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  • #161
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:13am Dec 22, 2015 11:13am
Quoting HighFivve
short AUD/USD ? {image}
Again be wary on the time of day and if you get a proper set-up (in this case SOW) get protected quickly. That appears to be a good zone to watch come LO tomorrow for sure.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #162
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:23am Dec 22, 2015 11:23am
Quoting pres78
EURUSD Recent long at 1.09703. Looking for that afternoon drift up to 1.1. SL 10 pips, TP 25 pips for 2.5 to 1 (late in the day so not looking to be greedy). If this spends too much time sitting stagnant I will close. If I get to 1:1 I will lock in at BE again due to time of day.
Hit 1:1, decided to close half and let the second half run fully exposed. Worst case net BE, best case 2.5:1 on half and 1:1 on half. No worries as I'm protected now on this trade either way.

Time will tell.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #163
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:27am Dec 22, 2015 11:27am
Quoting HighFivve
short AUD/USD ? Edit got short on PA TL break 1M {image} {image}
I would advise caution. Firstly, the time of day is not that good because activity has dried up. Secondly and more importantly, you are trading into potential support from the UHV candle formed a few days ago during the FOMC announcment.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #164
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:31am Dec 22, 2015 11:31am
Quoting Rinehart
{quote} I would advise caution. Firstly, the time of day is not that good because activity has dried up. Secondly and more importantly, you are trading into potential support from the UHV candle formed a few days ago during the FOMC announcment. {image}
Good eye. Nice shared level with the 50% of that extra UHV, WRB zone and the low of today's zone. If we get a push below and then come back to this level around LO it would offer a lovely short.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #165
  • Dec 22, 2015 11:39am Dec 22, 2015 11:39am
Cool.... thanks guys ---You ROCK
Learn THEN Unlearn
  • #166
  • Edited 11:56am Dec 22, 2015 11:45am | Edited 11:56am
Quoting HighFivve
short AUD/USD ? Edit got short on PA TL break 1M ..stop above 50% level {image} {image}
Also the low of today's zone (around 0.72307) has yet to be taken out and tested successfully and we are now back inside today's zone. Even on a 15 minute chart we closed below but on the very next bar we closed back into the low.

Edit - AUDUSD 0.7230 is the hinge point right now. Bulls need to hold above, bears need to break and then hold below. Those UHV, UWRB's (caused nearly always by some sort of news) need to always be kept in the back of our minds (and preferably on the chart) as they are background information for us and the levels almost always play a factor when we return to them. Volume at volume. SM tend to be active where they were active before. That is our roadmap.

My current trade plan is based fully around trading today's zone during tomoroows action, however UHV, WRB created by high impact news stay on my charts (these are currently the only old zones I keep on for anyone who has followed my previous postings). I make them a different color and usually dotted lines so I can differentiate between them and my "current" trade zone.

I use yellow for the zone from yesterday that I am watching, white for today's zone when it becomes active after we've moved away from yesterday's zone and gray dotted for currently watched news zones.

We always want to see some sort of move away from a zone before coming back to test and then look for an entry.

At this point it's best to wait for tomorrow at LO and see where we are with respect to today's zones and find the ones that look the most tradable and look for your trade plan set-ups.

As I've said before when just starting on VZA focus on the trading the edges after a clear break (which we've not seen yet). Also look for entries around market opens.

After that is mastered then you can get more aggressive and trade within the zones etc...
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #167
  • Dec 22, 2015 12:44pm Dec 22, 2015 12:44pm
Thank your for sharing. This stuff is Gold!
  • #168
  • Dec 22, 2015 1:16pm Dec 22, 2015 1:16pm
Quoting pres78
{quote} Hit 1:1, decided to close half and let the second half run fully exposed. Worst case net BE, best case 2.5:1 on half and 1:1 on half. No worries as I'm protected now on this trade either way. Time will tell.
Closed second half at BE. This was the sideways action I was afraid of. I was hoping for a famous afternoon upwards drift but instead we got the equally famous and dreaded sideways drift ...
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #169
  • Dec 22, 2015 2:18pm Dec 22, 2015 2:18pm
EURUSD

I will be very interested to see where the day closes as currently we are sitting below the low of today's zone. Looks like we could (this is mere speculation until LO tomorrow) be in for a sellers day tomorrow.

We will see how the day closes and where we are come LO.

Interesting day. Daily bar looking very ND'ish... This makes sense for me with seeing the highest hourly volume right at the high of the day and the fact that we are currently below that zone...
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #170
  • Dec 22, 2015 4:36pm Dec 22, 2015 4:36pm
Hello forest it's me the trees... can you see me? Just wondering because I can't see you.

I believe there is a metaphor in there somewhere

I was sure we were headed back to 1.1 today... We stopped dead in the tracks at 1.0984. WTF I asked myself?

Well perhaps it was because of 1.0980 high from that crazier than crazy spread UHV Daily bar from Dec 3rd (purple level)... Now why did I take that zone off my chart? Please someone remind me?

As I type this we are back floating around that good old 1.095 level...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #171
  • Dec 22, 2015 7:16pm Dec 22, 2015 7:16pm
Two examples of many today (well everyday to be honest). Yellow zone = yesterday zone, white line = LO.

If you can't follow these road maps, you shouldn't be driving
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPCADiH1.png Size: 60 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDiH1.png Size: 60 KB
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #172
  • Dec 23, 2015 3:56am Dec 23, 2015 3:56am
Hello Pres,

I wish I found this thread earlier. Subscribed.

Cheers
  • #173
  • Dec 23, 2015 4:22am Dec 23, 2015 4:22am
Pres,

A question, what is the GMT time zone of your MT4 server ?
  • #174
  • Dec 23, 2015 4:43am Dec 23, 2015 4:43am
Quoting pooh123
Pres, A question, what is the GMT time zone of your MT4 server ?
​I use ONLY NY close charts. I think that makes them GMT+2... They are 6 hours off my local time and I am in GMT-4 (it's 6:42AM here now and 12:42 on my charts)...
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #175
  • Dec 23, 2015 4:49am Dec 23, 2015 4:49am
GBPUSD

Check out that chart. We closed below yesterday's zone which was close to the days low (at the bottom of the market action)... LO we are above the H so we now are thinking longs. Market opens and the first hour is nothing more than a fake out mark down right into 50% of yesterday's zone... A small phase of ACC and up we go.

Picture perfect in my books.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #176
  • Dec 23, 2015 6:51am Dec 23, 2015 6:51am
Quoting pres78
GBPUSD Check out that chart. We closed below yesterday's zone which was close to the days low (at the bottom of the market action)... LO we are above the H so we now are thinking longs. Market opens and the first hour is nothing more than a fake out mark down right into 50% of yesterday's zone... A small phase of ACC and up we go. Picture perfect in my books.
GBP futures chart, which has real volume, shows the same. Just that, as transactions are relatively sparse due to the coming holiday, I dare not take a trade.
  • #177
  • Dec 23, 2015 6:54am Dec 23, 2015 6:54am
EURUSD was down away from yesterday's zone at LO so I waited for LO to close and fibbed that bar as it was and still is the highest volume bar of the day...

We are sitting range bound at the moment within the zone. Based on the current PA and volume I suspect we will see a break to the downside. Either way as of now on this pair I am sitting on the sidelines.
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #178
  • Dec 23, 2015 6:58am Dec 23, 2015 6:58am
Quoting pooh123
{quote} GBP futures chart, which has real volume, shows the same. Just that, as transactions are relatively sparse due to the coming holiday, I dare not take a trade.
I have no doubts of the similarities of the futures and FX charts. I've spent enough time doing side by side comparisons to feel 100% confident trading forex using tick volume. ECN brokers with deep liquidity pools have almost identical volume spikes as the futures charts. Are there differences, of course but not enough to affect my trading (this response was not directed at you personally, just a general comment about the subject of tick versus "real" volume).
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #179
  • Dec 23, 2015 7:04am Dec 23, 2015 7:04am
Quoting pres78
EURUSD was down away from yesterday's zone at LO so I waited for LO to close and fibbed that bar as it was and still is the highest volume bar of the day... We are sitting range bound at the moment within the zone. Based on the current PA and volume I suspect we will see a break to the downside. Either way as of now on this pair I am sitting on the sidelines.
Chart...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDiH1.png Size: 58 KB
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
  • #180
  • Dec 23, 2015 7:35am Dec 23, 2015 7:35am
EURUSD

Short at 1.0917. Reason... Find the 15 min within the hourly from today's zone... SL 1.0923 (50% of the 15min zone and there was a nice exchange at that level already).
Today's zone = Tomorrow's opportunity!
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