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The Ultimate Fallacy in Technical Analysis 99 replies

"Technical Analysis Fallacy" thread people, I need your help 54 replies

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Technical Analysis Fallacy

Quoting fti
{quote} Ahhh Guilin, i have a friend there. Have you tried the anti cancer tea? i ever tried 1 type mushroom tea, make me high high. sups up all the nerves. Beats malaumeet hands down. the bitter in malaumeet is not even 30% of it. regards {image}
ah no...but tea very potent there.......Chinese really do tea justice......... I prefer a nice glass of wine...although was a bit of a tea jenny (with my gran)

Alex
check out the terrain - follow never lead
Quoting alexandria
{quote} ah no...but tea very potent there.......Chinese really do tea justice......... I prefer a nice glass of wine...although was a bit of a tea jenny (with my gran) Alex
noted.

I myself had been doing lots wine lately.
Keeps the heart working.
also ginseng wine and cold sake.
immune system in high alcohol in blood makes sterile environment keep the naughty bateria and viruses at bay.
These now my most feared enemies. so i give em no ground to set up camp.
They camp and i possiblly goner.

regards

yesterday i received a pleasant surprise.
They sneaked this song with my fuji-q fotograph.
was very nice. MayumiItsuwa she aged. still
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_x6vqS_V5Og

amongst other stuff.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3WOGRCy3wBw

and of course.......
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPkTGm4RtVM
fti,

may i ask, how much calculus math have you learn in your course of career?

was mechanical & geometrical maths something you looked into?
i have taken special interest in one of your post and thus is asking above questions.
THE ALL is MIND; The Universe is Mental
Quoting Jacque
fti, may i ask, how much calculus math have you learn in your course of career? was mechanical & geometrical maths something you looked into? i have taken special interest in one of your post and thus is asking above questions.
OK OK much maths.
mostly arithmetics.
profit- loss= earnings

The maths only shows me how control the variables get my desired enjoyments.
No maths no handles.
Just enough is OK. everyday they find new ways write more formulaes.
D1=D2?
after that gets very symbolic.

http://www.ebaumsworld.com/jokes/lit...-bitch/382544/

regards
wow, lots arbi lessons.
i wait see when the hedging lessons.
eeeer also wait see if my name in panama. Is that the banana or coconuts islands.
ai ya this fti, panama la not banana. labuan.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMTNT_BzkdA

https://www.rt.com/shows/keiser-repo...ax-keiser-897/


regards
Quoting fti
wow, lots arbi lessons. i wait see when the hedging lessons. eeeer also wait see if my name in panama. Is that the banana or coconuts islands. ai ya this fti, panama la not banana. labuan. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMTNT_BzkdA https://www.rt.com/shows/keiser-repo...ax-keiser-897/ regards
FTI gone bananas... time for minions banana song then

Alex
check out the terrain - follow never lead
Quoting alexandria
{quote} FTI gone bananas... time for minions banana song then Alex
hahahahahahahahaha

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vhJVfbmSZPM

Amen.Thank you jesus for a laugh today. hahahahahaha best medicine.


regards
Good to see that everyone has gone bananas, finally. Trading is a lonely game. At least in casinos you get girls in your lap.
Quoting piccolo
Good to see that everyone has gone bananas, finally. Trading is a lonely game. At least in casinos you get girls in your lap.
hahahaha long time no see.

eeer why would you want to have girls in your lap when you are at the casinos?
I prefer have this.

regards
Attached Image
bets down please.
no pointing.
bet finger pay finger.
we have cctv.

regards
https://blogs.windows.com/buildingap...tu-on-windows/


cannoipical and microsoft is getting married.
uncock the champagne.

regards

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1kGMCfb2xw

eeeeer your ass is exposed? someone watching at the windows while i bath?
hahahahaha mine oh yours.
make up your dang mind , buy or sell?
you buy and sell at my price. I already made spread. spread em baby M$. thanks nothing,,too wide.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OOgd9hitEAE

seems just cannot trust em. WHy do i want a system i don't trust?
would you marry someone you cannot trust and take em home? hahahaha some do. esp when is FREE.
I never believe in FREE. There just ain't no free LUNCHES.
In a capitalistic world, only buffets, no free lunches.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=APlH-wdpco8
what an ass.
Attached Image
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fS6IIcZCfPw

bunny!! , bring the plastic bags.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Yl4Lxy9IXA
eeeeer plastic bags hor.
leave the body bags alone.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijkV...&nohtml5=False
Quoting fti
{quote} OK OK much maths. mostly arithmetics. profit- loss= earnings The maths only shows me how control the variables get my desired enjoyments. No maths no handles. Just enough is OK. everyday they find new ways write more formulaes. D1=D2? after that gets very symbolic. http://www.ebaumsworld.com/jokes/lit...-bitch/382544/ regards
fti, in asking the qns d1=d2? there is already much deep maths in it involve probability and normal distribution. i guess u are jesting about only requiring simple math? i looked into the formula, i think the volatility input has much confusion. i see that in BSM, it is the 1SD of the ln return of a specific period measure of historical price. the period used should correspond to the maturity of the option in qns. infact, the volatility input changes as the maturity change. this volatility togther with the mean assumed from GBM of px movement in risk neutral world is used to standardize ln(exercise px/ current px) to get the probabilities from the normal distribution that stock px will exceed the exercise px at maturity. the risk neutral is how the risk free rate gets into the model. the i hope i got this correct.

there are much material out there using different ways to calculate the volatility input. some calculate absolute daily return and mutiply a factor of sqrt(365), some uses the 1SD of price as % of mean price as volatility. i think these are wrong.

since volatility input is such a headache, we should ignore coming up with the value and use the BSM to find implied vol instead. then from there we should calibrate the model to fit to market reality and look at strategies. these strategies should depend on our view and mkt condition. we can adjust exposure to all 5 greeks: gamma,delta,vol,theta,rho. the subordinates are just the partial derivatives of the 5 masters w.r.t to other parameters, for e.g. derivative of delta w.r.t to exercise and so on. how can all these be just simple arithmetic??


you show engine drawing. i not engine expert but there are some stuff i can understand i.e. heat exchanger, mass balance. indulge in me, i majored in process engineering so i can understand some stuff although it may be rusty since i didnt pursue a career in that path.
THE ALL is MIND; The Universe is Mental
Quoting Jacque
{quote} fti, in asking the qns d1=d2? there is already much deep maths in it involve probability and normal distribution. i guess u are jesting about only requiring simple math? i looked into the formula, i think the volatility input has much confusion. i see that in BSM, it is the 1SD of the ln return of a specific period measure of historical price. the period used should correspond to the maturity of the option in qns. infact, the volatility input changes as the maturity change. this volatility togther with the mean assumed from GBM of px movement...
deep maths.
nonono.

NOW this IS deep maths.

regards
Attached Image
deeper maths.

E=me2
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: rs-72-rocket-engine.jpg Size: 47 KB
Attached Image
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hmyrt8HynSo

hahahahahahahaha

eeeer where park my wheelchair please.

regards
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVFj...&nohtml5=False

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_UXomMnQKT4
Quoting Jacque
{quote} how can all these be just simple arithmetic?? you show engine drawing. i not engine expert but there are some stuff i can understand i.e. heat exchanger, mass balance. indulge in me, i majored in process engineering so i can understand some stuff although it may be rusty since i didnt pursue a career in that path.
there you go.

if you understand the basics , is a walk in the park.
eeeer if you cannot , then take a trip to the moon.
or pay a master mios to learn.

i profit shared with em, so they taught me.
But i know things they not know. because i understood, mostly they didn't.
every sifu taught me something. i learned. they didn't want learn from each other.
cannot see the bra and know the real size. Some smart alec thinks they can. hahahahahahaha

In the real world, fishing is not done with rod and line.


regards
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