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AUD/USD

  • #94,061
  • Dec 7, 2015 7:02pm Dec 7, 2015 7:02pm
ow no... It's now below the daily and weekly pivot with good news lol
  • #94,062
  • Dec 7, 2015 7:15pm Dec 7, 2015 7:15pm
Any last minute thoughts on China trade balance and Aud & Nzd?
  • #94,063
  • Edited 8:15pm Dec 7, 2015 7:57pm | Edited 8:15pm
CNY Trade balance CNY +343.1bn. (Surplus)

Current trade: Long at .7255
SL: .7250
TP: Let it run.
  • #94,064
  • Dec 7, 2015 8:13pm Dec 7, 2015 8:13pm
Imports -5.6% y/y expected -11.3%

ummmm Better ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"Nothing comes easy"
  • #94,065
  • Dec 7, 2015 8:14pm Dec 7, 2015 8:14pm
Quoting synapsez
Imports -5.6% y/y expected -11.3% ummmm Better ?
It's negative but better than expectations.
  • #94,066
  • Dec 7, 2015 8:58pm Dec 7, 2015 8:58pm
Quoting SkyrEk
{quote} It's negative but better than expectations.
?? it was negative, oil is plummeting, testing the h4 trendline at the moment. if it breaks that on a daily close its bearish..
  • #94,067
  • Dec 7, 2015 9:05pm Dec 7, 2015 9:05pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} ?? it was negative, oil is plummeting, testing the h4 trendline at the moment. if it breaks that on a daily close its bearish..
Yup yup, out of trades now. Shall take a break from trading.
  • #94,068
  • Dec 7, 2015 9:32pm Dec 7, 2015 9:32pm
I'm short, I've been short for a few days, I don't like the swap, but making some good pips now. Targeting .715 - .71 this is the bottom of the 1 day up trend. May not get that until FOMC. If it hits before, I'll hold until Fed decides the rates with a tight SL, I may even close and re-enter depending on chart. My expectation is .70 is the figure if Fed rates rise as predicted.
  • #94,069
  • Dec 7, 2015 9:33pm Dec 7, 2015 9:33pm
Aussie 71.50 by post USD market Close. Interbank radar extremely short on daily.
  • #94,070
  • Dec 7, 2015 9:37pm Dec 7, 2015 9:37pm
Quoting redalert
I'm short, I've been short for a few days, I don't like the swap, but making some good pips now. Targeting .715 - .71 this is the bottom of the 1 day up trend. May not get that until FOMC. If it hits before, I'll hold until Fed decides the rates with a tight SL, I may even close and re-enter depending on chart. My expectation is .70 is the figure if Fed rates rise as predicted.
when is FOMC meeting , terrified after the euro one causing 300 spike
  • #94,071
  • Dec 7, 2015 9:44pm Dec 7, 2015 9:44pm
Redalert, with you all the way.
  • #94,072
  • Dec 7, 2015 10:08pm Dec 7, 2015 10:08pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} when is FOMC meeting , terrified after the euro one causing 300 spike
17th Dec, this is also when and if (still possible they could pike out) Fed Reserve finally raises interest rates, everyone saying it's priced in, but I still expect a 1 cent whip saw of dreams and tears in some direction, most likely down in regards to AUD/USD.
  • #94,073
  • Dec 7, 2015 10:41pm Dec 7, 2015 10:41pm
The AUDUSD keeps correcting to the downside and it could continue dropping.
  • #94,074
  • Dec 7, 2015 10:43pm Dec 7, 2015 10:43pm
Quoting redalert
{quote} 17th Dec, this is also when and if (still possible they could pike out) Fed Reserve finally raises interest rates, everyone saying it's priced in, but I still expect a 1 cent whip saw of dreams and tears in some direction, most likely down in regards to AUD/USD.
man , i live in Adelaide and i know this country is going into recession unless those Chinese figures and commodity prices improve.. any other spin that the governor does is bullish rhetoric - things are improving is load of crap. If retail figures improve its only because of Christmas. My recommendation is just to get out of all positions before the meeting .. change to a trade the news strategy if your game .. Also do not listen to those banker articles .. read my post in queen euro(eurusd) to find out why ..
  • #94,075
  • Dec 7, 2015 10:47pm Dec 7, 2015 10:47pm
Quoting trademark
The AUDUSD keeps correcting to the downside and it could continue dropping.
it broke the h4 trendline thats why
  • #94,076
  • Dec 7, 2015 11:06pm Dec 7, 2015 11:06pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} it broke the h4 trendline thats why
Not according to my chart. If it does though, I'm quite happy to act accordingly.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #94,077
  • Dec 7, 2015 11:06pm Dec 7, 2015 11:06pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} it broke the h4 trendline thats why
i can here the stop losses go pop pop pop while big smile with a dollar sign appears
  • #94,078
  • Dec 7, 2015 11:08pm Dec 7, 2015 11:08pm
Quoting Pip-Miner
{quote} man , i live in Adelaide and i know this country is going into recession unless those Chinese figures and commodity prices improve.. any other spin that the governor does is bullish rhetoric - things are improving is load of crap. If retail figures improve its only because of Christmas. My recommendation is just to get out of all positions before the meeting .. change to a trade the news strategy if your game .. Also do not listen to those banker articles .. read my post in queen euro(eurusd) to find out why ..
I'm in Sydney mate I know what you're saying about the economy, Turnbull offers nothing the 1 billion or whatever for 'innovation and science' to help grow our economy is a joke, we're riding on the final hours of the mining era, with the USD recovering, the attraction of our currency was the interest rate difference and this change will negate that. AUD in the next 6 months will be 0.6x

But I just can't resist those big new whipsaws hahaha I did day tight SL so I wouldn't lose much if it happen to go up, risk for reward is just too tempting. -10 pips vs +100 pips?
  • #94,079
  • Dec 7, 2015 11:09pm Dec 7, 2015 11:09pm
The fed is likely to finally raise interest rates .25 bases points, 80% market consensus next week, and suggesting a very control and measured increases over time from next week. What is the likelihood given the Fed will probably sit firmly on there hands for at least 6-12mths post this increase that they raise by more than .25, say .35-.40

Remembering a increase in USD interest rates is in affect a decrease in AUD interest rates.
  • #94,080
  • Dec 7, 2015 11:14pm Dec 7, 2015 11:14pm
Quoting redalert
{quote} I'm in Sydney mate I know what you're saying about the economy, Turnbull offers nothing the 1 billion or whatever for 'innovation and science' to help grow our economy is a joke, we're riding on the final hours of the mining era, with the USD recovering, the attraction of our currency was the interest rate difference and this change will negate that. AUD in the next 6 months will be 0.6x But I just can't resist those big new whipsaws hahaha I did day tight SL so I wouldn't lose much if it happen to go up, risk for reward is just too tempting....
Also in Sydney, and agree all around.

Been shorting the AUD for a while now, it's going nowhere but down.
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