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The Swamp

  • #2,841
  • Apr 7, 2016 12:52pm Apr 7, 2016 12:52pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} mofu suggests a HH ~500 pips if no LL Still a valid target higher than that- judging by how the fibs of this leg have reacted, I'm betting on it. Need EU to head towards 1.17xx
Did you enter at 122.88? or thereabouts?
  • #2,842
  • Apr 7, 2016 12:57pm Apr 7, 2016 12:57pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} Did you enter at 122.88? or thereabouts?
122.81, wanted lower- only 1/2 a position
  • #2,843
  • Apr 7, 2016 1:20pm Apr 7, 2016 1:20pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} 122.81, wanted lower- only 1/2 a position
Still waiting for that 1.2226
Peace
  • #2,844
  • Apr 7, 2016 1:24pm Apr 7, 2016 1:24pm
Quoting edyraper
{quote} looking for H4 closes {image}
not looking good either way , wait and see better I guess
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nice rally on VIX though
  • #2,845
  • Apr 7, 2016 1:29pm Apr 7, 2016 1:29pm
Quoting build11
{quote} Still waiting for that 1.2226
So was I, it gets tricky down there

Yen crosses tend to overshoot and undershoot
  • #2,846
  • Apr 7, 2016 1:42pm Apr 7, 2016 1:42pm
imho I'm watching these next big levels
Attached Image
  • #2,847
  • Apr 7, 2016 1:44pm Apr 7, 2016 1:44pm
How is support broken with no LL?
  • #2,848
  • Apr 7, 2016 1:48pm Apr 7, 2016 1:48pm
got closes below 123.29/28 , you are right support not broken yet ...
  • #2,849
  • Apr 7, 2016 2:06pm Apr 7, 2016 2:06pm
Let consult my parrot ..........
  • #2,850
  • Apr 7, 2016 2:45pm Apr 7, 2016 2:45pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} On your UJ, Range at the end of the drop since BOJ neg rates is around 380-400, break south of the box for the same distance takes us to around your 106 level? not sure on the significance as it wasn't hard to see from here if we do break south... ? {image}
initial retrace to 114.8xx from bottom was around 380p, then from there the range to lowest low before taken out the other day was around 420p, Range x2 equals about 106.5xx 1/4 of bottom 107.5xx missed by 10.. doji on h4 as well, perhaps st bottom?
  • #2,851
  • Apr 7, 2016 2:47pm Apr 7, 2016 2:47pm
Pending SHORT
Attached Image
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #2,852
  • Apr 7, 2016 5:32pm Apr 7, 2016 5:32pm
copper (right chart) showing no evidence that uj will bounce much atm. equities on very thin ice. eu would probably rise as yen and euro gain strength.. 1.17 test still on tract.. usd weakening still as copper weakens,, something big possible soon with equities near highs. chart indicated a dead cat before summer 2013 equitis levels.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #2,853
  • Apr 7, 2016 7:13pm Apr 7, 2016 7:13pm
looking to nibble 108.77 uj..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #2,854
  • Apr 7, 2016 7:18pm Apr 7, 2016 7:18pm
Quoting ill_be_back
Pending SHORT {image}
Triggered
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #2,855
  • Apr 7, 2016 7:19pm Apr 7, 2016 7:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} dont know. 0755 is between 0877 and 0633. if uj stalls.. eu may have its turn. ej nearing 122.03.. it may need to rise..124.65 ish if uj stalls, pushing eu up after the stall its in atm. i planned on a equity dump.. i dont see equities capitulate atm. copper still pointing that way. people coming late to the party have more to lose...the train left long ago.
here now.. i started shorting some 0877. bbl
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #2,856
  • Apr 7, 2016 9:29pm Apr 7, 2016 9:29pm
Some calculations I did this evening to give some perspective on small returns compounded over time

$500 starting account balance

6% a month over 5 years = $14,679.46
8% a month over 5 years = $43,405.81
10% a month over 5 years = $125,818.86

6% a month over 10 years = $484,241.61
8% a month over 10 years = $4,395,144.44
10% a month over 10 years = $28,309,532.57

Now obviously there are issues that arise with more capital via the broker that would hinder your ability to make 10% a month on 1MM etc, but the point I'm driving home here, is that many of these people you see touting 6% a week, or 200% a month, yadda yadda yadda are NOT in it for the long haul. There's more to be said for small gains over time

  • #2,857
  • Apr 7, 2016 11:10pm Apr 7, 2016 11:10pm
Quoting Pharm0r
Some calculations I did this evening to give some perspective on small returns compounded over time $500 starting account balance 6% a month over 5 years = $14,679.46 8% a month over 5 years = $43,405.81 10% a month over 5 years = $125,818.86 6% a month over 10 years = $484,241.61 8% a month over 10 years = $4,395,144.44 10% a month over 10 years = $28,309,532.57 Now obviously there are issues that arise with more capital via the broker that would hinder your ability to make 10% a month on 1MM etc, but the point I'm driving home here, is that many...

Juicy projections. Inspirational. There's hope for me yet!

Just flicked over to this thread. Was happy to see that Gator just shorted USD/JPY only about 10 pips better price than me earlier. Now I know I'm in at the right time to short the bounce.
  • #2,858
  • Apr 8, 2016 12:24am Apr 8, 2016 12:24am
Quoting Blackopal
{quote}..... Just flicked over to this thread. Was happy to see that Gator just shorted USD/JPY only about 10 pips better price than me earlier. Now I know I'm in at the right time to short the bounce.
why short it? I thought Yellen is propping the dollar...... . . E/U short and long same time
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #2,859
  • Apr 8, 2016 12:30am Apr 8, 2016 12:30am
Quoting Ken A
Let consult my parrot ..........
Inserted Video
  • #2,860
  • Apr 8, 2016 12:33am Apr 8, 2016 12:33am
Quoting Pharm0r
Some calculations I did this evening to give some perspective on small returns compounded over time ...
I like it...I was looking similar and after blowing 2 accounts it gave me hope. But of course time, patience and discipline are needed.
Do you think making 0,3% a day is too optimistic?

500 starting account balance
0,3% a day (average) over a 1000 days = 9.997,77

1000 starting account balance
0,3% a day (average) over a 1000 days = 19.995,53

5000 starting account balance
0,3% a day (average) over a 1000 days = 99.977,67
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