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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

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  • Post #20,961
  • Quote
  • Feb 17, 2016 9:52am Feb 17, 2016 9:52am
  •  janpec1000
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 12,211 Posts
Gold bull setup. Looking to get in on m1.
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  • Post #20,962
  • Quote
  • Feb 17, 2016 10:56am Feb 17, 2016 10:56am
  •  Dr.Phoenix
  • Joined Mar 2012 | Status: turning probability into profit | 1,550 Posts
Foreign Officials Sell A Record $48 Billion In U.S. Treasurys In December
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...surys-december

Industrial Production Post Third Consecutive Annual Decline: 90% Chance Of Recession
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...ance-recession

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
 
 
  • Post #20,963
  • Quote
  • Feb 17, 2016 1:58pm Feb 17, 2016 1:58pm
  •  janpec1000
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 12,211 Posts
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...urkish-capital

And the Turkish army rolls into Syria soon. Was just listening to funny interview where guy was convinced that there will not be any involvement of Turkey into Syria becouse its aparently against UN charter. Like that has stoped any interventions since UN has been made. Plus to not add that Turkey has been involved in Syrian war for years on multi levels of presence.
 
 
  • Post #20,964
  • Quote
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:07pm Feb 17, 2016 2:07pm
  •  infinitus
  • Joined Jun 2010 | Status: s = k log W | 20,603 Posts
http://www.elliottwaveforex.com/2016...medium=twitter


maybe.....
 
 
  • Post #20,965
  • Quote
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:23pm Feb 17, 2016 2:23pm
  •  janpec1000
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 12,211 Posts
Quoting infinitus
Disliked
http://www.elliottwaveforex.com/2016...medium=twitter maybe.....
Ignored
If 1.080 gives that does look structurally possible scenario. Lets see what 1.080 says. Would aswell fit in-line with fundies if ECB moves in March.
 
 
  • Post #20,966
  • Quote
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:24pm Feb 17, 2016 2:24pm
  •  janpec1000
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 12,211 Posts
Quoting janpec1000
Disliked
Gold bull setup. Looking to get in on m1. {image}
Ignored
Was up 20, but forgot to place BE SL, so SL got it, -17.
 
 
  • Post #20,967
  • Quote
  • Feb 17, 2016 2:30pm Feb 17, 2016 2:30pm
  •  infinitus
  • Joined Jun 2010 | Status: s = k log W | 20,603 Posts
Quoting janpec1000
Disliked
{quote} Was up 20, but forgot to place BE SL, so SL got it, -17.
Ignored

shit happens


have you noticed that such situations rarely resolve the other way around? Or is it only me?
 
 
  • Post #20,968
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  • Feb 17, 2016 3:02pm Feb 17, 2016 3:02pm
  •  andexQ
  • | Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Member | 1,144 Posts
Today USD testing level 97.00 from below,
maybe it take more than a day to decide whether to leave it / keep testing / break it ... FOMC doesn't make meaningful move, any thought ?
 
 
  • Post #20,969
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  • Feb 17, 2016 3:32pm Feb 17, 2016 3:32pm
  •  janpec1000
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 12,211 Posts
Quoting infinitus
Disliked
{quote} shit happens have you noticed that such situations rarely resolve the other way around? Or is it only me?
Ignored
Yeh, that is why i really started with use of alert lines in my trading 2 years ago, to avoid such things to happen. When price comes to important area in regards to trade or entry i get notice, however that is what happens in perfect world, in real world i still get sloppy and forgot to place line itself from time to time

I am long again on 1208, bull rotation is in.
 
 
  • Post #20,970
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  • Feb 17, 2016 3:44pm Feb 17, 2016 3:44pm
  •  manosk
  • Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Very Important Member | 776 Posts
Quoting janpec1000
Disliked
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...urkish-capital And the Turkish army rolls into Syria soon. Was just listening to funny interview where guy was convinced that there will not be any involvement of Turkey into Syria becouse its aparently against UN charter. Like that has stoped any interventions since UN has been made. Plus to not add that Turkey has been involved in Syrian war for years on multi levels of presence.
Ignored
Absolutely right. They talk about resolutions and crap like that as if they matter. If they see profit they go right in. And especially Turkey...Turkey has played a very dirty game so far in the Syrian war. The Kurds have protected its borders against ISIS at their own expense and as soon as Turkey finds an opportunity they bombard the Kurds claiming that they are terrorists. And we are not even talking about Turkey's huge responsibility in the refugee crisis...
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
 
 
  • Post #20,971
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  • Feb 17, 2016 4:33pm Feb 17, 2016 4:33pm
  •  Lavanda
  • | Joined May 2014 | Status: Member | 639 Posts
Quoting andexQ
Disliked
Today USD testing level 97.00 from below, maybe it take more than a day to decide whether to leave it / keep testing / break it ... FOMC doesn't make meaningful move, any thought ?
Ignored
Yes, It looks that's the key area, I thought it was going to take a direction with the FOMC, but it has been one of the most meaningful FOMC I can remember. Maybe I am mistaken but I think that the USD still has got a downwards movement, at least this week.
 
 
  • Post #20,972
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  • Feb 17, 2016 4:44pm Feb 17, 2016 4:44pm
  •  janpec1000
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 12,211 Posts
Quoting manosk
Disliked
{quote} Absolutely right. They talk about resolutions and crap like that as if they matter. If they see profit they go right in. And especially Turkey...Turkey has played a very dirty game so far in the Syrian war. The Kurds have protected its borders against ISIS at their own expense and as soon as Turkey finds an opportunity they bombard the Kurds claiming that they are terrorists. And we are not even talking about Turkey's huge responsibility in the refugee crisis...
Ignored
If you take a look on Quatar pipeline mapping, you can exactly pinpoint why is key town for west/Turkey Aleppo, and why are they planning to cut Syria in two or three states with cutting away Damascus (which one would think it would be most important since its capital), basically pulling the same plan they did in Lybia to weaken country politically and then use rebel state to control the main supply lines and land of pipeline.

Attached Image


Turkey ofcourse is eagerly participating in carving process becouse just like Saudis and Quatar royal families that get massive profits from petrodollar transports, so will Erdogans. Now what do all three proposed solutions have in common? They all bypass Russia, which is what is the actual plan in game played in there, to fully weaken Russia as superpower in future as petro-fiat system transform from oil to gas based exchange and by not allowing Russia to participate in sales to west. Additional problem is aswell Islamic pipeline, which would be exchanged under petro-yuan system and thus is completly a no go for west. The thing is that if by any chance Russia does win war in Syria and state isnt decoupled then CIA has plan B (or is it D already), that is to force Nabucco pipline, which was rejected by Azerbaijan,....and we know what happens to everyone that has so far rejected petrodollar based projects. So if Syrian war ends by miracle by win of Russia, which is very very unlikely, then war would roam either into Azerbaijan or Iran to conclude the deal there.
 
 
  • Post #20,973
  • Quote
  • Feb 17, 2016 6:26pm Feb 17, 2016 6:26pm
  •  andexQ
  • | Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Member | 1,144 Posts
Quoting Lavanda
Disliked
{quote} Yes, It looks that's the key area, I thought it was going to take a direction with the FOMC, but it has been one of the most meaningful FOMC I can remember. Maybe I am mistaken but I think that the USD still has got a downwards movement, at least this week.
Ignored
USD outlook still bearish with a lot of supply within 97.00 - 97.50 area and above.

So in case 97.00 doesn't hold (less likely), heavy supply should re-enter within that area and then downward movement could continue.
 
 
  • Post #20,974
  • Quote
  • Feb 18, 2016 2:47am Feb 18, 2016 2:47am
  •  manosk
  • Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Very Important Member | 776 Posts
Quoting janpec1000
Disliked
{quote} If you take a look on Quatar pipeline mapping, you can exactly pinpoint why is key town for west/Turkey Aleppo, and why are they planning to cut Syria in two or three states with cutting away Damascus (which one would think it would be most important since its capital), basically pulling the same plan they did in Lybia to weaken country politically and then use rebel state to control the main supply lines and land of pipeline. {image} Turkey ofcourse is eagerly participating in carving process becouse just like Saudis and Quatar royal families...
Ignored
very interesting map, thanks
"Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered"
 
 
  • Post #20,975
  • Quote
  • Feb 18, 2016 7:27am Feb 18, 2016 7:27am
  •  janpec1000
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 12,211 Posts
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...cd-cuts-global

Yup i did say, they will hike AND do the QE. So will be. Its not a rocket science obviously, if petrodollar is spitting out Tbills, stock markets are under pressure of low Oil price, the only thing that can sustain debt and bond markets is QE. And stock market itself for that matter.
 
 
  • Post #20,976
  • Quote
  • Feb 18, 2016 7:31am Feb 18, 2016 7:31am
  •  janpec1000
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 12,211 Posts
GJ bull rotation setup, gona go in on M1.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Size: 57 KB
 
 
  • Post #20,977
  • Quote
  • Feb 18, 2016 10:57am Feb 18, 2016 10:57am
  •  janpec1000
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 12,211 Posts
Quoting janpec1000
Disliked
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...urkish-capital And the Turkish army rolls into Syria soon. Was just listening to funny interview where guy was convinced that there will not be any involvement of Turkey into Syria becouse its aparently against UN charter. Like that has stoped any interventions since UN has been made. Plus to not add that Turkey has been involved in Syrian war for years on multi levels of presence.
Ignored
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...swift-response


 
 
  • Post #20,978
  • Quote
  • Edited 4:52pm Feb 18, 2016 4:18pm | Edited 4:52pm
  •  Dr.Phoenix
  • Joined Mar 2012 | Status: turning probability into profit | 1,550 Posts
Expanded Version: The Us Economy Has Not Recovered and Will Not Recover
http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2016...l-not-recover/

Week Eighteen of the Russian Intervention in Syria: a dramatic escalation appears imminent
http://thesaker.is/week-eighteen-of-...ears-imminent/

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
 
 
  • Post #20,979
  • Quote
  • Feb 20, 2016 5:07am Feb 20, 2016 5:07am
  •  Lavanda
  • | Joined May 2014 | Status: Member | 639 Posts
Quoting andexQ
Disliked
{quote} USD outlook still bearish with a lot of supply within 97.00 - 97.50 area and above. So in case 97.00 doesn't hold (less likely), heavy supply should re-enter within that area and then downward movement could continue.
Ignored
Finally, 97-97,10 area hold the bullish days-against the bearish weekly structure. I was not convinced about the bearish movements in EU cause this reason. I was not in front of the screen to get the bounce in EU ( beatiful in GU thanks to not Brexit) . Where can this new movement of DXY can bring the EU? . The problem is that they are not a perfect mirror. Two weeks ago DXY touched 97.xx and EU touched at that moment 1.1260. Now DXY was at the same place and EU was at 1.1160-70. So, the EU movements can be larger. Of course, DXY is a basket of currencies ( with Euro as main one) , but if DXY has still room downwards, EU will follow it in some way.

Best Regards,
 
 
  • Post #20,980
  • Quote
  • Feb 20, 2016 8:12am Feb 20, 2016 8:12am
  •  infinitus
  • Joined Jun 2010 | Status: s = k log W | 20,603 Posts
‘Obama has a bee in the bonnet about Putin’ – Stephen Cohen to RT’s Ed Schultz
 
 
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