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AUD/USD

  • #94,881
  • Jan 24, 2016 11:37pm Jan 24, 2016 11:37pm
this spot worth risking some pips. it will confirm validity of the first bearish sign.
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As Above, So Below
  • #94,882
  • Jan 25, 2016 1:18am Jan 25, 2016 1:18am
New potential entry spoted on 1h :
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Money moves the market, not an indicator.
  • #94,883
  • Jan 25, 2016 1:23am Jan 25, 2016 1:23am
Quoting niubee
Still confuse I don't see any bearish sign, so I step out from this pair
Well, I see it still fail to break 0.7030 so I short @0.7020 SL 0.7040
Don't trust me. I'm still newbie
  • #94,884
  • Jan 25, 2016 1:35am Jan 25, 2016 1:35am
Quoting SkyrEk
A courtesy reminder to traders to trade what you see, not what you think Fact is, we are all not significant enough to manipulate the market, hence go with the flow. Have a good trading week ahead! {image}
Agreed! The counsel is to wait and watch for now.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #94,885
  • Jan 25, 2016 1:37am Jan 25, 2016 1:37am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Looks like it's trying to break upside
Well, it sure hit my sl on the trade above... Oil is a wild market.
k
  • #94,886
  • Jan 25, 2016 1:44am Jan 25, 2016 1:44am
Quoting tashkent
this spot worth risking some pips. it will confirm validity of the first bearish sign. {image}
30 pips. appears to be the risk was the spread. price did not move even one pip above the entry. that was the spot.
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As Above, So Below
  • #94,887
  • Jan 25, 2016 1:49am Jan 25, 2016 1:49am
thanks tashkent. may I ask what is your tp?



Quoting tashkent
{quote} 30 pips. appears to be the risk was the spread. price did not move even one pip above the entry. that was the spot. {image}
  • #94,888
  • Jan 25, 2016 2:00am Jan 25, 2016 2:00am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} 30 pips. appears to be the risk was the spread. price did not move even one pip above the entry. that was the spot. {image}
Same idea bro, but what's your target? Personally looking between zone 0.6950-0.6960, if it go lower, then will hold.
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The only winner is the one who survive the longest...
  • #94,889
  • Jan 25, 2016 2:12am Jan 25, 2016 2:12am
Quoting kinspk
{quote} Same idea bro, but what's your target? Personally looking between zone 0.6950-0.6960, if it go lower, then will hold. {image}
no target, i am risking this free trade but my wild guess is we will move along this trendline in my chart.
as you have been reading here we have some overly excited buyers hoping for sky rocket move, they also must exist among big players. they will try to push the price up to test the highs again. if they win, we may end up at around 7140. expecting potential buyers around 6930. until then (clear direction) it is can kicking game.
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As Above, So Below
  • #94,890
  • Jan 25, 2016 2:24am Jan 25, 2016 2:24am
Quoting DonkeyKongg
thanks tashkent. may I ask what is your tp? {quote}
sorry, missed your post. will give a thought to that at around many times mentioned 6930 area. if sl hits before that, well, it is what it is.
As Above, So Below
  • #94,891
  • Jan 25, 2016 2:29am Jan 25, 2016 2:29am
Hello traders. I've just joined this forum, though trading Forex for a few months, and stocks and options for many years. Oil is still plunging. I should have shorted it, though pre-existing burns on my fingers held me back this time. The rise in the oil price was widely credited to the storm in the U.S. When all other factors are considered "A storm in a teacup" seems applicable. The weight of all the world markets lifted by a snow storm? Fundamentally, that couldn't last, it was only a matter of how long until the fear factor took hold again. The U.S. dollar has kept very close sync (minute by minute) with oil ever since the crunch started. It's a safer way to back a fall in the oil price. I was fortunate to see oil braking it's short term uptrend line and shorted USD/JPY at 118.70. Was already holding AUD/USD short at .6993 The roller coaster continues. It always goes down more quickly than up.
  • #94,892
  • Jan 25, 2016 2:36am Jan 25, 2016 2:36am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} sorry, missed your post. will give a thought to that at around many times mentioned 6930 area. if sl hits before that, well, it is what it is.
Hello. I nave short @0,6988 after the fail on new high on the 1h chart. Why you sell at yours level?
  • #94,893
  • Jan 25, 2016 2:58am Jan 25, 2016 2:58am
Quoting 81raffae
{quote} Hello. I nave short @0,6988 after the fail on new high on the 1h chart. Why you sell at yours level?
this has more to do with understanding the psychology of the players. their behavior is printed in your chart. greed, fear, rush not to miss an opportunity etc. my small brain tells me that greedy buyers lined up to buy when price retraced hoping for new highs. but there was an exhaustion among them not even reaching the high. price stalled, until then bear was waiting patiently, after signs of bull weakness bear started to put some pressure. i got in at that time as usually prefer to anticipate earlier than others. by the time when others realize the situation, i am already packing up and ready to leave with nice profit. or i can wait to see the panicking buyers closing their longs and run which will drive the price further down.
of course, what i wrote is just to explain the situation in simple words and not exactly how it is, but overall this is a brief description.
hope this answers your question.
ps. i am not seeing the scammer trash Ken around, probably will appear if we "sky rocket" with his demo trades.
As Above, So Below
  • #94,894
  • Jan 25, 2016 3:13am Jan 25, 2016 3:13am
Keep Calm and trade guys!

Enjoy the process of it
  • #94,895
  • Jan 25, 2016 3:31am Jan 25, 2016 3:31am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} this has more to do with understanding the psychology of the players. their behavior is printed in your chart. greed, fear, rush not to miss an opportunity etc. my small brain tells me that greedy buyers lined up to buy when price retraced hoping for new highs. but there was an exhaustion among them not even reaching the high. price stalled, until then bear was waiting patiently, after signs of bull weakness bear started to put some pressure. i got in at that time as usually prefer to anticipate earlier than others. by the time when others...
Thanks. You use some indicatori or only naked chart?
  • #94,896
  • Jan 25, 2016 4:05am Jan 25, 2016 4:05am
The price on AUD/USD moves to resistance level. When 0.70461 mark will be passed, I’m gonna buy.

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  • #94,897
  • Jan 25, 2016 4:59am Jan 25, 2016 4:59am
I reckon it looks a bit bullish on the 1h, kind of bullish on the 4h, but bearish on the daily. Amazingly I've been able to make (modest) profits from the volatility, but I'm still not sure where it's next significant move will be, so holding for hours at a time.

Crap all data in the next 24h, so I reckon no major moves.
  • #94,898
  • Jan 25, 2016 6:00am Jan 25, 2016 6:00am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} this zone 692x-6930 is what i have been looking at. after a good run up, we see some excitement among bull and fear among late sellers. your level to the upside 7190 is also valid. this is another good 180+ pips. we already have some converts among bear and other traders waiting for a chance to get into the game at a better price. i speculate they will get that chance around the support zone you have drawn, which possibly collecting orders now. after that, its all in god's hands, will they be slaughtered or rewarded. i personally may give...
My general view as PA evolves
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Come with me if you want to live....
  • #94,899
  • Jan 25, 2016 6:04am Jan 25, 2016 6:04am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
I reckon it looks a bit bullish on the 1h, kind of bullish on the 4h, but bearish on the daily. Amazingly I've been able to make (modest) profits from the volatility, but I'm still not sure where it's next significant move will be, so holding for hours at a time. Crap all data in the next 24h, so I reckon no major moves.
I agree, range might continue for a while. I'm debating whether or not to open longs but with that bearish outlook on the daily that might not be the best idea.
  • #94,900
  • Jan 25, 2016 6:19am Jan 25, 2016 6:19am
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} My general view as PA evolves {image} {image} {image}
my view is similar to yours. 4h chart above shows the levels i am looking at. smaller tfs already turned bearish. judging from small tfs, the trendline i had in my previous chart may serve as resistance. that is around 7010
As Above, So Below
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