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EOD -1 day hold

  • #201
  • Apr 19, 2016 2:00am Apr 19, 2016 2:00am
Quoting cfudge
Hi all Here are the results for January and also including Oct. Nov. and Dec. again. Each month has a hand written page of every traded pair with every trade taken for that month and also a small summary at the bottom of page. {image} {image} {image} {image} Here is the graph {image} Finally here is an excel report of each pairs monthly result and each months result and a final result for all 4 months. {file} I am going to take this live in February and see how it goes...stay tuned. Chris
Hi cfudge, I appreciate the work you are doing with this system and presenting all of your hard work to us! Great stuff!

I'm trying to fully understand how you trade and the results you have. So I used Jan 2016 as an example and went through the USD/JPY pair.... candle by candle so I'd like your input to ensure I've got it right.

From what I've worked out for that pair for that month was:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: question.PNG Size: 54 KB


+11-40+111-34+69-111+13-25 = -6 pips (PLEASE NOTE SPREADS ARE NOT INCLUDED, this is a visual back test)

Compared for your calculations on your Jan 2016 statement you have a loss of 48 pips, so I'm scratching my heads to see where I've gone wrong!

Cheers

Serj
  • #202
  • Apr 24, 2016 11:51am Apr 24, 2016 11:51am
Hi Serj

All I can say is maybe the discrepancy is because, as I have said before, I sometimes close all trades if a certain level of profit was reached. So not every days trades make it to the actual EOD, I watch the profit/loss during the day and may close early...

Chris
  • #203
  • May 1, 2016 6:55pm May 1, 2016 6:55pm
Quoting cfudge
{quote} Hi All Here are the results for March, including a page with all trades taken by individual pairs with a summary at the bottom by groups. Same as last 5 months (see quote for link). Also included is a running total by pairs to end of March and grand total till end of March. Also a chart showing if a pair ended in gain or loss by month and a synopsis at the right for each pair. "O" means there has been an even number of losing and winning months. "Y" means winning month. "N" means losing month. "YY" means 5 winning months. "YYY" means 6 winning...
Hi All
Here are the results for April 2016

Also with updated running totals from Oct 2015 and updated losing winning months by pair and Aprils graph.

Not going to change anything for May

Please see quotes for all previous months and explanations of things.

See you next month (going to continue for the whole year).

Chris.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf April statement.pdf   599 KB | 481 downloads

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EOD April Graph.jpg Size: 35 KB

Attached File(s)
File Type: xlsx Pairs by totals to Apr.xlsx   11 KB | 465 downloads

Attached File(s)
File Type: xlsx Pairs by strength to Apr.xlsx   11 KB | 432 downloads
  • #204
  • Jun 6, 2016 4:09pm Jun 6, 2016 4:09pm
Another month...

Here are the results for May 2016

Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf May statement.pdf   591 KB | 506 downloads


The graph for May

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: May graph EOD.jpg Size: 37 KB


I have drawn up a new running totals sheet corrected to only current pairs traded and totals are from Oct 2015 to end of May 2016.
The totals in the pairs column are running totals from month to month and at the bottom is the actual total for that month and below it is the running totals for each month (like the pairs totals) The red and green dots between each month notes if it was a losing month or a winning month.

Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Running totals by pairs and months.pdf   730 KB | 491 downloads


Chris
  • #205
  • Jun 13, 2016 6:01pm Jun 13, 2016 6:01pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pairs graph to may.jpg Size: 90 KB


Attached File(s)
File Type: xlsx PAIRS GRAPH OCT TO MAY.xlsx   19 KB | 432 downloads
  • #206
  • Jul 4, 2016 7:41pm Jul 4, 2016 7:41pm
Quoting cfudge
Another month... Here are the results for May 2016 {image} The graph for May {image} I have drawn up a new running totals sheet corrected to only current pairs traded and totals are from Oct 2015 to end of May 2016. The totals in the pairs column are running totals from month to month and at the bottom is the actual total for that month and below it is the running totals for each month (like the pairs totals) The red and green dots between each month notes if it was a losing month or a winning month. {image} Chris
Here are the results for June.
I stopped trading June 23rd.(BREXIT!!!) After looking at the 24th-30th it seems I would have profited with all pairs on and after brexit except gbpaud I think.

Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf statement june.pdf   493 KB | 441 downloads


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: graph june.jpg Size: 35 KB


Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Running totals by pairs and months.pdf   739 KB | 487 downloads
  • #207
  • Jul 4, 2016 10:00pm Jul 4, 2016 10:00pm
Hey Fudge,

Nice to see you sticking with the system even though there are some not so profitable months. Over all since you started testing it has given a nice return. Most people would have jumped ship by now since they are looking for 100% never lose holy grail winning systems. Good luck for the rest of year and keep posting your updates. I am interested to see how this performs over a years worth of trading.
  • #208
  • Aug 8, 2016 3:36pm Aug 8, 2016 3:36pm
Quoting cfudge
{quote} Here are the results for June. I stopped trading June 23rd.(BREXIT!!!) After looking at the 24th-30th it seems I would have profited with all pairs on and after brexit except gbpaud I think. {image} {image} {image}
Hi guys here are the results for July
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf July statement.pdf   547 KB | 413 downloads


Graph for July
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EOD graph July.jpg Size: 37 KB


Graph from Feb to July
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EOD graphFeb to July.jpg Size: 40 KB


Running totals sheet
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Running totals by pairs and months.pdf   767 KB | 492 downloads


See you next month, Chris.
  • #209
  • Sep 22, 2016 9:52pm Sep 22, 2016 9:52pm
Quoting cfudge
{quote} Hi guys here are the results for July {image} Graph for July {image} Graph from Feb to July {image} Running totals sheet {image} See you next month, Chris.
Here are the results for August.

Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf August results eod.pdf   572 KB | 417 downloads


Graph for August

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: graph august eod.jpg Size: 36 KB


Graph Feb to Aug

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: graph feb to august eod.jpg Size: 39 KB


Running totals sheet

Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Running totals by pairs and months.pdf   1.1 MB | 504 downloads
  • #210
  • Oct 1, 2016 1:13pm Oct 1, 2016 1:13pm
Hi All

Here is a PDF with all the results for the year with excel graphs for each pair and a graph for the individual months.

The pairs I will be continuing trading, based on the positive results are;
AUDUSD
XAUUSD
AUDCHF
EURGBP
EURAUD
EURJPY
EURCAD
EURNZD
NZDCAD
NZDCHF
CHFJPY
T pairs I will also be trading but with lower position sizes, base on moderate performance, are;
EURUSD
USDCAD
GBPAUD
GBPCAD
ANY THOUGHTS OR IDEAS WILL BE APPRECIATED
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Hi Guys.pdf   1.5 MB | 483 downloads
  • #211
  • Edited 3:10pm Oct 2, 2016 11:42am | Edited 3:10pm
OK things look a bit different when you graph the actual results for each pair each month. Here is a PDF with those graphs, I will need a bit more time to absorb this info. and come up with what I will be trading, so disregard the above list.

EDIT: I have decided that the pairs traded going forward will be based on the criteria that they ended the year above $500.00 and never went down beyond -$350.00. The only exception will be AUDCHF which ended at $466.00. The pairs are AUDUSD XAUUSD AUDCHF EURGBP EURAUD EURJPY EURCAD EURNZD GBPAUD CHFJPY

I will also be trading GBPCAD NZDCAD NZDCHF but with a reduced position size.
I do not think I will be tracking the results as I have been but maybe a quick update each month. I think I have narrowed the field to give myself the best chance to keep making steady profits with this system, the only thing I could do is maybe not trade in the future with the last pairs mentioned, with the lower position sizes.
Good luck to you all.
Chris

Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf So here are the actual results as graphs.pdf   1.4 MB | 476 downloads


Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf September results EOD.pdf   602 KB | 455 downloads
  • #212
  • Dec 25, 2016 5:42pm Dec 25, 2016 5:42pm
I'm finding that if I Enter & Exit 10 mins before the end of the US session I get much better results, as opposed to waiting for the close. Reason for this is the increase in spread and volatility after US session closes, and before the Asian session gets going, can be significant for many of these pairs.
  • #213
  • Oct 4, 2019 2:03am Oct 4, 2019 2:03am
Quoting cfudge
OK things look a bit different when you graph the actual results for each pair each month. Here is a PDF with those graphs, I will need a bit more time to absorb this info. and come up with what I will be trading, so disregard the above list. EDIT: I have decided that the pairs traded going forward will be based on the criteria that they ended the year above $500.00 and never went down beyond -$350.00. The only exception will be AUDCHF which ended at $466.00. The pairs are AUDUSD XAUUSD AUDCHF EURGBP EURAUD EURJPY EURCAD EURNZD GBPAUD CHFJPY I will...

Hii cfudge.. I'm big fan of you, i started testing this statergy because of you. Are you trading this?? Is it still have potential and profitable?
  • #214
  • Last Post: Oct 4, 2019 8:19am Oct 4, 2019 8:19am
Quoting Gotofxgokul
{quote} Hii cfudge.. I'm big fan of you, i started testing this statergy because of you. Are you trading this?? Is it still have potential and profitable?
I no longer trade this as it looked to me as only marginally profitable over the whole year.
If you have any insights I would love to hear from you.

Good luck, Chris.
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