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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #47,781
  • Nov 11, 2015 2:30pm Nov 11, 2015 2:30pm
The only problem is that my analysis matches that reported by these guys, "efxnews".

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=565562

I can hardly remember the last time we saw eye to eye and it DIDN'T end badly.

I have half a mind to cut my short
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #47,782
  • Nov 11, 2015 2:31pm Nov 11, 2015 2:31pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} yep, big news tomorrow to move the market. Won't be surprised to see 5317 though {image} {image}
Very possible. But I think if it happens, it won't last. Great place to short.
Mark
  • #47,783
  • Nov 11, 2015 2:35pm Nov 11, 2015 2:35pm
Quoting pilottrader
{quote} Very possible. But I think if it happens, it won't last. Great place to short.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #47,784
  • Nov 11, 2015 4:37pm Nov 11, 2015 4:37pm
I'm long the Euro Sir.
I think we are heading back up to retest the broken daily TL and the fib
Some resistance in that area going back 6 months or so also
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 31 KB
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  • #47,785
  • Nov 11, 2015 4:40pm Nov 11, 2015 4:40pm
and let's not forget this article

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php...51#post8586903
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  • #47,786
  • Nov 11, 2015 11:18pm Nov 11, 2015 11:18pm
Quoting pilottrader
{quote} Very possible. But I think if it happens, it won't last. Great place to short.
Looking at the broader fib sequence on the weekly TF, we may have a spike up retest due at 5370 area to short.
With big US news and Yellen today, the distance won't be a problem, but would need to see a weekly close below 1.5240 to help confirm overall short bias
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDWeekly.png Size: 31 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDWeekly1.png Size: 33 KB
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  • #47,787
  • Nov 11, 2015 11:30pm Nov 11, 2015 11:30pm
So I guess I am looking for unemployment claims to be a red number

Then looking for Yellen to dismiss it


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  • #47,788
  • Nov 12, 2015 7:06pm Nov 12, 2015 7:06pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
So I guess I am looking for unemployment claims to be a red number Then looking for Yellen to dismiss it

Go get 'em!

I think 1.5250 will be too much of a hurdle to overcome. Trend line resistance, as well as the 50 fib of the move from 1.54 to 1.5029. The EMA100 on the 4 hour (my purple line) is also there.

Good luck!

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Mark
  • #47,789
  • Nov 12, 2015 7:15pm Nov 12, 2015 7:15pm
Quoting pilottrader
{quote} Go get 'em! I think 1.5250 will be too much of a hurdle to overcome. Trend line resistance, as well as the 50 fib of the move from 1.54 to 1.5029. The EMA100 on the 4 hour (my purple line) is also there. Good luck! {image}
Yep...1.5250 is a hurdle but still it may be cleared to kill stops..may be around 1.5320-50 zone is the real hurdle..
When Scalpers win, I lose and Vice varsa...
  • #47,790
  • Nov 12, 2015 8:08pm Nov 12, 2015 8:08pm
Quoting pilottrader
{quote} Go get 'em! I think 1.5250 will be too much of a hurdle to overcome. Trend line resistance, as well as the 50 fib of the move from 1.54 to 1.5029. The EMA100 on the 4 hour (my purple line) is also there. Good luck! {image}
It looks like it will have to left to Freaky Friday then

Thanks Sir Pilot
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  • #47,791
  • Nov 12, 2015 9:31pm Nov 12, 2015 9:31pm
....Good charts and good analysis Sirs. wonder how is Sir. Zizo, with his exams........:nerd:
The Chonchy
  • #47,792
  • Nov 13, 2015 4:56pm Nov 13, 2015 4:56pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} It looks like it will have to left to Freaky Friday then Thanks Sir Pilot
No worries. That trend line got hit, with a solid reject. Trend line still intact.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpusd11_12.png Size: 49 KB
Mark
  • #47,793
  • Nov 13, 2015 9:49pm Nov 13, 2015 9:49pm
Quoting pilottrader
{quote} No worries. That trend line got hit, with a solid reject. Trend line still intact. {image}
Very good Pilot, it holds indeed
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  • #47,794
  • Nov 14, 2015 5:10am Nov 14, 2015 5:10am
DOW continues to get smashed off the retest
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: US30Weekly.png Size: 34 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: US30Daily.png Size: 34 KB
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  • #47,795
  • Nov 14, 2015 9:36pm Nov 14, 2015 9:36pm
GA is an interesting proposition for bears Sirs'

We have some resistance around where we are right nowish.

We also have a completed retest of a daily TL breakout, followed by a 2nd long bearish candle (yesterday)

I think we are due for a bearish 1hr pattern break.
A one 1hr close below the wedge is likely to bring 2.1 into view IMO

All the best guys
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: GBPAUDH1.png Size: 29 KB
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  • #47,796
  • Nov 15, 2015 3:26pm Nov 15, 2015 3:26pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
I'm long the Euro Sir. I think we are heading back up to retest the broken daily TL and the fib Some resistance in that area going back 6 months or so also {image}
....I love that thought Sir. but I think people are dumping the euro after Paris.....
The Chonchy
  • #47,797
  • Nov 15, 2015 3:30pm Nov 15, 2015 3:30pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
GA is an interesting proposition for bears Sirs' We have some resistance around where we are right nowish. We also have a completed retest of a daily TL breakout, followed by a 2nd long bearish candle (yesterday) I think we are due for a bearish 1hr pattern break. A one 1hr close below the wedge is likely to bring 2.1 into view IMO All the best guys {image} {image}
I need her to keep going north.....If you don't mind..... hope you all had a nice weekend Sirs.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #47,798
  • Nov 15, 2015 3:57pm Nov 15, 2015 3:57pm
Quoting pilottrader
{quote} No worries. That trend line got hit, with a solid reject. Trend line still intact. {image}

...Never say never, if the people decide to buy the pound and sale the euro, we will go up......but I think she is getting ready to drop down again.....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #47,799
  • Nov 15, 2015 4:14pm Nov 15, 2015 4:14pm
Good day Sirs,

I'm sorry I haven't been really active lately due to my exams but I think I'll have little time for analysis soon even though im still bearish. Sitting all day on the computer trying to figure out where the market whats to go is a bt of a problem for me now. I'd rather sit out, read the charts (Daily, Weekly, and Monthly) and wait for the perfect entry points.

Sir Chonchy, How was the weekend. Hope the forex is with you? I'm trying to install FXCM trading station on my newly got iMac but it's been a pain in the neck, So I'll just look for other options. MT4 ain't a bad choice i suppose. Well, I will get everything fixed and will be a little active during the week.

Sir Ill-be-back, I'm loving those charts you posted. Most times when I view this thread as a guest, they help me see future at a glance. Thank You. Hope you're doing great too sir.

Have a great week ahead and wish you all many green PIPS
Numbers NEVER Lie
  • #47,800
  • Nov 15, 2015 4:27pm Nov 15, 2015 4:27pm
Quoting ZizoFX
Good day Sirs, I'm sorry I haven't been really active lately due to my exams but I think I'll have little time for analysis soon even though im still bearish. Sitting all day on the computer trying to figure out where the market whats to go is a bt of a problem for me now. I'd rather sit out, read the charts (Daily, Weekly, and Monthly) and wait for the perfect entry points. Sir Chonchy, How was the weekend. Hope the forex is with you? I'm trying to install FXCM trading station on my newly got iMac but it's been a pain in the neck, So I'll just...
.......Hope you exams are going well...... my longs are getting longer, lol....... but it will go back up some day, I assure you, lol.......:nerd:
The Chonchy
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