Just to point it out, in 1999 pretty much none of retailers were shorting E stocks. In 2007 bellow 1% retailers were shorting housing/stocks. In 87 Noone (from what numbers hold) even instituations were shorting markets. Few months after those dates, crashes have come and laster a while, while retailers lost between 30-70% equity/balance on avarage those that were bought/long. Right now we have EM crisis in front of our eyes, and i could found only 1 single trader aside to myself that is heavily shorting EMs on FF forums, which keeps with aligment that crowd is usually on wrong side of crisis. Either that or i didnt do enough research on forum and there are more, but what i can asume is that majority of people on this forum has defenetly more knowledge than regular retailer invested in stocks and bonds thats for sure, so perhaps the crowd ratio is not 80% in terms of crisis/credit spread/eat cycles but maybe closer to 95+% in terms of investment flows. Who knows it could be. I am just surprised that there is pretty much almost noone shorting since last year on those markets. Or perhaps i shouldnt be, becouse history tells us so.
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Hunting High and Low
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Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
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Hunting High and Low
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