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The Really Useless Thread

  • #138,241
  • Dec 17, 2015 12:58pm Dec 17, 2015 12:58pm
Quoting troneras
{quote} Hello sisse, this is because we only have left 3 high impact news on the dollar side vs none in Euro?
As ExForX says, NY is gonna be in control as the post-1st hike flows develop, which may take time till the end of the year as discussed before. But the tail plus other hikes are of course gonna have an long term impact - months, quarters, years - and the flows of money are gonna be globally effected - inflows into US, i.e. dollar - given the comparative monetary advantage of USA (divergence). They are actually changing the price/value of money (this capitalistic system is kind of fascinating ) in the bigest economy and thats why we talk about the RMT leg.

Quoting primejarvis
Chester123 , Thanks a lot buddy for sharing your thoughts .... And trade pattern .... Technically I still think that we will break the .046xx level before breaking the north 1.172xx .... How and when I don't know.... See it from total technical perspective... Correct me if I am wrong
Well, I think the same. As u can see 1.172xx lvl does not play any role in the analysis - I mean ceteris paribus we not gonna see that lvl for very long time.

Thanks everyone for the kind words on the analysis. And most importantly - most of what I know, I learned here and we all know for whom mostly! - and so Ill keep it up, learn and share!!!
  • #138,242
  • Dec 17, 2015 4:13pm Dec 17, 2015 4:13pm
I want to echo the chorus of thanks to Sisse; the nucleus of this thread. I continue to learn so much from your posts and your contributions are invaluable.
Think 4D: History, Future, Now and Noise
  • #138,243
  • Dec 17, 2015 4:30pm Dec 17, 2015 4:30pm
Quoting chester123
Hello guys, 1. wanna join with: thank you everyone contributing to this thread. Its really amazing to share the ideas. And the biggest claps to Sisse for all he is sharing with us - concering actual markets and the more theoretical discussion, which are going on and are sooo much valuable!!!!! 2. Since we got a historical monetary policy move yesterday. I thought I would take some time to try to sum it (= the discussion here/some future projections) up for us - just for the sake of clarity. -------------- {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote}...
Thank you for this solid post. I appreciate your proper reference of Sisse for the content but you hook it up beautifully!
Think 4D: History, Future, Now and Noise
  • #138,244
  • Dec 17, 2015 9:05pm Dec 17, 2015 9:05pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Can we go lower ? {image}
Rock, since this post crude has closed the lower mofu on the daily...weekly/monthly/yearly to follow
  • #138,245
  • Dec 18, 2015 2:48am Dec 18, 2015 2:48am
To USD Bear: What do you think about Bund? Sell at >159.3?

Thank you in advance.
  • #138,246
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:13am Dec 18, 2015 3:13am
Quoting epi
To USD Bear: What do you think about Bund? Sell at >159.3? Thank you in advance.
this is my building plan, the 160 is a heavy one

BUND D1:
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Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #138,247
  • Dec 18, 2015 3:40am Dec 18, 2015 3:40am
I have followed you some posts earlier: Shorting again. Thanks!
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  • #138,248
  • Dec 18, 2015 4:32am Dec 18, 2015 4:32am
Quoting epi
I have followed you some posts earlier: Shorting again. Thanks! {image}
think if the timing is correct the idea will take lots of patience (year or 2) with lots of contract switches, don't pay any rollover fees so no problem on that side, gl!
wouldn't target anything above 140 though
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #138,249
  • Dec 18, 2015 5:21am Dec 18, 2015 5:21am
Got it. Thanks again. gl!
  • #138,250
  • Dec 18, 2015 7:59am Dec 18, 2015 7:59am
Final session(s) of the week particularly important as this is the W close after hikes. Today also mark the the last week in the year of proper trading across the western world.

On more time all eyes on OIL, that is trading air and losing foot again, will trigger a 'Black Friday" in energies and will obviously carry the rest of the board especially Dollar.

For the rest, no surprises. All markets behaving. In the Euro expecting a quick leg to 1.073/5x until Europe goes home to settle the roll around the highs of the 1.07xx handle (1.079x).

Not much do here, same levels, same trades, same all...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #138,251
  • Dec 18, 2015 8:02am Dec 18, 2015 8:02am
Quoting sisse
same levels, same trades, same all... sisse
classic...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #138,252
  • Dec 18, 2015 8:07am Dec 18, 2015 8:07am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} classic...
je je je ...

What are you tracking CHF? or CAD?

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #138,253
  • Dec 18, 2015 8:10am Dec 18, 2015 8:10am
Quoting sisse
{quote} je je je ... What are you tracking CHF? or CAD? sisse
long usdjpy right now off that massive break...thats is all mate...trying for the yellow box
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #138,254
  • Dec 18, 2015 8:13am Dec 18, 2015 8:13am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} long usdjpy right now off that massive break...thats is all mate...trying for the yellow box {image}
got it ... this is going to be a quick session if we don't break in OIL or extend intraday rally in dollar until the Cut...

GL

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #138,255
  • Dec 18, 2015 8:17am Dec 18, 2015 8:17am
Quoting sisse
{quote} got it ... this is going to be a quick session if we don't break in OIL or extend intraday rally in dollar until the Cut... GL sisse
I suspect it will all be over in an hour or so...have a good weekend mate, talk next week
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #138,256
  • Dec 18, 2015 8:20am Dec 18, 2015 8:20am
sisse, if OIL continues to move lower will that impact the DOLLAR in a negative way meaning DOLLAR Bear or due to rate hike and future hikes, DOLLAR can become even stronger. I am uncertain if the correlation has changed.

And, I am looking for .0735 as well and a then next week a finally leg to test .097X one last time. I am looking to close out my positions today (.0958 and .0800) if we reach the .0735 handle and look to reload next week. .0735 is my Target for now due the possibility of a re-test (.097X)again. Are you saying you do not believe we will get that re-test now and may just end up below my FLIP zone (.0808) near solid R or S at .079X. Thanks!

In the Euro expecting a quick leg to 1.073/5x until Europe goes home to settle the roll around the highs of the 1.07xx handle (1.079x). Not much do here, same levels, same trades, same all... sisse[/quote]
  • #138,257
  • Dec 18, 2015 11:59am Dec 18, 2015 11:59am
According to CNBC latest survey fed Lacker can be proportionally hawkish as yellen ....

Now let's c how hawkish he can be with the best dish on the table with rate hikes.... And today the first weekly close after hike ... Let's see what happens next....
Re-Incarnated
  • #138,258
  • Dec 18, 2015 12:39pm Dec 18, 2015 12:39pm
Imminent PANIC break alerts!!! triggered in OIL ... again .... Energies close losing 34.9x unlocks one more extension .... Watch-out as the odds of OPEC just sitting and doing nothing on a new panic break down are very slim....A quick leg will guarantee to short-circuit the board and send major shockwaves across the world...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #138,259
  • Dec 18, 2015 12:49pm Dec 18, 2015 12:49pm
whohoo!

Inserted Video
  • #138,260
  • Dec 18, 2015 1:19pm Dec 18, 2015 1:19pm
...second round of key closes coming. GOLD lost 1087.xx as widely expected. Oil holding literally in LIMBO. Eyes on US Equites (S&P) losing 2015.xx to complete the hikes full house (dollar, equities and commodities).

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
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