R

--> Currently Euro is trading 1.132x/1x:

--> Choose your poison ASAP before the FOMC. Any lurkers that want to play/learn with this test feel free to jump in..no middle points no nothing. Winner takes all.

The 2 options are :

-> LMT BUY 1.118x -> TP => 1.138x | STP => 1.113x | r:r -=> 4:1


-> LMT SELL 1.138x -> TP => 1.118x | STP => 1.143x | r:r -=> 4:1


Old and new participants are welcome ... if you want 2 play both sides...please mention order of the move ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,133
  • Apr 27, 2016 11:25am Apr 27, 2016 11:25am
Quoting sisse
Opening table for the first live news swing Iteration (FED/GDP/Monthly close) for the next round (round 3 still open) IMARICH1, all the others who called it before and for new entrants.... --> Question 4: How would you trade a live swing short term swing? This iteration have a more realistic and complete trading set variation and strict and advanced R:R --> Currently Euro is trading 1.132x/1x: --> Choose your poison ASAP before the FOMC. Any lurkers that want to play/learn with this test feel free to jump in..no middle points no nothing. Winner...
limit buy 1.1280 valid just for FOMC move
  • #140,134
  • Apr 27, 2016 11:25am Apr 27, 2016 11:25am
Lmt sell 1.138x
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #140,135
  • Apr 27, 2016 11:26am Apr 27, 2016 11:26am
​I will embark with: -> LMT BUY 1.118x -> TP => 1.138x | STP => 1.113x | r:r -=> 4:1​
  • #140,136
  • Apr 27, 2016 11:26am Apr 27, 2016 11:26am
IN

-> LMT BUY 1.118x
vasily , Fadhl


-> LMT SELL 1.138x
boom, Replicant

> LMT SELL / -> LMT BUY
PAStalker IN

-> LMT BUY / > LMT SELL
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #140,137
  • Apr 27, 2016 11:27am Apr 27, 2016 11:27am
-> LMT SELL 1.138x -> TP => 1.118x | STP => 1.143x | r:r -=> 4:1 -> first
-> LMT BUY 1.118x -> TP => 1.138x | STP => 1.113x | r:r -=> 4:1 -> second
  • #140,138
  • Apr 27, 2016 11:27am Apr 27, 2016 11:27am
LMT SELL 1.138x -> TP => 1.118x | STP => 1.143x
thank you
  • #140,139
  • Apr 27, 2016 11:27am Apr 27, 2016 11:27am
Quoting sisse
vasily IN > LMT BUY 1.118x hoomIN -> LMT SELL 1.138x
1.1280
  • #140,140
  • Apr 27, 2016 11:28am Apr 27, 2016 11:28am
-> LMT SELL 1.138x -> TP => 1.118x | STP => 1.143x | r:r -=> 4:1
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