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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #20,401
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:26pm Dec 18, 2015 3:26pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} What is paning out atm in Ukraine is Yugoslavia war copy-paste model. The only difference was that Yugoslavian army was so weak that it was executed on so much smaller scale. And the people still call Yugoslavia war by default "civil war". And so will history call Ukraine war, even though that we know its full blown proxy war.

  • #20,402
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:30pm Dec 18, 2015 3:30pm
Five global powers agree on UN Security resolution draft to settle Syrian crisis – reports

And the winner gets it all


Attached Image
  • #20,403
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:45pm Dec 18, 2015 3:45pm
Quoting infinitus
Five global powers agree on UN Security resolution draft to settle Syrian crisis reports And the winner gets it all {image}
Interesting, so what does that means? Is US calling defeat? On other hand Arab league is not part of the chapter, which means that they could now lead the proxy war further, especially if you consider that Saudis just yesterday cleared the land for invasion on Iraq in number of 10k troops. So this is either a mask to pull the ISIS and Blackwater from Syria and let Arab army+FSA to do the future work, or the US is actually pulling away from all sides which i hardly believe. In either case we will know in 1 month what is the case.
  • #20,404
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:55pm Dec 18, 2015 3:55pm
EURUSD EW count from EWI

http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdat...#axzz3uKQjXUld


valid scenario.........

would call for a test of the roughly 1.075 level, then a wave 2 up into the 0930 to 0950 area
  • #20,405
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:55pm Dec 18, 2015 3:55pm
Quoting infinitus
EURUSD EW count from EWI http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdat...#axzz3uKQjXUld valid scenario......... would call for a test of the roughly 1.075 level, then a wave 2 up into the 0930 to 0950 area

but should drop now then......
  • #20,406
  • Dec 18, 2015 4:14pm Dec 18, 2015 4:14pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} but should drop now then......
I see it up now structurally lets see. Didnt manage to get in any longs however.

EDIT: IF 8710 is taken. Otherwise down from here where market closed. For short here is nice RR. For long its already missed.
  • #20,407
  • Dec 18, 2015 4:16pm Dec 18, 2015 4:16pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-1...isa-became-law

Ok so that went as smooth as FED pass in 1913. I believe the discussions we have here are going to be forgotten history in 10 years. Globalists will take over the net with censurship net-blockades if you are "terrorist" spreading conspirancies. Let us enjoy the freedom of speech as long as it lasts. TPP is at the doors.
  • #20,408
  • Dec 18, 2015 4:18pm Dec 18, 2015 4:18pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} but should drop now then......
Is this valid scenario as the price has come back to (4) and has exceed it a little bit ( the daily high) ?
  • #20,409
  • Dec 18, 2015 4:18pm Dec 18, 2015 4:18pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} I see it up now structurally lets see. Didnt manage to get in any longs however.

the drop from 0869 today may eventually a failed 5th wave down. Hate such things, but would support your view of more upside now
  • #20,410
  • Dec 18, 2015 4:20pm Dec 18, 2015 4:20pm
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} Is this valid scenario as the price has come back to (4) and has exceed it a little bit ( the daily high) ?

yes, still valid. All of todays action is then part of the wave 4. EWI has to move their 4 a bit......
  • #20,411
  • Dec 18, 2015 4:26pm Dec 18, 2015 4:26pm
Quoting janpec1000
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-1...isa-became-law Ok so that went as smooth as FED pass in 1913. I believe the discussions we have here are going to be forgotten history in 10 years. Globalists will take over the net with censurship net-blockades if you are "terrorist" spreading conspirancies. Let us enjoy the freedom of speech as long as it lasts. TPP is at the doors.

the whole members of The Club will be brought to Gitmo, me thinks

Will never make a trip to the USA again. Better safe than sorry.

When things get really ugly, I have to seek asylum by my friend Dr. Phoenix in lovely Russia. I think he does not like the prospect, because he would need to share his toys with me (I mean the big ones )
  • #20,412
  • Dec 18, 2015 5:10pm Dec 18, 2015 5:10pm
Quoting janpec1000
http://news.forexlive.com/!/japans-s...moves-20151218 What is that suppose to mean? 200 pips move for that?

UJ main count weekly TF
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_USD_JPY_Weekly_snapshot.png Size: 39 KB
  • #20,413
  • Edited 6:21pm Dec 18, 2015 6:08pm | Edited 6:21pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} UJ main count weekly TF {image}
Looking at chart this seems possible. BOJ short term message especially from Nikkie is likely to push UJ down. Structurally i dont see top here, but that doesnt mean i dont see retrace, so there could likely be C or 50% of the C retrace and then further up. That would be good play to go for. Takes 20 weekly candles till next important BOJ thingy, so its a room to go, and meanwhile probably FED will be idle. But after March i would say long UJ could be best/low risk if not the easiest trade to make. 1% hike by end of 2016 means that first hike of 2016 should be March/April. And by that time BOJ should act, JGBs are gona be alright, but data and internal cabinet info should give more clues. 13/14 were both facepalm easy, so 16 should be the same. 15 gave no clue, thus there was no action. Obviously you cant never know with CBs, but history does give something to lean on.
  • #20,414
  • Dec 19, 2015 6:13am Dec 19, 2015 6:13am
Oh ye and the oil export ban has been liften by US. Said it before...there will be no recovery for oil price for years to come. Esentially what has this move make is that US oil companies will lick their wounds by over saturating supply abroad so that they can cover their loses from low prices, meanwhile the rest of economies will suffer even additionally due to this additional supply and most of them are already supplying at max anyways. Russian minister already confirmed they are sure there will be no recovery of price of oil for likely a decade. They know the gameplay.
  • #20,415
  • Dec 19, 2015 6:48am Dec 19, 2015 6:48am
Quoting janpec1000
Oh ye and the oil export ban has been liften by US. Said it before...there will be no recovery for oil price for years to come. Esentially what has this move make is that US oil companies will lick their wounds by over saturating supply abroad so that they can cover their loses from low prices, meanwhile the rest of economies will suffer even additionally due to this additional supply and most of them are already supplying at max anyways. Russian minister already confirmed they are sure there will be no recovery of price of oil for likely a decade....

But keep in mind:

A) it is not unusual for Oil to stage sharp rallies of 10% or more

B) looking at sentiment, the stage may be already set for a rather sharp incline

C) Governments/Central banks are only part of the heard. Usually they are running on the places far in the rear of the heard. That to say: they are extremely late trend-followers. So be careful when politicians etc. say something

JMHO
  • #20,416
  • Dec 19, 2015 7:15am Dec 19, 2015 7:15am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} But keep in mind: A) it is not unusual for Oil to stage sharp rallies of 10% or more B) looking at sentiment, the stage may be already set for a rather sharp incline C) Governments/Central banks are only part of the heard. Usually they are running on the places far in the rear of the heard. That to say: they are extremely late trend-followers. So be careful when politicians etc. say something JMHO
Heh agree with all your points and at same time agree with my above view aswell. Confusing and conflicting Or maybe its just matter of a fact that is fact until it is not anymore and supply structure changes thus your points become priority.
  • #20,417
  • Dec 19, 2015 7:43am Dec 19, 2015 7:43am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Heh agree with all your points and at same time agree with my above view aswell. Confusing and conflicting Or maybe its just matter of a fact that is fact until it is not anymore and supply structure changes thus your points become priority.

This week I had to draw a decision:

to buy a fairly large amount of heating oil, or not

I bought it at Wednesday - so far good decision, because in Euro I got nearly the lowest price


But I thought: really a good decision with all the oversupply, and supply "exceeding" slowly the storage capacity?

We will see in next days
  • #20,418
  • Dec 19, 2015 11:22am Dec 19, 2015 11:22am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} This week I had to draw a decision: to buy a fairly large amount of heating oil, or not I bought it at Wednesday - so far good decision, because in Euro I got nearly the lowest price But I thought: really a good decision with all the oversupply, and supply "exceeding" slowly the storage capacity? We will see in next days
Well to answer that question its important not to simplify it too much. Sure storages and inventories are full, there are armies of tankers at choking points of ports. But the important info is how much can worlds inventories still receive? Would require rather large "investigation" to get that info. Also add to that in equasion that the lower the price drops the more demand increases and people simply drive more, companies burn more etc which drains inventories.
  • #20,419
  • Edited 1:07pm Dec 19, 2015 12:25pm | Edited 1:07pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} the whole members of The Club will be brought to Gitmo, me thinks Will never make a trip to the USA again. Better safe than sorry. When things get really ugly, I have to seek asylum by my friend Dr. Phoenix in lovely Russia. I think he does not like the prospect, because he would need to share his toys with me (I mean the big ones )
You are the very welcomed person.
I am absolutely sure we will find a proper solution to any of your difficulties.

Best
D.P.

P.S. I have some friends with their's big toys. So, do not worry, we will find another one for you. you will not be alone, my friend.
P.P.S. However, there is one problem for your to dissolve - you should have begun climbing Elbrus instead of Alps .
Hunting High and Low
  • #20,420
  • Dec 19, 2015 4:19pm Dec 19, 2015 4:19pm
http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/news/20010430/northwoods.pdf

Unclassified document, basically mapping of false flag terror to be soon used in Cuba, following by occupation. Now if you are wondering how could that be non-classified with having chance to leak in public, would it do large damage? The answer is no, look at all interviews and reports of general Wesley Clark, there is absolutely no reaction to it. Probably you could have Obama come tomorrow revealing all we know and people would think he is just trolling.
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