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AUD/USD

  • #93,821
  • Edited 11:26pm Nov 26, 2015 11:12pm | Edited 11:26pm
So much patience is needed for this week long monster of correction iv if only just completed with it's wave (c).
Possibly heading up for a final run v.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH1 27Nov15.png Size: 41 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #93,822
  • Nov 27, 2015 1:24am Nov 27, 2015 1:24am
Institutional style trading from the daily like the big banks. The large range used by the banks is why most retailers loose money on the lower time frames who go against the main trend. Price is currently below the daily pivot 72.23, heading south if the weekly pivot 71.85 is broken. It could bounce of the weekly and monthly pivot. My take for the moment.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud.JPG Size: 91 KB
  • #93,823
  • Nov 27, 2015 1:33am Nov 27, 2015 1:33am
Quoting cold chisel
{quote} No one's getting younger and how can you sing, when you quit drinking. It's hard, I have quit drinking some 10 years ago, and now sing pretty bad myself and only in the shower. I have seen Jimmy last year at Clare's Day on the green, he was good, even done DP Lazy number, which I never heard him play before. Vodka never done anybody any good, but when you quit it, it's even worse. Believe me I know, I used to drink more than Jimmy did.
haha Jimmy is loved by all. I don't care if he struggles to sing his a legend still. I never left , too busy lining up for beers.
  • #93,824
  • Nov 27, 2015 1:47am Nov 27, 2015 1:47am
Quoting Pip-Miner
Institutional style trading from the daily like the big banks. The large range used by the banks is why most retailers loose money on the lower time frames who go against the main trend. Price is currently below the daily pivot 72.23, heading south if the weekly pivot 71.85 is broken. It could bounce of the weekly and monthly pivot. My take for the moment. {image}
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
  • #93,825
  • Nov 27, 2015 2:23am Nov 27, 2015 2:23am
Quoting KecoaKecil
Looking at my chat, H4 has formed up channel. My summary of the weeks, quite good. I was wrong about the 2 days flat, instead it try higher into 0.7275 area. At end of the week here, i believe not a strong bars will form. If i do see a strong red bar, i will target lower to 0.7150 .. green bar, target higher back to 0.7275. {image}
Hey KecoaKecil, sorry for my ignorance, what tool do use for your chart. It displays details of the spreads at the top left. MT4 doesn't seem to have this feature.
+simplistic+is+beauty+
  • #93,826
  • Nov 27, 2015 3:48am Nov 27, 2015 3:48am
still cautious but aiming down regardless very annoying pa
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDmicroDaily1.png Size: 28 KB
  • #93,827
  • Nov 27, 2015 4:07am Nov 27, 2015 4:07am
Quoting Maximizer
{quote} Hey KecoaKecil, sorry for my ignorance, what tool do use for your chart. It displays details of the spreads at the top left. MT4 doesn't seem to have this feature.
It is sonic indicator. I think you can download it free on Sonic System by Trader At Home. It is an active thread on FF. ^_^ yeah i like this indicator, very useful.
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #93,828
  • Nov 27, 2015 4:21am Nov 27, 2015 4:21am
Quoting countdown
{quote} very optimistic...you planning to see 7140 today before close ? if i were you i will hold that shorts as long as AU stays below 72789...targeting first 71860 and 70932..GL
still targeting 70932..
do not stand out in the open with gun ;stand in the bushes with knife..
  • #93,829
  • Nov 28, 2015 4:45am Nov 28, 2015 4:45am
just a bit of fun , nothing serious

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU.png Size: 96 KB
Do what's right for you
  • #93,830
  • Nov 29, 2015 12:55am Nov 29, 2015 12:55am
Been a lazy sunday. I take a look at last week trade, and try to figure out next week trade. We have quite a lot of fundamental coming in, turbulence ahead captain.. ay ay.
I don't see any strong red candle or green candle last friday, well it might be a weak bear, or we open up the monday with a gap down. Gap more likely. Tuesday i have good chinese data, and then no cut rate. What does it mean to me? Bull is charging. So monday is my clue, if that come close to 0.715x without breaking, i can risk long position. Unless i am seeing a strong red, punching through, my opinion the H4 up trend is intact and continuing.
My opinion only, perhaps because of overslept.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDiH4.png Size: 70 KB
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #93,831
  • Nov 29, 2015 3:58am Nov 29, 2015 3:58am
Good opportunity is coming soon.
  • #93,832
  • Nov 29, 2015 1:57pm Nov 29, 2015 1:57pm
Bad news for medium term Aussie Bulls.

http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politi...28-glam9l.html

Australian dollar needs to be kept low to repair the damage .
Interest rates to remain low.
Any tax increases would put fragile economy into a tail spin.
Further stimulation would increase debt .

Shorting the currency is expensive so look for alternatives to offset the cost.
Closest one to home is NZD . Sell AUD/NZD and earn the carry.
Sell AUD/TRY - however expect volatility in TRY with geopolitical issues . so wild swings abound.

Good luck
  • #93,833
  • Nov 29, 2015 4:25pm Nov 29, 2015 4:25pm
done shorting
  • #93,834
  • Nov 29, 2015 4:56pm Nov 29, 2015 4:56pm
Quoting lasty
Bad news for medium term Aussie Bulls. http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politi...28-glam9l.html Australian dollar needs to be kept low to repair the damage . Interest rates to remain low. Any tax increases would put fragile economy into a tail spin. Further stimulation would increase debt . Shorting the currency is expensive so look for alternatives to offset the cost. Closest one to home is NZD . Sell AUD/NZD and earn the carry....
good article. Market Mover news Tuesday with the cash rate and Governor RBA statement. The Governor rhetoric hopefully will be negative.. Price action is currently moving as expected, now testing the monthly pivot.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #93,835
  • Nov 29, 2015 6:25pm Nov 29, 2015 6:25pm
I'm not bullish on the aussie but if price can stay above .7175 might be a buy for a scalp​
  • #93,836
  • Nov 29, 2015 7:20pm Nov 29, 2015 7:20pm
took scalp at .7173 looking to get to .7195 s/r levels are tight right now range should expand at US open. top of hourly channel about .7210​
  • #93,837
  • Nov 29, 2015 7:25pm Nov 29, 2015 7:25pm
out of scalp​
  • #93,838
  • Nov 30, 2015 3:27am Nov 30, 2015 3:27am
Typical impulse wave (c) with a large wave iv correction, now on minor (ii) of v.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDM15 30Nov15.png Size: 41 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #93,839
  • Nov 30, 2015 3:35am Nov 30, 2015 3:35am
Quoting c-note
took scalp at .7173 looking to get to .7195 s/r levels are tight right now range should expand at US open. top of hourly channel about .7210​
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #93,840
  • Nov 30, 2015 5:19am Nov 30, 2015 5:19am
Action looks bullish on 1h and 4h IMO, going in. SL will be 0.716
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