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The Really Useless Thread

  • #137,161
  • Sep 30, 2015 12:38pm Sep 30, 2015 12:38pm
speculation. you have a point

thank you
  • #137,162
  • Sep 30, 2015 1:43pm Sep 30, 2015 1:43pm
Quoting Pharm0r
speculation. you have a point thank you
Investment, quant, educated guess, speculation, etc etc or even a random bet ... you can call it as you want the result is the same in our business. Nobody will buy or sell knowing that the price is already at exact perfect value /equilibrium ....

Imaging an investor/trader buying a stock/anything because he/she thinks the expected future value of the company/underlying will stay at the current present price .... We all buy/sell expectations ...the difference between success and failure is not in "speculating" but in who has the ability to evaluate quick and consistently the right expectations to buy/sell the best possible value before is too late so ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #137,163
  • Sep 30, 2015 4:58pm Sep 30, 2015 4:58pm
...and we rolled. Very bearish mid term Q closes in gold and euro. Again this year after a few months we are aligned with fundamentals and we are set for marking the high of this Q rather early.

--> Changing mid term outlook in Euro from Neutral to Sell
--> Changing mid term outlook in Gold from Neutral to Sell

On the shorter term, euro bulls hanging by its fingernails but they manage to hold 1.117x with a slightly bullish close. One more time leaving the trail wide open for a NFP play to complete the move 1.133x beyond that it will need a strong help from somewhere else as the highs (1.18xx handle) are barely open after today close ...

Not much to do for now so leaving short term outlook in Euro mid in Neutral until further data (NFP) and sitting tight with remaining positions in euro ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #137,164
  • Sep 30, 2015 5:08pm Sep 30, 2015 5:08pm
Quoting sisse
...and we rolled. Very bearish mid term Q closes in gold and euro. Again this year after a few months we are aligned with fundamentals and we are set for marking the high of this Q rather early. --> Changing mid term outlook in Euro from Neutral to Sell --> Changing mid term outlook in Gold from Neutral to Sell On the shorter term, euro bulls hanging by its fingernails but they manage to hold 1.117x with a slightly bullish close. One more time leaving the trail wide open for a NFP play to complete the move 1.133x beyond that it will need a strong...
Hi sisse
I didn't get it well , mid term EU turned to sell but at the same time talking about 1.18xx handle ?
  • #137,165
  • Sep 30, 2015 5:45pm Sep 30, 2015 5:45pm
Quoting edyraper
{quote} Hi sisse I didn't get it well , mid term EU turned to sell but at the same time talking about 1.18xx handle ?
What time has anything to do with price? ....

In simple words technically 1.18xx is still very marginally open in the short term (I have mention this many times ...when i talk short term means few days to weeks = short term) as long as the current lows hold (1.108x/1.112x). The range is so wide because the huge spike up didn't leave any trail and it was made on air (there is nothing between 1.15xx and 1.171x so a tick above current highs ...)

I am implying that we will set the high of the next Q first (and we are going to do it rather quickly is my call) before the mid term leg (means few weeks to months = mid term).

Finally we had a relatively bullish close for the NFP for the intraday play (means few hours to days = intraday .... anything below that is micro trading and I don't trade or track)...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #137,166
  • Sep 30, 2015 6:46pm Sep 30, 2015 6:46pm
Quoting ExForX
{quote} Hmm I understand it's not cool to have a card that's not too well supported but honestly if it works by adding parameters (to disable power savings on hardware and software level - hardly a workaround but more disabling malfunctioning parts) then I say, why not? Also if you're adding kernel parameters (e.g. via /etc/modprobe.d/rtl8723be.conf) then you won't have to remember to recompile. Hope it helps. Good luck. I also thought about dumping the card and getting a new one, but I'm lazy lol.
I did all you proposed, plus got the "cleaned" kernel scripts from lwfinger ("rtl_wifi_new") from his git-repository. Those scripts have been supplied to the kernel-team some time ago, but they say, the current module is working as intended, which is true but very unfortunate for us. Today, I accidentely even stumbeled across the power-saving feature inside of Windows, which I never gave a second thought to, for I set it to "High Performance" and literally forgot about it.

The machine that's bothering me is a notebook, so changing the card is not an option, as long as there is warranty, but I already set up my "good-citizen" account and actually played around with Windows 8.1 (well, no touch-screen here, so there's no benefit in that for me) and Windows 10.

That out of the way... what remains to be done? Talk to twee to run an update ff_content where user="mr*hatch" set content="[/*$ext] [$content]" to get rid of all the curse-words I might have used.

For the moment, I'll take my leave.

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  • #137,167
  • Sep 30, 2015 8:14pm Sep 30, 2015 8:14pm
Congrats on becoming a sheeple Hatch
  • #137,168
  • Sep 30, 2015 10:28pm Sep 30, 2015 10:28pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} What time has anything to do with price? .... In simple words technically 1.18xx is still very marginally open in the short term (I have mention this many times ...when i talk short term means few days to weeks = short term) as long as the current lows hold (1.108x/1.112x). The range is so wide because the huge spike up didn't leave any trail and it was made on air (there is nothing between 1.15xx and 1.171x so a tick above current highs ...) I am implying that we will set the high of the next Q first (and we are going to do it rather...
I see sisse thank you for explanation
  • #137,169
  • Sep 30, 2015 11:35pm Sep 30, 2015 11:35pm
Quoting sisse
...and we rolled. Very bearish mid term Q closes in gold and euro. Again this year after a few months we are aligned with fundamentals and we are set for marking the high of this Q rather early. --> Changing mid term outlook in Euro from Neutral to Sell --> Changing mid term outlook in Gold from Neutral to Sell
I was/am positioned for a US equities rally and vix dump up to the Oct FOMC, coming thru for us now it seems, just need some market persistence, some nice weekly green risk-on candles, and I will make up for utter disappointment of a no-move Sept FOMC.....NFP I suggest may be a non-event?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #137,170
  • Oct 1, 2015 12:24am Oct 1, 2015 12:24am
might wanna hold off on those equity dreams until we see what this hurricane has in store
was a predicted one, now 2-3 possible for landfall.....we've gotten our stuff ready to evacuate as a precaution
  • #137,171
  • Oct 1, 2015 1:02am Oct 1, 2015 1:02am
Quoting Pharm0r
might wanna hold off on those equity dreams until we see what this hurricane has in store was a predicted one, now 2-3 possible for landfall.....we've gotten our stuff ready to evacuate as a precaution
if it would erase DC and all the rats in it the markets would rally 10%
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #137,172
  • Oct 1, 2015 4:18am Oct 1, 2015 4:18am
Still tracking Euro/German equities closely. It's a bit early/risky to look for entries at these levels with bears still relatively in control and winning out on the quarterly close.

I've managed to lay out a pretty clear path for the bulls if they're going to regain the upper-hand. It will be very interesting to track correlation with the pair around these levels.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: $GER30_CFDEUR (Daily) _ $EURUSD (Daily) 2015-03-25 - 2015-10-01.jpg Size: 159 KB
  • #137,173
  • Oct 1, 2015 1:31pm Oct 1, 2015 1:31pm
...comatose sessions outside of Equities. Compression ranges are narrowing to extreme almost flat ranges. They are going to blow anytime now as there is nowhere to go intraday in most markets ....not much to do here until tomorrow movers and shakers for the week ....

Quoting ClinicalEx
Still tracking Euro/German equities closely. It's a bit early/risky to look for entries at these levels with bears still relatively in control and winning out on the quarterly close. I've managed to lay out a pretty clear path for the bulls if they're going to regain the upper-hand. It will be very interesting to track correlation with the pair around these levels. {image}
That rejection 1.135x with the FOMC was very very nasty TAwise. It looks extremely hard to recover the failure in that area (need a massive miracle hand from somewhere and NFP is aligning for an uneventful one ...) Failure to take it tomorrow will be a final dagger ....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #137,174
  • Oct 1, 2015 1:49pm Oct 1, 2015 1:49pm
Quoting sisse
(need a massive miracle hand from somewhere and NFP is aligning for an uneventful one ...)
I keep thinking the way is mapped out - Dec baby hike and near-flat trajectory thereafter m/l confirmed by Yellen and that should open the door for a Santa rally in US equities........gassed up baby let's go but wait the battery's dead or something.....another coiled snake waiting.....NFP is old news whichever way it goes...now we need ........ something .... here....what could it be?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #137,175
  • Oct 1, 2015 1:57pm Oct 1, 2015 1:57pm
I give up ...... I now must ask the Great Pumpkin to bless my trades.

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #137,176
  • Oct 1, 2015 2:01pm Oct 1, 2015 2:01pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I keep thinking the way is mapped out - Dec baby hike and near-flat trajectory thereafter m/l confirmed by Yellen and that should open the door for a Santa rally in US equities........gassed up baby let's go but wait the battery's dead or something.....another coiled snake waiting.....NFP is old news whichever way it goes...now we need ........ something .... here....what could it be?
Equities pretty much have digested the first min hike Dec. My mid/long term map is a lot clearer now still a bit trying to get in synch with the short term (todays intraday was a no brainer day but crumbs only).

What is clear up to now:

-->We have the high of year set(since June FOMC).
--> After Sep FOMC, we have mid/long term high set (at least till late Q2 /Q3 2016)
--> Gradual hikes means a comatose choppy bottom (we haven't found that bottom yet) to build a wide platform for the extended fundamental rally after normalization is complete (nothing to see till Election in the US are cleared so plenty of time).

What we don't know clearly now:

---> If we are going to extend the lows to test below 1800.xx (1790.xx)
---> If the short term bottom was going to be dollar/commodities/inflation driven or not (in simple words sharp or choppy)

Need more data in the short term as I am not fully convinced or clear with the map ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #137,177
  • Oct 1, 2015 4:04pm Oct 1, 2015 4:04pm
...and we rolled, bulls hanging on by the 'pinky' fingernail one more time but this time they wont last any NFP wind. Intraday reversal in play for reports. A tick below 1.117x (surprise surprise ? ...no not really) as early as the Asian session unlocks a quick test to the lows of the 1.10xx handle (with extension 1.094x if NFP gives a hand).

Roll play for reports so playing it accordingly with a stop and 'reverso' position until the European opening

Got what i needed ... GL all trading overnight an tomorrow news...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #137,178
  • Oct 1, 2015 4:55pm Oct 1, 2015 4:55pm
Quoting sisse
...comatose sessions outside of Equities. Compression ranges are narrowing to extreme almost flat ranges. They are going to blow anytime now as there is nowhere to go intraday in most markets ....not much to do here until tomorrow movers and shakers for the week .... {quote} That rejection 1.135x with the FOMC was very very nasty TAwise. It looks extremely hard to recover the failure in that area (need a massive miracle hand from somewhere and NFP is aligning for an uneventful one ...) Failure to take it tomorrow will be a final dagger .......
Agree. Bulls are on notice on the pair. 1.1143 tested and just holding on again but they're running out of excuses and under pressure from the dollar.

Even an NFP miss seems relatively inconsequential. Pretty obvious levels in play for the break-out so let's see how it goes tomorrow.
  • #137,179
  • Oct 1, 2015 5:13pm Oct 1, 2015 5:13pm
Quoting sisse
...and we rolled, bulls hanging on by the 'pinky' fingernail one more time but this time they wont last any NFP wind. Intraday reversal in play for reports. A tick below 1.117x (surprise surprise ? ...no not really) as early as the Asian session unlocks a quick test to the lows of the 1.10xx handle (with extension 1.094x if NFP gives a hand). Roll play for reports so playing it accordingly with a stop and 'reverso' position until the European opening Got what i needed ... GL all trading overnight an tomorrow news... sisse
Hi sisse,
is there any chance you can give 3rd digit of 1.10xx handle?Thanks
  • #137,180
  • Oct 1, 2015 5:13pm Oct 1, 2015 5:13pm
now the hurricane is projected to miss the east coast mostly, world is saved!

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