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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #19,641
  • Oct 2, 2015 2:54pm Oct 2, 2015 2:54pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi Friend, all is well and running With Putin kicking asses I feel very well He is a brilliant mind

US Foreign Policy Explained (In 1 Cartoon)


  • #19,642
  • Edited 4:03pm Oct 2, 2015 3:25pm | Edited 4:03pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} US Foreign Policy Explained (In 1 Cartoon)


The show must be and will be being continued furthermore.

Best
D.P.

P.S. EU now seems to be weakened much...

P.P.S. http://www.thedailybeast.com/article...a-s-bombs.html
and http://www.bloombergview.com/article...-zone-in-syria
Hunting High and Low
  • #19,643
  • Oct 2, 2015 4:11pm Oct 2, 2015 4:11pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} The show must be and will be being continued furthermore. Best D.P. P.S. EU now seems to be weakened much... P.P.S. http://www.thedailybeast.com/article...a-s-bombs.html and http://www.bloombergview.com/article...-zone-in-syria

good link - thanks a lot
  • #19,644
  • Oct 3, 2015 3:59am Oct 3, 2015 3:59am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi Xandi, good to see you around Indeed, price is not able to hold above the roughly 1220 level for a long time. Even this devastating NFP can only make the price jump for a short time. When I saw the numbers I thought, that price would make it at least towards the 1370 level or to the 1400 round number - but you see what happened...... For the weekend I think they may park the EU around 1210-1220 to tease us a bit. From an EW point of view, the whole upwards action since the 1.04 low is corrective in nature
I was waiting more or less the same. If not able to long after the news, wait for a short at 13.50 area ( I had this marked) but it never arrived there. The strangest thinks can happen after NFP. Maybe the explanation is here:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-1...-disintegrates
  • #19,645
  • Edited 10:16am Oct 3, 2015 7:41am | Edited 10:16am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} I was waiting more or less the same. If not able to long after the news, wait for a short at 13.50 area ( I had this marked) but it never arrived there. The strangest thinks can happen after NFP. Maybe the explanation is here: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-1...-disintegrates
Chris Powell: There are no markets anymore, just interventions
http://www.gata.org/node/6242
- the paper has been still actual

I think, we are at the OIL bottom, ...aaaand we are about to go UP till -$100 (I like this level ) has been reached.

The American companies, according to L. Fedun - vice president of the LUKOIL company, will lose much next year, they will lose "the easy access to financing". Today, 3.8 million barrels of oil, thanks to hedging, are sold at the price of -$83 per barrel. "When the price per barrel was at -$100, banks gladly provided [companies] with hedging instead of credit lines. Now the U.S. financial institutions are incuring losses of $150 millions every day. Volume of oil hedged will be decreased fourfold next year, and the average price of the hedge will fall from -$83 to -$62, the whole efficiency of [new] oil fields' development and management costs will evaporate" - Fedun said.

"Today 70% of the American independent companies are not specialized [in the oil development]. These guys, who got together, and then got the money in the Bank, hired a drilling company and went to drill, hoping to sell shares in the market and to earn. This is a typical American bubble like the dotcom bubble. Now almost all of these companies went bankrupt" - Fedun explains, predicting the chain of bankruptcies in the U.S. market.

Worth reading more on RBC (in Russian): http://top.rbc.ru/finances/03/10/201...79470de5d5748a

Have a nice weekend.

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #19,646
  • Oct 3, 2015 1:53pm Oct 3, 2015 1:53pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Hi, bud. Glad to see you are well. How are you doing? As to the NFP move on EU, it might be a fake one. It is possible that the downtrend is still valid as prices moved down back, below 35 DMA. The prices are not being held at their new highs. Of course the trading day is still ON. We shall see. Best, D.P.
Hey, i am fine thanks. As for your NFP opinion i agree sort of, the move has been retraced big time, the thing is if you put fundies in place, bad NFP means more rate hike on hold, thus means further weakness for USD, however retracement shows possibly other side of picture so therefore i will lean on techs only there, becouse picture is mixed (h4-daily).
With that said bellow 1200 i see it bearish, especially touching current support is bear (not including bounce).I see your point in regards downtrend, but i preffer to keep that around levels so that i can be more "precise" at least in my positioning rather than using Ema or HLs HHs for it. Even though we are bellow that EMA, strong demand was formed+fundie view so i would preffer to keep it more on levels to define, just to keep risk smaller. From current point (if open gap is small) i wouldnt be suprised this to go sharply either way. Lets see what gets broken if it does.
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  • #19,647
  • Oct 3, 2015 1:58pm Oct 3, 2015 1:58pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Chris Powell: There are no markets anymore, just interventions http://www.gata.org/node/6242 - the paper has been still actual I think, we are at the OIL bottom, ...aaaand we are about to go UP till -$100 (I like this level ) has been reached. The American companies, according to L. Fedun - vice president of the LUKOIL company, will lose much next year, they will lose "the easy access to financing". Today, 3.8 million barrels of oil, thanks to hedging, are sold at the price of -$83 per barrel. "When the price per barrel was...
I think 100 bucks for Oil will come but question is when. If you can hold underwater low-margin position go ahead, but otherwise probably Oil is gona stay low for while to put pressure on those that it was intended to be low to. But petrodollar cannot be maintained with oil price as low as it is so ye 100 bucks it should come. For now and next year i would play shorts only for long term picture but i dont trade Oil much, so just an opinion...
  • #19,648
  • Oct 3, 2015 2:22pm Oct 3, 2015 2:22pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Hey, i am fine thanks. As for your NFP opinion i agree sort of, the move has been retraced big time, the thing is if you put fundies in place, bad NFP means more rate hike on hold, thus means further weakness for USD, however retracement shows possibly other side of picture so therefore i will lean on techs only there, becouse picture is mixed (h4-daily). With that said bellow 1200 i see it bearish, especially touching current support is bear (not including bounce).I see your point in regards downtrend, but i preffer to keep that around...
Hi, janpec1000

I prefer thinking the way pictured on figures.
However everything may happen.

Best,
D.P.
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  • #19,649
  • Edited 3:09pm Oct 3, 2015 2:49pm | Edited 3:09pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi Friend, all is well and running With Putin kicking asses I feel very well He is a brilliant mind
War Party Hates Putin – Loves al-Qaeda
http://original.antiwar.com/justin/2...oves-al-qaeda/

and

Stephen Cohen Speaks Out to Top German News Site, Rips Media Demonization of Putin
In English - http://russia-insider.com/en/politic...-putin/ri10167
In German - http://deutsche-wirtschafts-nachrich...-emanzipieren/

Best,
D.P.

P.S. Markus, I would like to congratulate you with the German national day (Tag der Deutschen Einheit).
Hunting High and Low
  • #19,650
  • Oct 3, 2015 3:23pm Oct 3, 2015 3:23pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} . P.S. Markus, I would like to congratulate you with the German national day (Tag der Deutschen Einheit).
My friend, I would like to thank our friends from Russia to make it possible and happen
  • #19,651
  • Oct 3, 2015 3:42pm Oct 3, 2015 3:42pm
The Mind Of Mr. Putin (America's Non-Interventionist Foreign Policy Tradition Exposed)
  • #19,652
  • Oct 3, 2015 4:20pm Oct 3, 2015 4:20pm
The Unwind Of QE Means The "S&P Should Be Trading At Half Of Its Value", Deutsche Bank Warns
  • #19,653
  • Oct 4, 2015 7:52am Oct 4, 2015 7:52am
very good reading

How Bad Can This Get, And How Fast?
  • #19,654
  • Oct 4, 2015 8:19am Oct 4, 2015 8:19am
Quoting infinitus
very good reading How Bad Can This Get, And How Fast?
I am just wondering what will happen to crypto currencies once those major currencies like JPY and EUR start hitting into serious inflation. One can imagine cryptos explode in value. Gold not much 2008 shows that, but cryptos have shown in past few small cryses how large the potential is. Still road to go though, 10 years min probably , probably 20 more likely.
  • #19,655
  • Oct 4, 2015 9:01am Oct 4, 2015 9:01am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} I am just wondering what will happen to crypto currencies once those major currencies like JPY and EUR start hitting into serious inflation. One can imagine cryptos explode in value. Gold not much 2008 shows that, but cryptos have shown in past few small cryses how large the potential is. Still road to go though, 10 years min probably , probably 20 more likely.

Hi Jan,

I think it is all about trust regarding cryptos right now. After the scandals of the last years with fraudulent behavious etc., plus, that is important, with the so many people having burned their fingers with prices between 500 and 1000 it is all about that question of regaining trust.

From an EW point of view:

maybe some can remember, when I told some traders in one of the BTC threads to be careful with buying the high prices. I advised to wait towards the 150-120 level. At that time I was seen as some party pooper by some of the traders.

But the levels proofed to be quite good for buying the stuff, so far.

Right now I do not have an educated view about BTC in regard to EW. Have to do some homework.......
  • #19,656
  • Oct 4, 2015 9:41am Oct 4, 2015 9:41am
Doctors Accuse White House Of Lying To Justify "Collateral Damage" In Kabul Hospital Bombing


what a shame..........


I deeply feel for the victims of this murderous incident

The stuff of the hospital gave their coordinates several time to the military officials beforehand. This was a well known place of help. This is an act of war crime - regardless what the mouthpieces of the US will say.

"As Glenn Greenwald points out, "it’s impossible to fathom what the U.S. media would be saying and doing if Russia did something like this in Syria. By contrast, the reaction to this airstrike by their own government will be muted and filled with apologia, ironically quite similar to the widely vilified caricature of Jeb Bush’s comments about the Oregon shooting spree: stuff happens.""
  • #19,657
  • Oct 4, 2015 1:22pm Oct 4, 2015 1:22pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Hi, janpec1000 I prefer thinking the way pictured on figures. However everything may happen. Best, D.P. {image} {image}

I prefer something may happen... this week

nice chart.
  • #19,658
  • Oct 4, 2015 1:57pm Oct 4, 2015 1:57pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi Jan, I think it is all about trust regarding cryptos right now. After the scandals of the last years with fraudulent behavious etc., plus, that is important, with the so many people having burned their fingers with prices between 500 and 1000 it is all about that question of regaining trust. From an EW point of view: maybe some can remember, when I told some traders in one of the BTC threads to be careful with buying the high prices. I advised to wait towards the 150-120 level. At that time I was seen as some party pooper by some of the...
Hey ye, i see your point, but mind one thing, investment-fly capital flows do not care for charts or price! So in past 3 BTC fly cryses if you see you can notice price was actually in middle(high of structure and they still bought it becouse when fear capital comes in price or structures just dont matter. Thats why from every of those crises price just went up 50-100+% no matter of positioning. As for buying at 500 or 1000 yes, there werent crises in that price though, thus your view was valid.
  • #19,659
  • Oct 4, 2015 2:02pm Oct 4, 2015 2:02pm
Quoting infinitus
Doctors Accuse White House Of Lying To Justify "Collateral Damage" In Kabul Hospital Bombing what a shame.......... I deeply feel for the victims of this murderous incident The stuff of the hospital gave their coordinates several time to the military officials beforehand. This was a well known place of help. This is an act of war crime - regardless what the mouthpieces of the US will say. "As Glenn...
Dont bother with war crimes, they only count for little people and those are are not part of world empire. Did USA or therefore its army answer to any action such as Iraq war/ Lybia that were proven miss-placed infos as war criminals? Heck U.N even particiapted with it! Look at Colin Powell....If the world would want to change, empire would had to be struck down, .....which is....nearly impossible. We can all adapt to globalism, or die fight it. Also lets not be faky, probably Russia or China would gladly take place of fallen power if it would happen, might not be, but might very well as likely to be.
  • #19,660
  • Oct 4, 2015 3:35pm Oct 4, 2015 3:35pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Dont bother with war crimes, they only count for little people and those are are not part of world empire. Did USA or therefore its army answer to any action such as Iraq war/ Lybia that were proven miss-placed infos as war criminals? Heck U.N even particiapted with it! Look at Colin Powell....If the world would want to change, empire would had to be struck down, .....which is....nearly impossible. We can all adapt to globalism, or die fight it. Also lets not be faky, probably Russia or China would gladly take place of fallen power if it...

the fall of one empire will result of rise of another empire, that is for sure. Has ever been this way.......

But I am especially annoyed with this action, since I am connected to MSF since years

http://www.msf.org/article/afghanist...kable%E2%80%9D
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