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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #6,061
  • Jul 11, 2014 3:36am Jul 11, 2014 3:36am
Quoting bassramy
{quote} Already short and scaling in, PA is exactly on support which leave the door open for profit taken, or, a break of that repeatedly important already 7 times tested one. The support Range between 100.80 and 101.200, a good place to buy if your a range trader pending confirmation from daily PA, i also noticed that resistance keeps getting lower and lower which lead to an assumption that a bearish move is taking place or we can call it a Descending triangle that's coming to his ending climax taking the upper mentioned support as our line in...
PA Rejected from support yesterday is it time to buy value and trade the range one more time ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpydaily.png Size: 89 KB
Master Your Setup, Master Your self. (NQoos)
  • #6,062
  • Jul 14, 2014 4:17pm Jul 14, 2014 4:17pm
Buying value could be the go. I would prefer to keep hunting for sell triggers to add to my small short... though I think it will be easy/obvious when (if) it does eventually break to just join it. Each time it rallies to a lower high the Long possie must be looking at the exit door more and more and thinking how many people are in my way if I have to go there in a hurry!
  • #6,063
  • Edited 8:39am Jul 15, 2014 8:03am | Edited 8:39am
Indeed buying value could be the go here, PA broke the Donchian channel up and now teasing with the resistance of that almost Daily bullish pinbar that being rejected from support.

The only problem that i can see is that OB conditions and divergence on both the RSI and CCI, a retest of that broken resistance level could be underway paving the way to an OS conditions and to a continuation of the bullish trend a la shahab way Targeting the Triangle Ceiling and making a Lower High one more time.

Knowing how much shahab values Fibo, 38.6 is being crossed and PA is trapped now between 50 and 38.6.
Just a Trade idea.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH1.jpg Size: 430 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH1_1.png Size: 113 KB
Master Your Setup, Master Your self. (NQoos)
  • #6,064
  • Jul 16, 2014 3:18am Jul 16, 2014 3:18am
Quoting bassramy
Indeed buying value could be the go here, PA broke the Donchian channel up and now teasing with the resistance of that almost Daily bullish pinbar that being rejected from support. The only problem that i can see is that OB conditions and divergence on both the RSI and CCI, a retest of that broken resistance level could be underway paving the way to an OS conditions and to a continuation of the bullish trend a la shahab way Targeting the Triangle Ceiling and making a Lower High one more time. Knowing how much shahab values Fibo, 38.6 is being crossed...
In Process with a Heavy divergences on both the RSI and The CCI.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1405498599
Master Your Setup, Master Your self. (NQoos)
  • #6,065
  • Nov 26, 2014 9:55am Nov 26, 2014 9:55am
This thread seem not active anymore, anyone know where is shahab8b been, no more trading?
  • #6,066
  • Jan 5, 2016 9:47pm Jan 5, 2016 9:47pm
Adding to my short positions in NZDUSD
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDusDaily.png Size: 45 KB
  • #6,067
  • Jan 5, 2016 10:02pm Jan 5, 2016 10:02pm
I'm also holding short positions in USDJPY, NZDJPY, and EURJPY. I think USDJPY does not complete its pattern until 116.50
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYusDaily.png Size: 42 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDJPYusDaily.png Size: 34 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPYusWeekly.png Size: 35 KB
  • #6,068
  • Jan 5, 2016 10:17pm Jan 5, 2016 10:17pm
USDCAD, it is a very strong uptrend. But I am looking for a short opportunity if it presents itself. Let’s wait and see.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADusDaily.png Size: 28 KB
  • #6,069
  • Jan 5, 2016 10:24pm Jan 5, 2016 10:24pm
Welcome back Shahab, hope you've been well ...
si hoc legere scis nimium eruditionis habes
  • #6,070
  • Jan 6, 2016 6:12am Jan 6, 2016 6:12am
WTF, finally, posting as if you didn't being gone for 2 years now, where have you been ?, welcome back and hope everything is well, we miss your insights.

Best,
B.R.
Master Your Setup, Master Your self. (NQoos)
  • #6,071
  • Jan 6, 2016 3:40pm Jan 6, 2016 3:40pm
Quoting numbnuts
Welcome back Shahab, hope you've been well ...
Hey there, thank you!
  • #6,072
  • Jan 6, 2016 3:42pm Jan 6, 2016 3:42pm
Quoting bassramy
WTF, finally, posting as if you didn't being gone for 2 years now, where have you been ?, welcome back and hope everything is well, we miss your insights. Best, B.R.
Hey there. I know it has been a while. I've been very busy. Lets see if I can post more often.
  • #6,073
  • Jan 6, 2016 3:51pm Jan 6, 2016 3:51pm
Adding to short positions in EURUSD. As long as price stays below TL and R at 1.1, the bearish pressure should prevail.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDusDaily.png Size: 46 KB
  • #6,074
  • Jan 6, 2016 4:00pm Jan 6, 2016 4:00pm
Wanted to add to AUDUSD short position, but it did not give us any retracement.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDusDaily.png Size: 45 KB
  • #6,075
  • Jan 7, 2016 10:32am Jan 7, 2016 10:32am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCAD, it is a very strong uptrend. But I am looking for a short opportunity if it presents itself. Lets wait and see. {image}
Got a decent short entry in USDCAD. It's a counter trend trade so I won't be holding it for too long.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADusDaily.png Size: 28 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADusDaily2.png Size: 33 KB
  • #6,076
  • Jan 7, 2016 10:35am Jan 7, 2016 10:35am
Quoting shahab8b
Adding to short positions in EURUSD. As long as price stays below TL and R at 1.1, the bearish pressure should prevail. {image}
The rally is stronger than expected, but I am still adding more shorts to EURUSD, hard stop above 1.1
  • #6,077
  • Jan 10, 2016 11:33am Jan 10, 2016 11:33am
Indeed, welcome back Shahab!
  • #6,078
  • Jan 15, 2016 10:46am Jan 15, 2016 10:46am
Quoting o990l6mh
Indeed, welcome back Shahab!
Hey man, thanks!
  • #6,079
  • Jan 18, 2016 3:58pm Jan 18, 2016 3:58pm
Hello Shahab
What about COT trading?
Did you gave up?
  • #6,080
  • Jan 20, 2016 10:40am Jan 20, 2016 10:40am
Quoting chdudy
Hello Shahab What about COT trading? Did you gave up?
No I still use COT data, but I have always said that my trading approach is more technical analysis than just only using COT data. All my above trades follow COT flow.
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