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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #20,941
  • Feb 14, 2016 3:11pm Feb 14, 2016 3:11pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
Hotter, Hotter and Hotter On fire: Damascus confirms its army targeted by Turkish shelling, complains to UN https://www.rt.com/news/332414-turke...shell-kurdish/ The local conflict with Turkey is supposed to begin in 2-4 weeks. Unfortunately they have been driven into the corner. Best D.P.
Yes it will start in early March, kurdish forces along with IRG will be pushed back or destroyed. Turkish army is way too large and strong for them to handle it, US presence just makes it even worse. The only thing stopping advance can be Russian full scale war against Turkey in Syria, which is about to follow soon. This is war of attrition, not war of power, Turkey and Russian armies are back to back powerfull, but the question is who can stand the longest. About 150.000 men are about to invade Syria soon, kurds wont be able to stop that, the only piece of puzzle remains on Russian side. ISIS+FSA had 3 times of that number and they couldnt fight the proxy war good enough with massive resources, kurds are drop in the ocean compared to that. The main problem for Russia remains the budget, as Turkey and SA begin ground war, the only way Russia can help is to get into ground war aswell, here is where it becomes tricky. Ground wars take billions to pay, on a non debt budget its impossible to sustain it in 21st century. My guess would be that non the less it will become ground proxy war, however Russia will finance it trough large inflation, and a Russian taxpayer will gets the back end. Nothing happening is surprise, said it before and remains, not US nor Russia can back down from Syrian war, which means one side will come out as loosing faction, and that will be played very likely till the end of loosing state or just before things go nuclear. Sadly time is on side of Washington and its proxies.
  • #20,942
  • Feb 14, 2016 3:22pm Feb 14, 2016 3:22pm
Here we go again....
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...creamed-danger

I wonder if there would be pool to US macro economists, austrian or fiancers wheter to pick default or go into NIRP what would the result be? Well it would be quite easy to predict full blown NIRP victory. Taxpayers for sure would vote for that 100% IF the consequnces of non NIRPING would be given to public. If you dont NIRP dieing petrodollar system with expanding debt, the result is apocalipse, and i am pretty sure that even writters of that article would vote yes very quickly. Surely this was written by austrial guy having pocketed 10k worth of gold, wishing for collapse, knowing he might get away with it, even though that 99% of population would be devastated.

Treasury expanding budget financing from few bil to hundred+ bil per year? Well YES, if your provincial economic system is gone, then suddenly you have to start financing your expenses all by yourself, which really makes me wonder, does really anyone in US economic sphere understands petro-fueled fiancial system? If you get 250 bil USD cut of FX reserve spending per year, of which many goes to Tbills, YES then you have to pay for them yourself, otherwise yields go up. I like that most of ZH articles are usually objectively based, but this one just is pain the head which is not the first time.

NIRP is coming to US becouse noone will dare to call default, with EUR,RUB,JPY,YUAN its impossible to do it and preserve reserve currency, the question is how much will they be able to hike, before they send NIRP in.
  • #20,943
  • Feb 14, 2016 3:45pm Feb 14, 2016 3:45pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote}(1) US presence just makes it even worse. (2) The main problem for Russia remains the budget. (3) Russia can help is to get into ground war aswell.
All of the theses are completely logical. Yes, the whole picture seems to be "as is" TODAY.
What parameters will be envolved, we shall see TOMORROW.

1. I think, the USA will not be in. Too risky.
2. Yes, it is the problem. I hope, authorities have calculated everything before begining.
3. An excluded option yet.

There are some variations, but, I think, we all survive.

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #20,944
  • Edited 4:20pm Feb 14, 2016 4:05pm | Edited 4:20pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} All of the theses are completely logical. Yes, the whole picture seems to be "as is" TODAY. What parameters will be envolved, we shall see TOMORROW. 1. I think, the USA will not be in. Too risky. 2. Yes, it is the problem. I hope, authorities have calculated everything before begining. 3. An excluded option yet. There are some variations, but, I think, we all survive. Best D.P.
Agree, for US to get in is the last option. They would put every single NATO country in before they would but US itself in would be my guess. Pulling NATO countries is still proxy war, even if pulling in nuclear countries due to nature of positioning.
The thing is that authorities yes they did include the problems, but what Russia did in past 200 years is that those were NOT disclosed to residents. It just "happens". Inflation is on horizon even though noone is talking about it, as it was not 20 years ago, 75 years ago, 150 years ago....+++. If you live in Russia be preapared never listen to goverment advice becouse they will not preapare you, due to obvious reason...becouse doing that would be collapse of a state. So my words are gona be the same for last year, buy BTC, buy gold. So far against inflation it was 100+% performance which is best one can get. Do not follow RT advise on Russian economical positioning becouse in few years you will realize where the top was set to regret. Rt is good on opening cracks of western media, but when it comes to east, enough said.
Parameters in tomorrow dont matter, they are already priced in and will happen. US will not back down, nor will Russia, its up to everyone to conclude what that means, without risking nuke war. Its full blown proxy-petrodollar war. If you arent hedged with pre-post result of that you are on cutting edge. If you are resident of Russia its important to realize this isnt Syrian war being fought, its war that has been drawn to all petrodollar exit states since 2014, if Syrian state is gone, Russia is defaulting in long term. Without Russia, petroyuan is just a dream, and without that Iran can forget about independence. Its a WW3 being fought for 2 years already without many noticing, a proxy WW3 that is. In next year you will see a NATO and Russia entering full war phase without agression likely, but it will begin the full repeat of cold war 1, walls and what not, what Washington is currently trying to pull is to make peace deal with Russia-Syria-US and then use proxies to attack and then pull Russia into war to blame Russia as agressor and pull NATO into war state with Russia. Would be hardly surprising if that doesnt happen.

EDIT:
Bitcoin performance on RUB since war started. 100%. Same as gold. THIS is what state will not tell you.
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  • #20,945
  • Feb 14, 2016 5:26pm Feb 14, 2016 5:26pm
GOP Candidates Compete Over Who Will Commit Most War Crimes Once Elected
  • #20,946
  • Feb 14, 2016 5:29pm Feb 14, 2016 5:29pm
The Guantánamo in New York You’re Not Allowed to Know About




Either the dark age is back, or was never gone at all.........
  • #20,947
  • Feb 14, 2016 6:54pm Feb 14, 2016 6:54pm
Quoting andexQ
GOLD current playing field 1228 - 1265/1280, might takes time to break (either up/down) from this range. strong support at 1190 {image}
Atm. Gold testing the low of current range ... bought.
  • #20,948
  • Feb 14, 2016 7:08pm Feb 14, 2016 7:08pm
Quoting andexQ
{quote} Atm. Gold testing the low of current range ... bought.
S/O
  • #20,949
  • Feb 15, 2016 7:28am Feb 15, 2016 7:28am
Quoting infinitus
EU 2h TF maybe ending diagonal may terminate around 1400 {image}

This ending diagonal is almost invalidated (movement below 1161 will invalidate it)

On 4h TF the move down from the top looks pretty bearish, doesn't it?
  • #20,950
  • Edited 12:17pm Feb 15, 2016 11:27am | Edited 12:17pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} This ending diagonal is almost invalidated (movement below 1161 will invalidate it) On 4h TF the move down from the top looks pretty bearish, doesn't it?
EURAUD daily & h4 on friday lastweek shows that EU is topping while AU bottoming ... EU should still within 1.11 - 1.15 boundary, i guess
  • #20,951
  • Feb 15, 2016 4:39pm Feb 15, 2016 4:39pm
Quoting andexQ
{quote} EURAUD daily & h4 on friday lastweek shows that EU is topping while AU bottoming ... EU should still within 1.11 - 1.15 boundary, i guess
  • #20,952
  • Feb 15, 2016 5:05pm Feb 15, 2016 5:05pm
Winner takes homes, a satisfaction, pure reaction. The good to wee.
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  • #20,953
  • Feb 15, 2016 5:46pm Feb 15, 2016 5:46pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Ye nice one, ill be defenetly taking that unless USDRUB/MXN has better setup. For structural bear setup to fail in bigger picture it needs retest of 32 in impulsive or non HH wave, which from here would be too large SL, not sure where fail for you is price wise, perhaps ii? Ill be taking this one if m5 gives setup aswell.
price overlapped into wave i , meaning a new count is needed and most likely a bottom is in, i've fitted a 5 that's valid to form a bottom now
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Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #20,954
  • Feb 15, 2016 5:56pm Feb 15, 2016 5:56pm
Goldman Tells Clients To Short Gold 5 Days After Saying Gold May Soar "Much Higher Over Time"


LOL
  • #20,955
  • Edited 1:12pm Feb 16, 2016 11:10am | Edited 1:12pm
Quoting RamsesII
{quote} price overlapped into wave i , meaning a new count is needed and most likely a bottom is in, i've fitted a 5 that's valid to form a bottom now {image} {image}
Pretty much on same view, current structure however is only short term bottom, 34 needs test to confirm overall bottom.
EDIT: Just to add, even though it points to tech bottom i am not expecting it to really go far from here. Anywhere near 40 ill sell.
  • #20,956
  • Feb 16, 2016 11:11am Feb 16, 2016 11:11am
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...-kill-100-bill

The clear signal that NIRP will come in US. Its not speculation, everything is being set in T-bul/notes department already, however the question is how far will they hike (and for how long hold) upwards before they go full 180 degree turn.
  • #20,957
  • Feb 16, 2016 4:09pm Feb 16, 2016 4:09pm
Short setup on EU atm, looking for LL.
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  • #20,958
  • Feb 16, 2016 5:07pm Feb 16, 2016 5:07pm
Price of crude nearly doubles. PB sends troops --...blabla....techs vs RfudBRRs.
  • #20,960
  • Feb 16, 2016 11:00pm Feb 16, 2016 11:00pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Pretty much on same view, current structure however is only short term bottom, 34 needs test to confirm overall bottom. EDIT: Just to add, even though it points to tech bottom i am not expecting it to really go far from here. Anywhere near 40 ill sell.
good stuff, probably need to pop out of this bearish channel to be confident of anything bigger too
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
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