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  • #95,041
  • Jan 28, 2016 9:39am Jan 28, 2016 9:39am
I'm going to throw my wiggly stuff in there too... Failed at that upper channel, would be a lot more interesting if there was a bearish cyclical signal in there.
Attached Image
When you hit 50, coffee becomes part of a proper modeling pipeline.
  • #95,042
  • Jan 28, 2016 9:39am Jan 28, 2016 9:39am
Hello everyone,
just my 2 cents.
I see AU on daily chart, and it just touched and bounced the .618 fibo
I'm waiting for bearish confirmation. who knows?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU daily.png Size: 96 KB
  • #95,043
  • Jan 28, 2016 9:59am Jan 28, 2016 9:59am
Quoting seonder
Hello everyone, just my 2 cents. I see AU on daily chart, and it just touched and bounced the .618 fibo I'm waiting for bearish confirmation. who knows? {image}
Hi Seonder,
What type of bearish confirmation would you look for in this instance? Please bear with me as my technical analysis skills are still very basic.

Regards,
Save
  • #95,044
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:02am Jan 28, 2016 10:02am
Quoting seonder
Hello everyone, just my 2 cents. I see AU on daily chart, and it just touched and bounced the .618 fibo I'm waiting for bearish confirmation. who knows? {image}
yurik has the same number, it is my reference level too.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...30#post8709330
As Above, So Below
  • #95,045
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:05am Jan 28, 2016 10:05am
Quoting Chibaya
{quote} Hi Seonder, What type of bearish confirmation would you look for in this instance? Please bear with me as my technical analysis skills are still very basic. Regards, Save
In this case, I'm hoping to see an inverted hammer on 4h TF, if you wanna rush short.If you are more conservative I'll wait till tomorrow close and monday opening in daily TF.
I think that tomorrow will be the decisive bar, if close on confirmation reversal next week will go south. Otherwise up north.
We are very close to 2008 crash support, just 400 pips. This make me think.
Bear with me that I'm not very skilled too
  • #95,046
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:10am Jan 28, 2016 10:10am
Quoting seonder
{quote} In this case, I'm hoping to see an inverted hammer on 4h TF, if you wanna rush short.If you are more conservative I'll wait till tomorrow close and monday opening in daily TF. Bear with me that I'm not very skilled too
There is one (pin bar) on the 4hr chart. Does that count?
  • #95,047
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:13am Jan 28, 2016 10:13am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} yurik has the same number, it is my reference level too. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...30#post8709330

oh, I see... I didn't see that tread ^_^ glad that we have the same number.
  • #95,048
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:15am Jan 28, 2016 10:15am
Quoting Chibaya
{quote} There is one (pin bar) on the 4hr chart. Does that count?
I edited my post before yours, just to answear that question
Since I play mostly in daily for swing trading, I cannot accept the pin bar in 4h.
it is off course a bell allarm to changing trend.
  • #95,049
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:16am Jan 28, 2016 10:16am
Hail to GURU
  • #95,050
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:16am Jan 28, 2016 10:16am
Quoting seonder
{quote} I edited my post before yours, just to answear that question Since I play mostly in daily for swing trading, I cannot accept the pin bar in 4h. it is off course a bell allarm to changing trend.
So you look for other bearish signals on the daily chart?
  • #95,051
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:17am Jan 28, 2016 10:17am
This is why I must wait the daily confirmation.
In 1H Tf it's looking that's more space north
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU 1h.png Size: 89 KB
  • #95,052
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:34am Jan 28, 2016 10:34am
Quoting Ken A
Hail to GURU
I hope you are joking
I just burnt my 2 account. I'm no guru at all
  • #95,053
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:41am Jan 28, 2016 10:41am
  • #95,054
  • Jan 28, 2016 10:59am Jan 28, 2016 10:59am
Quoting seonder
{quote} I hope you are joking I just burnt my 2 account. I'm no guru at all
lol. he is talking about me, buddy. he used to call me scammer and report me to FBI, now i became his guru. just a little troll wants some attention and love, but i am too busy to offer him that right now
As Above, So Below
  • #95,055
  • Jan 28, 2016 11:02am Jan 28, 2016 11:02am
My bad. I saw his post after mine, so I thought was about me.
  • #95,056
  • Jan 28, 2016 11:14am Jan 28, 2016 11:14am
short 7081. will add up to today's high. target 7000
As Above, So Below
  • #95,057
  • Jan 28, 2016 11:21am Jan 28, 2016 11:21am
Quoting tashkent
short 7081. will add up to today's high. target 7000
good call.
I think if it keep bearish we could see 6840 area too. Next week probably
  • #95,058
  • Jan 28, 2016 11:25am Jan 28, 2016 11:25am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} 7150.8 hasn't happened yet ... aussie made a lower low already (monthly) that may cause another one and the norm is here usually happens before 672x so,...{image} NU has one @0.66xx waiting for that
waiting for 7150.8 or higher to short 672x usally happens after 71xx it may drop from here
I may be wrong and full of sh't
  • #95,059
  • Jan 28, 2016 11:29am Jan 28, 2016 11:29am
Quoting seonder
{quote} good call. I think if it keep bearish we could see 6840 area too. Next week probably
to tell the truth, i am little scared with shorting this now
i have to be careful not getting carried away with shorts, as we have seen it can jump up momentarily.
As Above, So Below
  • #95,060
  • Jan 28, 2016 12:20pm Jan 28, 2016 12:20pm
Cant believe I missed that 61.8 fibo retrace at 0.7128, was perfect for short entries at 0.7125. I was looking at it on my phone and caught about 15 pips on the break up but didn't see the 0.7125 level :0
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