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AUD/USD

  • #92,161
  • Sep 28, 2015 5:57am Sep 28, 2015 5:57am
200 pips = 20 pips....LOL well thats how it reads on my MT4

Played some good bounces today just playing the range....me thinks this is an upper..... needs to break 0.7300 then skyrocket time....its struggling to break that right now....
  • #92,162
  • Sep 28, 2015 6:03am Sep 28, 2015 6:03am
AU heading down to retest 0.6955
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #92,163
  • Sep 28, 2015 6:09am Sep 28, 2015 6:09am
You guys are lost....mixing up AUD/USD with AUD/CAD, kindly check out the values that you're quoting......Surely, over trading and over analysis can worry people......Keep it simple bros.....don't be over excited
  • #92,164
  • Sep 28, 2015 6:28am Sep 28, 2015 6:28am
Quoting ruma29
{quote} are you sure that this time is not manipulation?
Are you trader? Is Post your followers?
  • #92,165
  • Sep 28, 2015 6:47am Sep 28, 2015 6:47am
Quoting ben82
{quote} Are you trader? Is Post your followers?
  • #92,166
  • Sep 28, 2015 6:47am Sep 28, 2015 6:47am
Damnit, i'm a little slow. After much apprehension, decided at last to throw in a long at .7005 and the next moment..*bang* down to 6985.

What am I missing? What's dragging the aussie 50pips down in an hour?
  • #92,167
  • Sep 28, 2015 6:50am Sep 28, 2015 6:50am
Quoting ell3
Damnit, i'm a little slow. After much apprehension, decided at last to throw in a long at .7005 and the next moment..*bang* down to 6985. What am I missing? What's dragging the aussie 50pips down in an hour?
Just technical. It has being building the wedge/flag for quite a while. I wasn't certain which way it would go but the BO was always coming.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #92,168
  • Sep 28, 2015 7:10am Sep 28, 2015 7:10am
Quoting ell3
Damnit, i'm a little slow. After much apprehension, decided at last to throw in a long at .7005 and the next moment..*bang* down to 6985. What am I missing? What's dragging the aussie 50pips down in an hour?
Shouldn't the question be, why wouldn't it keep going down?

At the moment, I don't see any answer to that... but.... standby for FOMC and data releases tonight!
  • #92,169
  • Sep 28, 2015 7:24am Sep 28, 2015 7:24am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
{quote} Shouldn't the question be, why wouldn't it keep going down? At the moment, I don't see any answer to that... but.... standby for FOMC and data releases tonight!
I'm quite sure it'll bounce and keep the range for a little longer, at least until the huge options on wed and nfp on fri. I believe it won't rally much further than the high of today. Hmmm.
  • #92,170
  • Sep 28, 2015 7:30am Sep 28, 2015 7:30am
fomc already spoke.. that seems to be what caused the down movement, should have known that would happen.. almost every fomc is talking up rate rises.. which obviously means aud goes down
  • #92,171
  • Sep 28, 2015 7:34am Sep 28, 2015 7:34am
Quoting renski
fomc already spoke.. that seems to be what caused the down movement, should have known that would happen.. almost every fomc is talking up rate rises.. which obviously means aud goes down
Ah, the thing is - what's so new about what the fomc has to say? Of course the l-t trend is down, but meanwhile I think we're looking to other places for direction leads.
  • #92,172
  • Sep 28, 2015 7:40am Sep 28, 2015 7:40am
nothing new.. still moves the currency.. it's all talk anyway

There is another fomc speaking later today, so probably currency movement then
  • #92,173
  • Sep 28, 2015 8:05am Sep 28, 2015 8:05am
Quoting renski
nothing new.. still moves the currency.. it's all talk anyway There is another fomc speaking later today, so probably currency movement then
Yea such a pain in the ass, especially when you've just entered a position and you start feeling uneasy about it. Urgh. Stop at. 6970. Hope I won't have to pull the trigger on that.
  • #92,174
  • Sep 28, 2015 8:07am Sep 28, 2015 8:07am
Quoting renski
nothing new.. still moves the currency.. it's all talk anyway There is another fomc speaking later today, so probably currency movement then
US PCE Core inflation picked up. Good sign for the dollar i.e. puts December hike in contention.

Why do I always see 10 posts of scalpers trying to urge a rally into aussie before I see 1 guy trading the trend? It's much easier to be short when its going down guys...
  • #92,175
  • Sep 28, 2015 9:31am Sep 28, 2015 9:31am
Been selling the tops down today, the tight range gave some fun! Only that last long.... now back at 7003, escaped with a 2pp loss. Sticking to my pov that there's no bull rally coming!
  • #92,176
  • Sep 28, 2015 10:17am Sep 28, 2015 10:17am
Quote
200 pips = 20 pips....LOL well thats how it reads on my MT4
Correct MT4 rookie error, peace
  • #92,177
  • Sep 28, 2015 8:15pm Sep 28, 2015 8:15pm
This morning AUD fell to 0.6950.
How far it will go down??
I'm very very afraid if it break 0.6900.
Any opinion for AUD ??
  • #92,178
  • Sep 28, 2015 8:32pm Sep 28, 2015 8:32pm
If you see the hourly chart, it is still within a range of .6940 and .7030. For a clearer more defined trend, wait for a break out on either side b4 jumping in.
  • #92,179
  • Sep 28, 2015 9:40pm Sep 28, 2015 9:40pm
I would think it's going lower on Wednesday/Thursday, fomc members to talk on Wednesday (including Yellen), then china data on Thursday, both will probably push it down.

Also Australian domestic data on Wednesday, could be negative or positive.. who knows.
  • #92,180
  • Sep 28, 2015 9:43pm Sep 28, 2015 9:43pm
Quoting SkyrEk
If you see the hourly chart, it is still within a range of .6940 and .7030. For a clearer more defined trend, wait for a break out on either side b4 jumping in.

Agreed. I am going BALLS DEEP for long but I am waiting

I already closed my long positions yesterday at 0.7020 and glad I stayed out because I had a feeling it was going to test previous daily candle low....

If you still decide to long still a good R/R as stop loss is about 20 pips from previous week low if you want to do a tight stop...i am waiting for a price action signal before pulling the trigger...
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