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AUD/USD

  • #94,981
  • Jan 27, 2016 7:43am Jan 27, 2016 7:43am
Quoting Ken A
Trying long - stop in place

Posted as it is not after the facts and after winning {image}
Still long AUD +200 pips so far hopefully will be able to survive FOMC

Attached Image
  • #94,982
  • Jan 27, 2016 7:57am Jan 27, 2016 7:57am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Still long AUD +200 pips so far hopefully will be able to survive FOMC {image}
Fomc, you never know what will happen. Flat, head comfortable
  • #94,983
  • Jan 27, 2016 7:57am Jan 27, 2016 7:57am
they are too predictable.

i will start short scalping from here. first one at 7060
As Above, So Below
  • #94,984
  • Jan 27, 2016 8:01am Jan 27, 2016 8:01am
Quoting ben82
{quote} Fomc, you never know what will happen. Flat, head comfortable
Yeah true - I will take the risk as it has broken .705xx
  • #94,985
  • Jan 27, 2016 9:37am Jan 27, 2016 9:37am
Quoting tashkent
... i will start short scalping from here. first one at 7060
nice... i had a feeling that damn bull was behaving too risky and now allowed bear to take some control. watching 7055
may take another short scalp there
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As Above, So Below
  • #94,986
  • Jan 27, 2016 10:22am Jan 27, 2016 10:22am
Quoting diggo
We are about to enter some high volatility starting in 9 hours with inflation data, followed up by the Fed. Not to mention the Weekly/Monthly close followed closely by the all important RBA. For now: Inflation
Expecting poor inflation data with results skewed by rapidly falling petrol prices as we saw in the NZD last week. Wouldn't expect to see a knee jerk reaction beyond 692x. Any positive result (not expected) should be capped at 707x. We can play some ping pong between these levels until the Fed.
Market clearing 707x target and ready to go to sleep for the next 3 hours. I suspect 7076 may need a visit later, still have sell orders pending there...

Quoting diggo
Fed Expecting a dovish/slightly dovish Fed with plenty of turmoil since the last meeting in December. Slightly dovish/dovish fed should open 707x with an extension to 717x, regardless of inflation data. A hawkish fed or even neutral (not expected) should have us retesting multi-year lows before the week/month close. Mid term target remains 0.639x
Getting ready for some wild moves. Sell orders pending at 716x/7x in case of a dovish Fed.
  • #94,987
  • Jan 27, 2016 10:50am Jan 27, 2016 10:50am
Shorted 7080 for ~30pips. Risky but pretty strong level.
  • #94,988
  • Jan 27, 2016 10:54am Jan 27, 2016 10:54am
Quoting diggo
{quote} Market clearing 707x target and ready to go to sleep for the next 3 hours. I suspect 7076 may need a visit later, still have sell orders pending there... {quote} Getting ready for some wild moves. Sell orders pending at 716x/7x in case of a dovish Fed.
it started too early. my sell order is filled at 7076. interesting moves across the board before the meeting
As Above, So Below
  • #94,989
  • Jan 27, 2016 10:55am Jan 27, 2016 10:55am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} it started too early. interesting moves across the board before the meeting
Oil leading on inventory news. Aud collateral. Should settle down soon. I'm short at 7076, SL 7090. Will close half at 7062 for a free ride (potential for 700 pips target). Wish it wasn't so close to Fed.
  • #94,990
  • Jan 27, 2016 1:26pm Jan 27, 2016 1:26pm
Quoting 3ckune
Shorted 7080 for ~30pips. Risky but pretty strong level.
Before news i closed my short at 7060. Now i am long again at 7035.
  • #94,991
  • Jan 27, 2016 1:44pm Jan 27, 2016 1:44pm
out of longs, waiting now
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Come with me if you want to live....
  • #94,992
  • Jan 27, 2016 1:48pm Jan 27, 2016 1:48pm
Bouncing off resistance for me. There is a bearish signal in the cyclical studies (see blue line on top of the chart = cyclical top), makes me wonder if we may see some reversal in the next 24 to 48h.
Attached Image
When you hit 50, coffee becomes part of a proper modeling pipeline.
  • #94,993
  • Jan 27, 2016 2:01pm Jan 27, 2016 2:01pm
cashed the 7076 just to keep the positive balance. running 3 more shorts starting from 7057. i want a good retracement.
no longs taken today due to very suspicious price behavor and been waiting for sell opportunity
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As Above, So Below
  • #94,994
  • Jan 27, 2016 2:14pm Jan 27, 2016 2:14pm
Quoting tashkent
cashed the 7076 just to keep the positive balance. running 3 more shorts starting from 7057. i want a good retracement. no longs taken today due to very suspicious price behavor and been waiting for sell opportunity {image}
Don't know that it's worth anything, but I think it's a good call on the shorts, 0.6958 is S1 for me.
When you hit 50, coffee becomes part of a proper modeling pipeline.
  • #94,995
  • Jan 27, 2016 2:25pm Jan 27, 2016 2:25pm
Quoting TheFxAnalyst
{quote} Don't know that it's worth anything, but I think it's a good call on the shorts, 0.6958 is S1 for me.
i have about the same level, 0696x but that might have changed to 6980 after creepy bullish run
As Above, So Below
  • #94,996
  • Jan 27, 2016 2:26pm Jan 27, 2016 2:26pm
my last 2 trades have been:

short at 7035.7 - closed at 7035
short at 7069 - targeting 6982
will replace 7035 position near top of recent range if it revisits there.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #94,997
  • Jan 27, 2016 2:26pm Jan 27, 2016 2:26pm
Quoting TheFxAnalyst
{quote} Don't know that it's worth anything, but I think it's a good call on the shorts, 0.6958 is S1 for me.
.7002 was last quarters low, right wrong or indifferent , added too ones holding from 6850, which was just above last quarters S2, ultimate tgt would be the quarterly pivot at 7220, see what happens if and when it gets back to this last 4 hour high.
  • #94,998
  • Jan 27, 2016 2:33pm Jan 27, 2016 2:33pm
Quoting digger1
{quote}.7002 was last quarters low, right wrong or indifferent , added too ones holding from 6850, which was just above last quarters S2, ultimate tgt would be the quarterly pivot at 7220, see what happens if and when it gets back to this last 4 hour high.
The pair is really neutral on the long term stuff (see macro columns - no bias), which means you both may get to be right based on your time frame, exposure and how long you can hold the trades open. If it continues to cycle around trades on both sides could be winners.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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When you hit 50, coffee becomes part of a proper modeling pipeline.
  • #94,999
  • Jan 27, 2016 2:36pm Jan 27, 2016 2:36pm
Chart to go with my post, gonna have to get above and hold the red 7085 area , does that, there isint much between there and the pivot.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #95,000
  • Jan 27, 2016 2:41pm Jan 27, 2016 2:41pm
Quoting TheFxAnalyst
{quote} The pair is really neutral on the long term stuff (see macro columns - no bias), which means you both may get to be right based on your time frame, exposure and how long you can hold the trades open. If it continues to cycle around trades on both sides could be winners. {image}
Everything is neutral, bearish ,bullish ,flat till its not.
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