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  • Post #9,041
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:01am Jan 20, 2016 10:01am
  •  FXClarity
  • Joined Jan 2016 | Status: Member | 952 Posts
​Good call, that move has cleaned things up a bit
  • Post #9,042
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:02am Jan 20, 2016 10:02am
  •  Dano12
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 5,895 Posts
http://news.forexlive.com/!/full-mon...eting-20160120
  • Post #9,043
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:03am Jan 20, 2016 10:03am
  •  Ken A
  • Joined Jun 2012 | Status: ケンジ | 21,416 Posts
Quoting Ken A
Disliked
Took a short at 1.466x risk 10 pips Worth a try
Ignored
Closed half +130 pips

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  • Post #9,044
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  • Jan 20, 2016 10:03am Jan 20, 2016 10:03am
  •  san99
  • | Joined Jan 2014 | Status: Member | 646 Posts
Damn! Should've held on to my short . So much for all those "experts" pricing in "57% chance of rate cut, up from 13% in December" !
Enter Signature
  • Post #9,045
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:04am Jan 20, 2016 10:04am
  •  Darkforce
  • | Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Member | 1,236 Posts
Quoting Ken A
Disliked
Closed half +130 pips {image}
Ignored
That's some damn quick money to make, man you feeling lucky going to Vegas?
  • Post #9,046
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  • Jan 20, 2016 10:05am Jan 20, 2016 10:05am
  •  Duce
  • | Joined Jan 2009 | Status: Snr. Director | 1,158 Posts
Quoting Darkforce
Disliked
{quote} Trade idea. Since market has been pricing BOC rate cut so aggressively, I would sell a spike high in case of a "cut", and buy a spike low in case of a "no cut". The idea is that for "cut", this is a buy rumour sell fact, esp. given the probability been pricing in so high, the immediate focus after a cut will be "there won't be a cut for a while" For "no cut", market will adjust positioning which would lead to a initial sell off, but at some point market will re-focus on when next cut will be, thus lead to USDCAD appreciation. For levels,...
Ignored
Great call. I considered this and placed trades accordingly. Thanks DF.
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
  • Post #9,047
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  • Jan 20, 2016 10:06am Jan 20, 2016 10:06am
  •  Darkforce
  • | Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Member | 1,236 Posts
Quoting san99
Disliked
Damn! Should've held on to my short . So much for all those "experts" pricing in "57% chance of rate cut, up from 13% in December" !
Ignored
The press conference is the next, so its not over yet, you'll get another short if you believe it will fall.

Also I don't think bulls will not give up that easily.

BOC decision doesn't change fundamentals
  • Post #9,048
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:06am Jan 20, 2016 10:06am
  •  broketrader
  • Joined Oct 2012 | Status: Getting Zen | 1,498 Posts
Quoting Ken A
Disliked
Closed half +130 pips {image}
Ignored
Good Call ! Let's see what happens during the presser...
Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication.
  • Post #9,049
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  • Jan 20, 2016 10:08am Jan 20, 2016 10:08am
  •  albarbary
  • | Joined Apr 2013 | Status: Member | 11 Posts
Quoting albarbary
Disliked
I think that the Bank of Canada will raise interest rates 20 jan
Ignored
Done , Praise be to Allaah , I was waiting for a margin call , i think we will see 1.3000
The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting.
  • Post #9,050
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  • Jan 20, 2016 10:08am Jan 20, 2016 10:08am
  •  forexn00b
  • | Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Member | 207 Posts
Quoting forexn00b
Disliked
My short analysis on UC for today. Simple: sell. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...74#post8698774 Price went a bit further than I thought it would, I will wait for BoC statement to do anything.
Ignored
Crystal ball for sale!
Stay green! FN
  • Post #9,051
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  • Jan 20, 2016 10:08am Jan 20, 2016 10:08am
  •  Darkforce
  • | Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Member | 1,236 Posts
Poloz might got a call from Trudeau last night: "mate, hold your gun, I am paying bloody 13 dollar for a cucumber now!"
  • Post #9,052
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  • Jan 20, 2016 10:09am Jan 20, 2016 10:09am
  •  Ken A
  • Joined Jun 2012 | Status: ケンジ | 21,416 Posts
Quoting broketrader
Disliked
{quote} Good Call ! Let's see what happens during the presser...
Ignored
Yep the rhetoric could be dovish

and watching this in 30 mins

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  • Post #9,053
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  • Jan 20, 2016 10:15am Jan 20, 2016 10:15am
  •  Hollyforex
  • | Joined Oct 2015 | Status: Member | 314 Posts
Quoting Darkforce
Disliked
Poloz might got a call from Trudeau last night: "mate, hold your gun, I am paying bloody 13 dollar for a cucumber now!"
Ignored

thats about it !!
don't get in love with pairs ... up or down is the same pip value
  • Post #9,054
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  • Jan 20, 2016 10:15am Jan 20, 2016 10:15am
  •  Darkforce
  • | Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Member | 1,236 Posts
Quoting Ken A
Disliked
{quote} Yep the rhetoric could be dovish and watching this in 30 mins {image}
Ignored
The worst blow that Poloz can deal to bulls is by saying "fiscal policy is more appropriate for the current economic situation in Canada", if we hear anything like that, we are going back to 1.3
  • Post #9,055
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:20am Jan 20, 2016 10:20am
  •  Hollyforex
  • | Joined Oct 2015 | Status: Member | 314 Posts
Quoting Darkforce
Disliked
{quote} The worst blow that Poloz can deal to bulls is by saying "fiscal policy is more appropriate for the current economic situation in Canada", if we hear anything like that, we are going back to 1.3
Ignored
There go the inflation expecations, (hopes), if that would be
don't get in love with pairs ... up or down is the same pip value
  • Post #9,056
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:26am Jan 20, 2016 10:26am
  •  Darkforce
  • | Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Member | 1,236 Posts
Quoting Ken A
Disliked
{quote} Or "We will do whatever it takes to maintain the import cucumber under $10"
Ignored
I prefer cucumber to be under $1 if possible!
  • Post #9,057
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:30am Jan 20, 2016 10:30am
  •  Ken A
  • Joined Jun 2012 | Status: ケンジ | 21,416 Posts
Quote;

Full statement from the Bank of Canada January 2016 decision

20 January 2016

The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/4 per cent.

Inflation in Canada is evolving broadly as expected. Total CPI inflation remains near the bottom of the Bank’s target range as the disinflationary effects of economic slack and low consumer energy prices are only partially offset by the inflationary impact of the lower Canadian dollar on the prices of imported goods. As all of these factors dissipate, the Bank expects inflation will rise to about 2 per cent by early 2017. Measures of core inflation should remain close to 2 per cent.

The dynamics of the global economy are broadly as anticipated in the Bank’s October Monetary Policy Report (MPR), with diverging economic prospects and shifting terms of trade. China continues its transition to a more sustainable growth path and the expansion in the United States is on track, despite temporary weakness in the fourth quarter of 2015. The U.S. Federal Reserve has begun to gradually withdraw its exceptional monetary stimulus. While risks to the world outlook remain and have been reflected in sharp price movements in a range of asset classes, global growth is expected to trend upwards beginning in 2016.

Prices for oil and other commodities have declined further and this represents a setback for the Canadian economy. GDP growth likely stalled in the fourth quarter of 2015, pulled down by temporary softness in the U.S. economy, weaker business investment and several other temporary factors. The Bank now expects the economy’s return to above-potential growth to be delayed until the second quarter of 2016. The protracted process of reorientation towards non-resource activity is underway, helped by stronger U.S. demand, the lower Canadian dollar, and accommodative monetary and financial conditions. National employment remains resilient despite job losses in the resource sector and household spending continues to expand.

The Bank projects Canada’s economy will grow by about 1 1/2 per cent in 2016 and 2 1/2 per cent in 2017. The complex nature of the ongoing structural adjustment makes the outlook for demand and potential output highly uncertain. The Bank’s current base case projection shows the output gap closing later than was anticipated in October, around the end of 2017. However, the Bank has not yet incorporated the positive impact of fiscal measures expected in the next federal budget.

All things considered, therefore, the risks to the profile for inflation are roughly balanced. Meanwhile, financial vulnerabilities continue to edge higher, as expected. The Bank’s Governing Council judges that the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate, and the target for the overnight rate remains at 1/2 per cent.
  • Post #9,058
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:32am Jan 20, 2016 10:32am
  •  broketrader
  • Joined Oct 2012 | Status: Getting Zen | 1,498 Posts
Quoting Ken A
Disliked
{quote} Yep the rhetoric could be dovish and watching this in 30 mins {image}
Ignored
Did you noticed that the oil inventories have been moved to tomorrow... ?
Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication.
  • Post #9,059
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:58am Jan 20, 2016 10:58am
  •  TheFxAnalyst
  • Joined Jan 2016 | Status: back to the lab again | 425 Posts
You got to love the volatility... Longs getting blasted, shorts getting blasted. Straight down, straight back up. No mans land.
When you hit 50, coffee becomes part of a proper modeling pipeline.
  • Post #9,060
  • Quote
  • Jan 20, 2016 11:00am Jan 20, 2016 11:00am
  •  MdogKamileo
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Master of Disaster | 68 Posts
What is wrong with this pair... ;o
Trust only yourself
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